
Stefan Kozlov and Yasutaka Uchiyama will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Cary Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 4:00 pm on COURT 15. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Stefan Kozlov who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Stefan Kozlov is the pick to win this match.
Stefan Kozlov -> 1.72
Yasutaka Uchiyama -> 2.07
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Prediction and head to head Stefan Kozlov vs. Yasutaka Uchiyama
This will be the 2nd time that Stefan Kozlov and Yasutaka Uchiyama square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Uchiyama (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Uchiyama won 6-4 7-5 in the qualifications in at the French Open back in 2018.
Stefan Kozlov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 28-12 | 12-6 | 6-2 | 10-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-19 | 16-9 | 17-8 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 6-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-34 | 14-18 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-15 | 20-12 | 5-2 | 16-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 110, Stefan got to the 2nd round after beating Cannon Kingsley 2-6 6-2 6-2.
In the 1st round against Kingsley, Kozlov recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-2 6-2). During the match, Kozlov scored 82 points vs Kingsley’s 71. Kozlov was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Kozlov recorded 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Stefan Kozlov lost the serve 4 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Kozlov put 63% of his first serves in, winning 67% (29/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (12/25) on the 2nd serve. Kozlov broke Kingsley 6 times after converting 46% of his break points (6/13).
Kozlov has positive record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (265-208). 9-13 on hard in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Kozlov has a compiled 130-107 record in the last years on hard.
Stefan has a compiled 13-26 win-loss record in 2022, 9-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cary Challenger
Yasutaka Uchiyama
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23-29 | 19-22 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 34-25 | 26-18 | 1-1 | 6-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-24 | 27-22 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-21 | 16-13 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 12-26 | 9-13 | 0-3 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 307, Yasutaka got to the 2nd round after beating Donald Young 4-6 6-3 6-0.
In the 1st round against Young, Yasutaka recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-0). During the match Uchiyama scored 93 points vs Young’s 74. Uchiyama was extremely aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about serving, Uchiyama bagged 9 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Yasutaka Uchiyama lost the serve twice and he saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Uchiyama put 56% of his first serves in, winning 74% (39/53) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (20/41) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Young 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Yasutaka’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M25 Monastir.
Uchiyama has an overall 22-17 win-loss record in 2022, 15-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cary Challenger
Yasutaka has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kozlov | Uchiyama |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 24 | 25 |
| Pts | 82-71 | 93-74 |
| Total Points | 153 | 167 |
| Winners | 29 | 39 |
| %Winners | 35% | 42% |
Both Kozlov and Uchiyama played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Stefan Kozlov surrendered 1 set, while Yasutaka Uchiyama conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Kozlov and Uchiyama have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Kozlov played 1 game less than Uchiyama. The American scored 29 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese recorded 39 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kozlov | Uchiyama |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 9 |
| 1st in | 43/68 | 53/94 |
| %1st in | 63% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 29/43 | 39/53 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 12/25 | 20/41 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 49% |
Kozlov scored 5 aces . Uchiyama managed to score 9 aces . Kozlov won 67% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Uchiyama won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kozlov | Uchiyama |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 5 |
| Converted | 6/13 | 5/9 |
| % Converted | 46% | 56% |
| Conceded | 8 | 13 |
| Saved | 4 | 11 |
| % Saved | 50% | 85% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 |
Kozlov broke his opponent 6 times with a 46% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Yasutaka broke his opponent 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded his serve twice and he saved 85% of the break points that he conceded.
| Kozlov | |||
| R1 Kingsley |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 24 | |
| pts | 82-71 | 82-71 | |
| Total points | 153 | 153 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 43/68 | 43/68 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 29/43 | 29/43 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/25 | 12/25 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/13 | 6/13 | |
| Converted % | 46% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 4/8 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Uchiyama | |||
| R1 Young |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 25 | |
| pts | 93-74 | 93-74 | |
| Total points | 167 | 167 | |
| Winners | 39 | 39 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 53/94 | 53/94 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 39/53 | 39/53 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/41 | 20/41 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/9 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 13 | |
| Saved | 11/13 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 85% | 85% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWWWLW
LWWLLWLLLL Tennis Scores in Cary Challenger
- Tennys SandgrenSandgren – Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich (7-63 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Michael MmohMmoh – Alex RybakovRybakov (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Denis KudlaKudla – Emilio NavaNava (6-74 6-1 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Facundo MenaMena – Govind NandaNanda (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Dominik KoepferKoepfer – Keegan SmithSmith (1-6 6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ryan HarrisonHarrison – Nick ChappellChappell (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tennys SandgrenSandgren – Dominik KoepferKoepfer (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Denis KudlaKudla – Facundo MenaMena (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yasutaka UchiyamaUchiyama – Stefan KozlovKozlov (1-0) – H2H and prediction








