Corentin Moutet and Matteo Arnaldi will clash against each other in the quarter of the Szczecin Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:00 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Corentin Moutet who should win in 2 sets.
Corentin Moutet -> 1.41
Matteo Arnaldi -> 2.82
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Prediction and head to head Corentin Moutet vs. Matteo Arnaldi
There is no head to head record between Corentin Moutet and Matteo Arnaldi since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Corentin Moutet
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-30 | 15-12 | 10-9 | 7-5 | 9-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-26 | 4-6 | 22-15 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 19-25 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 7-4 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 13-6 | 20-8 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-16 | 8-4 | 5-8 | 3-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 84, Moutet got to the quarter after beating Nikolas Sanchez-Izquierdo 7-5 0-6 6-4 and Gianluca Mager 6-2 6-0.
In the 2nd round, Moutet had a good straight sets win against Mager (6-2 6-0). During the match, Moutet scored 53 points vs Mager’s 28. Moutet was pretty aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Regarding the service games, Moutet fired 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Corentin Moutet was pretty effective on serve to win 75% (24/32) of his 1st serve and 75% (6/8) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Corentin broke Mager 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Moutet has lost 1 set in this event to win 55% of the points he played.
Moutet has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 61% of his matches (246-154). 16-7 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Moutet has an aggregate150-77 win-loss record in the last 8 years on clay.
The French player best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Lyon Challenger.
Moutet has an overall 29-15 win-loss record in 2022, 16-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Szczecin Challenger
Corentin has never competed in this tournament before.
Matteo Arnaldi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23-26 | 11-14 | 7-6 | 5-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-26 | 17-13 | 10-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-26 | 21-15 | 23-7 | 4-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-35 | 9-3 | 37-20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-24 | 2-1 | 51-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 161 (career-high), the Italian got to the quarter after defeating Andrea Vavassori 6-3 6-2 and Carlos Taberner 6-3 6-0.
In the 2nd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Taberner (6-3 6-0). During the match Arnaldi scored 64 points vs Taberner’s 41. Matteo was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about serving, Arnaldi recorded 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Matteo Arnaldi lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Arnaldi put 70% of his first serves in, winning 68% (26/38) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (7/16) on the 2nd serve. Matteo broke Taberner 6 times after converting 40% of his break points (6/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Matteo hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.
Arnaldi’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Francavilla Challenger and the San Marino Challenger.
The Italian has an aggregate 39-25 win-loss record in 2022, 36-18 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Moutet | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 42 | 32 |
| Pts | 133-111 | 143-99 |
| Total Points | 244 | 242 |
| Winners | 57 | 56 |
| %Winners | 43% | 39% |
Both Moutet and Arnaldi played 2 matches. At the moment, Corentin Moutet surrendered 1 set while Matteo Arnaldi hasn’t lost a set so far. Moutet has played 1 set more than Arnaldi (5 vs 4). Therefore, Moutet played 10 games more than Arnaldi. Corentin scored 57 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian made 56 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Moutet | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 91/114 | 84/118 |
| %1st in | 80% | 71% |
| 1st pts | 57/91 | 56/84 |
| %1st pts | 63% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 14/23 | 19/34 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 56% |
Moutet fired 4 aces (2 per match). Arnaldi made 5 aces (2.5 per match). Moutet won 63% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Arnaldi won 67% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Moutet | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 10 |
| Converted | 10/17 | 10/29 |
| % Converted | 59% | 34% |
| Conceded | 11 | 14 |
| Saved | 5 | 11 |
| % Saved | 45% | 79% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 3 |
Corentin broke his opponents 10 times with a 59% conversion rate. The French player surrendered his serve 6 times and he saved 45% of the break points that he conceded. Arnaldi broke his opponents 10 times with a 34% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 79% of the break points that he conceded.
| Moutet | ||||
| R1 Sanchez-Izquierdo | R2 Mager | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 0-6 6-4 | 6-2 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 14 | 42 | |
| pts | 80-83 | 53-28 | 133-111 | |
| Total points | 163 | 81 | 244 | |
| Winners | 33 | 24 | 57 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 45% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 59/74 | 32/40 | 91/114 | |
| % 1st in | 80% | 80% | 80% | |
| 1st pts | 33/59 | 24/32 | 57/91 | |
| % 1st pts | 56% | 75% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/15 | 6/8 | 14/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 75% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 5/7 | 10/17 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 71% | 59% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 2 | 11 | |
| Saved | 3/9 | 2/2 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 100% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 6 | 0 | 6 | |
| Arnaldi | ||||
| R1 Vavassori | R2 Taberner | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 15 | 32 | |
| pts | 79-58 | 64-41 | 143-99 | |
| Total points | 137 | 105 | 242 | |
| Winners | 30 | 26 | 56 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 41% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 46/64 | 38/54 | 84/118 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 70% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 30/46 | 26/38 | 56/84 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 68% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/18 | 7/16 | 19/34 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 44% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| Converted | 4/14 | 6/15 | 10/29 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 40% | 34% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 5 | 14 | |
| Saved | 8/9 | 3/5 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 89% | 60% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
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- Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (0-0) – H2H and prediction