Jordan Thompson and Juncheng Shang will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Cary Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 4:00 pm on STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Juncheng Shang who should win in 3 sets.
Juncheng Shang -> 1.65
Jordan Thompson -> 2.18
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Prediction and head to head Jordan Thompson vs. Juncheng Shang
This will be the 2nd time that Jordan Thompson and Juncheng Shang clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Shang (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Shang won 7-5 6-4 in the quarter in the Granby Challenger back in August 2022.
Jordan Thompson
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-18 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 3-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-24 | 23-13 | 3-5 | 5-3 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-28 | 22-15 | 0-3 | 7-4 | 12-6 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-26 | 18-14 | 2-6 | 8-1 | 12-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 23-25 | 10-11 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 9-5 | 2-2 |
Ranked no. 102, the Australian reached the 2nd round after beating Ryan Seggerman 6-3 6-2.
In the 1st round, Jordan had a good straight sets win against Seggerman (6-3 6-2). During the match, Thompson scored 62 points vs Seggerman’s 40. Jordan was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Thompson scored 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Jordan Thompson was pretty effective on serve to win 88% (29/33) of his 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Thompson was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Seggerman 3 times.
Thompson has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (376-254). 12-12 on hard in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Thompson has an aggregate 213-140 match record in the last years on hard.
The Australian’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in the Surbiton Challenger and the Nottingham Challenger.
The Australian has a composed 28-24 win-loss record in 2022, 12-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cary Challenger
The Australian has never competed in this tournament before.
Juncheng Shang
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6-8 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-27 | 25-10 | 8-7 | 2-6 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-23 | 21-14 | 3-3 | 0-2 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-24 | 17-8 | 15-10 | 7-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-5 | 6-3 | 12-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 202 (career-high), Juncheng got to the 2nd round after defeating Henry Patten 7-5 7-68.
In the 1st round, Juncheng had a good straight sets win against Patten (7-5 7-68). During the match Shang scored 93 points vs Patten’s 87. Juncheng was extremely aggressive to blast 44 winners.
About the serving games, Shang bagged 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Juncheng Shang lost the serve 4 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Shang put 71% of his first serves in, winning 67% (44/66) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (12/27) on the 2nd serve. Shang broke Patten 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Juncheng’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M15 Naples,the Lexington Challenger and the Granby Challenger.
Shang has a compiled 33-17 win-loss record in 2022, 12-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Thompson | Shang |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 25 |
| Pts | 62-40 | 93-87 |
| Total Points | 102 | 180 |
| Winners | 29 | 44 |
| %Winners | 47% | 47% |
Both Thompson and Shang played 1 match. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Thompson and Shang have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Thompson played 8 games less than Shang. Jordan scored 29 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Shang managed to score 44 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Thompson | Shang |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 5 |
| 1st in | 33/57 | 66/93 |
| %1st in | 58% | 71% |
| 1st pts | 29/33 | 44/66 |
| %1st pts | 88% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 13/24 | 12/27 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 44% |
Thompson fired 6 aces . Shang blasted 5 aces . Thompson won 88% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Shang won 67% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 44% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Thompson | Shang |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 5 |
| Converted | 3/3 | 5/9 |
| % Converted | 100% | 56% |
| Conceded | 4 | 13 |
| Saved | 4 | 9 |
| % Saved | 100% | 69% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 |
The Australian broke his opponent 3 times with a 100% conversion rate. The Australian quite strong on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 4 break points. The Chinese broke his opponent 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Chinese conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.
| Thompson | |||
| R1 Seggerman | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 62-40 | 62-40 | |
| Total points | 102 | 102 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 33/57 | 33/57 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 29/33 | 29/33 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 88% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/24 | 13/24 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/3 | 3/3 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Shang | |||
| R1 Patten | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 7-68 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 25 | |
| pts | 93-87 | 93-87 | |
| Total points | 180 | 180 | |
| Winners | 44 | 44 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 66/93 | 66/93 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 44/66 | 44/66 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/27 | 12/27 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 44% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/9 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 13 | |
| Saved | 9/13 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 69% | 69% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
Tennis Scores in Cary Challenger
- Tennys SandgrenSandgren – Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich (7-63 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Michael MmohMmoh – Alex RybakovRybakov (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Denis KudlaKudla – Emilio NavaNava (6-74 6-1 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Facundo MenaMena – Govind NandaNanda (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Dominik KoepferKoepfer – Keegan SmithSmith (1-6 6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ryan HarrisonHarrison – Nick ChappellChappell (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tennys SandgrenSandgren – Dominik KoepferKoepfer (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Denis KudlaKudla – Facundo MenaMena (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yasutaka UchiyamaUchiyama – Stefan KozlovKozlov (1-0) – H2H and prediction