Nathan Ponwith and Garrett Johns will square off in the qualifications of the Cary Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 2:30 pm on COURT 13. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Garrett Johns who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Garrett Johns is the pick to win this match.
Garrett Johns -> 1.54
Nathan Ponwith -> 2.35
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Prediction and head to head Nathan Ponwith vs. Garrett Johns
This will be the 3rd time that Nathan Ponwith and Garrett Johns face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Johns (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Johns won 6-3 6-2 in the 1st round in M15 Lubbock back in 2021.
Nathan Ponwith
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17-23 | 15-18 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 22-32 | 18-25 | 2-2 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-27 | 19-15 | 6-7 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 17-14 | 16-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 534, Ponwith reached the qualifications after beating Jake Krug 6-0 6-2.
In the qualifications, The American had a good straight sets win against Krug (6-0 6-2). During the match, Ponwith scored 53 points vs Krug’s 26. Nathan was quite aggressive to blast 16 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ponwith recorded 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Nathan Ponwith was exceptionally effective on serve to win 73% (16/22) of his 1st serve and 70% (16/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Krug 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
Ponwith has a solid match record in the last 7 years having won 60% of his matches (107-72). 18-10 on hard in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Ponwith has an aggregate83-52 match record in the last 7 years on hard.
The American’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M15 San Diego,M15 Lakewood and M25 Edwardsville.
The American has a composed 25-18 win-loss record in 2022, 18-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cary Challenger
Ponwith has never competed in this tournament before.
Garrett Johns
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 14-15 | 4-7 | 9-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-16 | 29-11 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 19-8 | 13-4 | 6-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-9 | 9-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 746 (career-high), Johns got to the qualifications after defeating John Mcnally 4-6 7-65 6-2.
In the qualifications against Mcnally, Garrett recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-65 6-2). During the match Johns scored 106 points vs Mcnally’s 94. Garrett was extremely aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about serving, Johns blasted 7 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Garrett Johns was very effective on serve to win 86% (36/42) of his 1st serve and 59% (30/51) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Garrett broke Mcnally twice after converting 20% of his break points (2/10).
Garrett’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M15 Memphis.
Garrett has an aggregate 15-5 win-loss record in 2022, 9-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ponwith | Johns |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 14 | 31 |
| Pts | 53-26 | 106-94 |
| Total Points | 79 | 200 |
| Winners | 16 | 36 |
| %Winners | 30% | 34% |
Both Ponwith and Johns played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Garrett Johns conceded 1 set while Nathan Ponwith hasn’t lost a set so far. Ponwith has played 1 set(s) less than Johns (2 vs 3). Therefore, Ponwith played 17 games less than Johns. Ponwith scored 16 winners (30% of the total points). On the other side, Garrett recorded 36 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ponwith | Johns |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 7 |
| 1st in | 22/45 | 42/93 |
| %1st in | 49% | 45% |
| 1st pts | 16/22 | 36/42 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 86% |
| 2nd pts | 16/23 | 30/51 |
| %2nd pts | 70% | 59% |
Ponwith managed to score 3 aces . Johns bagged 7 aces . Ponwith won 73% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 70% of the points. On the other side, Johns won 86% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ponwith | Johns |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 2 |
| Converted | 5/7 | 2/10 |
| % Converted | 71% | 20% |
| Conceded | 2 | 1 |
| Saved | 2 | 0 |
| % Saved | 100% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
Nathan broke his opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. Nathan had a solid display on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 2 break points. Johns broke his opponent twice with a 20% conversion rate. Garrett conceded his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ponwith | |||
| Q1 Krug |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 14 | |
| pts | 53-26 | 53-26 | |
| Total points | 79 | 79 | |
| Winners | 16 | 16 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 30% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 22/45 | 22/45 | |
| % 1st in | 49% | 49% | |
| 1st pts | 16/22 | 16/22 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/23 | 16/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 70% | 70% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/7 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Johns | |||
| Q1 Mcnally |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 7-65 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 31 | |
| pts | 106-94 | 106-94 | |
| Total points | 200 | 200 | |
| Winners | 36 | 36 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 42/93 | 42/93 | |
| % 1st in | 45% | 45% | |
| 1st pts | 36/42 | 36/42 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 30/51 | 30/51 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/10 | 2/10 | |
| Converted % | 20% | 20% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
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