Elena Rybakina and Lesya Tsurenko will face off in the quarter of the Zavarovalnica Sava Portoroz for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:00 pm on Centre. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.27
Lesya Tsurenko -> 3.92
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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Lesya Tsurenko
This will be the 2nd time that Elena Rybakina and Lesya Tsurenko face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Tsurenko (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Tsurenko won 1-6 7-5 6-3 in the 2nd round in Eastbourne back in June 2022.
Elena Rybakina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30-5 | 22-4 | 8-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-15 | 31-11 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 18-12 | 9-5 | 5-2 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 18-14 | 6-4 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 18-5 | 7-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 25, the Kazakhstani reached the quarter after defeating Laura Siegemund 6-74 6-4 7-68 and Tereza Martincova 6-4 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Elena had a good straight sets win against Martincova (6-4 6-1). During the match, Rybakina scored 64 points vs Martincova’s 45. Elena was very aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Regarding the service games, Rybakina recorded 4 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Elena Rybakina lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Rybakina put 52% of her first serves in, winning 88% (21/24) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (10/22) on the 2nd serve. Elena broke Martincova 5 times after converting 36% of her break points (5/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Kazakhstani has conceded 1 set in this competition to conquer 54% of the points she played.
Rybakina has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 68% of her matches (236-112). 16-9 on hard in 2022. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rybakina has an aggregate94-52 record in the last 8 years on hard.
Her best result of the current season was conquering the title in at the Wimbledon where she beat Ons Jabeur in the final 3-6 6-2 6-2.
The Kazakhstani has an aggregate 34-16 win-loss record in 2022, 16-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Portoroz
The Kazakhstani has never competed in this tournament before.
Lesya Tsurenko
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 9-10 | 7-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 42-16 | 31-10 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 25-14 | 8-7 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 9-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-17 | 10-10 | 2-2 | 15-5 | 3-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-6 | 8-5 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 92, Tsurenko reached the quarter after beating Elena Gabriela Ruse 6-1 4-6 6-4 and Ekaterina Alexandrova 7-5 7-65.
In the 2nd round, Lesya had a good straight sets win against Alexandrova (7-5 7-65). During the match Tsurenko scored 103 points vs Alexandrova’s 91. The Ukrainian was very aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about serving, Tsurenko was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 8 double faults. Lesya Tsurenko lost the serve 5 times and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Tsurenko put 57% of her first serves in, winning 63% (34/54) of the points behind her 1st serve and 41% (17/41) on the 2nd serve. The Ukrainian broke Alexandrova 6 times after converting 46% of her break points (6/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Ukrainian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
Tsurenko has a compiled 25-13 win-loss record in 2022, 8-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rybakina | Tsurenko |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 53 | 52 |
| Pts | 197-169 | 210-185 |
| Total Points | 366 | 395 |
| Winners | 63 | 68 |
| %Winners | 32% | 32% |
Both Rybakina and Tsurenko played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Elena Rybakina conceded 1 set, while Lesya Tsurenko lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Rybakina and Tsurenko have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Rybakina played 1 game more than Tsurenko. The Kazakhstani scored 63 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, Tsurenko blasted 68 winners (32%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rybakina | Tsurenko |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 19 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 9.5 | 0 |
| 1st in | 82/161 | 102/178 |
| %1st in | 51% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 63/82 | 68/102 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 40/79 | 31/76 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 41% |
Rybakina made 19 aces (9.5 per match). Tsurenko didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Rybakina won 77% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Tsurenko won 67% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 41% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rybakina | Tsurenko |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 13 |
| Converted | 10/33 | 13/31 |
| % Converted | 30% | 42% |
| Conceded | 7 | 25 |
| Saved | 1 | 16 |
| % Saved | 14% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 9 |
The Kazakhstani broke her opponents 10 times with a 30% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani surrendered her serve 6 times and she saved 14% of the break points that she conceded. Tsurenko broke her opponents 13 times with a 42% conversion rate. The Ukrainian conceded her serve 9 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded.
| Rybakina | ||||
| R1 Siegemund |
R2 Martincova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-74 6-4 7-68 | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 36 | 17 | 53 | |
| pts | 133-124 | 64-45 | 197-169 | |
| Total points | 257 | 109 | 366 | |
| Winners | 42 | 21 | 63 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 33% | 32% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 15 | 4 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 58/115 | 24/46 | 82/161 | |
| % 1st in | 50% | 52% | 51% | |
| 1st pts | 42/58 | 21/24 | 63/82 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 88% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 30/57 | 10/22 | 40/79 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 45% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 5/19 | 5/14 | 10/33 | |
| Converted % | 26% | 36% | 30% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| Saved | 1/5 | 0/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 20% | 0% | 10% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tsurenko | ||||
| R1 Gabriela Ruse |
R2 Alexandrova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 4-6 6-4 | 7-5 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 25 | 52 | |
| pts | 107-94 | 103-91 | 210-185 | |
| Total points | 201 | 194 | 395 | |
| Winners | 34 | 34 | 68 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 33% | 32% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 8 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 48/83 | 54/95 | 102/178 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 34/48 | 34/54 | 68/102 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 63% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/35 | 17/41 | 31/76 | |
| % 2nd pts | 40% | 41% | 41% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 7 | 6 | 13 | |
| Converted | 7/18 | 6/13 | 13/31 | |
| Converted % | 39% | 46% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 13 | 25 | |
| Saved | 8/12 | 8/13 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 62% | 65% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWWWWL
LWLLWLLWLW Tennis Scores in Portoroz
- Marta Kostyuk/Tereza MartincovaKostyuk/Tereza Martincova – Ekaterina Alexandrova/Vivian HeisenAlexandrova/Vivian Heisen (6-4 7-62) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Guillermo Garcia-LopezGarcia-Lopez – Oscar OtteOtte (7-63 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (5-7 6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tommy RobredoRobredo – Adam PavlasekPavlasek (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Elias YmerYmer – Carlos TabernerTaberner (7-65 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Anna-Lena FriedsamFriedsam – Diane ParryParry (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko – Elena RybakinaRybakina (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ana BogdanBogdan – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (1-2) – H2H and prediction
