Jozef Kovalik and Jelle Sels will face off in the final of the Tulln Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 2:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jozef Kovalik who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jozef Kovalik is the pick to win this match.
Jozef Kovalik -> 1.56
Jelle Sels -> 2.36

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Prediction and head to head Jozef Kovalik vs. Jelle Sels

There is no head to head record between Jozef Kovalik and Jelle Sels since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Jozef Kovalik

Jozef Kovalik

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
587
High
80
LLWWLWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 14-23 2-5 11-14 0-3 1-1 0-0
2024 36-25 3-5 30-15 3-4 0-1 0-0
2023 23-34 1-3 21-28 1-2 0-1 0-0
2022 33-23 3-6 29-13 1-3 0-1 0-0
2021 31-27 0-1 26-20 5-5 0-1 0-0

Ranked no. 201, the Slovakian got to the final after beating Chun Hsin Tseng 5-7 6-3 6-4, Ivan Gakhov 6-3 4-0 ret., Jurij Rodionov 6-1 6-3 and Elias Ymer 7-5 3-6 6-4.

In the semifinal, The Slovakian defeated Ymer (7-5 3-6 6-4).During the match, Kovalik scored less points (1) than Ymer. In fact, the world no. 201 won 89 points vs Ymer’s. That means that Kovalik was more focused during the important points. Jozef was very aggressive to blast 42 winners.

Talking about the service games, Kovalik struck 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Jozef Kovalik lost the serve 4 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Kovalik put 64% of his first serves in, winning 68% (42/62) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (19/35) on the 2nd serve. The Slovakian broke Ymer 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Kovalik has lost 2 set in this event to conquer 53% of the points he played.

Kovalik has positive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (342-250). 24-12 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Kovalik has a compiled 266-162 record in the last years on clay.

Kovalik’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in the Oeiras 2 Challenger,the Luedenscheid Challenger and the Tulln Challenger.

Kovalik has a compiled 27-19 win-loss record in 2022, 24-12 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Tulln Challenger

Tulln Challenger
Kovalik's Record

Jelle Sels

Jelle Sels

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
352
High
127
WLWWLWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 42-34 6-6 21-18 15-9 0-1 0-0
2024 48-30 13-6 28-16 7-8 0-0 0-0
2023 11-27 5-4 3-14 3-6 0-3 0-0
2022 48-33 0-0 26-17 22-15 0-1 0-0
2021 37-31 2-3 14-13 20-14 0-0 1-1

Ranked no. 255, the Dutch reached the final after beating Ergi Kirkin 6-3 4-6 6-0, Giovanni Oradini 6-1 6-3, Maxime Janvier 4-6 6-4 6-3, Federico Coria 4-6 7-65 6-3, Giulio Zeppieri 6-3 3-1 ret. and Norbert Gombos 6-4 7-64.

In the semifinal, The Dutch had a good straight sets win against Gombos (6-4 7-64). During the match Sels scored 87 points vs Gombos’s 81. Sels was quite aggressive to blast 45 winners.

Talking about serving, Sels scored 7 aces and he was very solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Jelle Sels lost the serve once and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Sels put 71% of his first serves in, winning 74% (45/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (11/25) on the 2nd serve. The Dutch broke Gombos twice after converting 18% of his break points (2/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jelle started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Jelle’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M25 Den Haag.

Sels has an overall 28-26 win-loss record in 2022, 19-15 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Tulln Challenger

Jelle has never competed in this tournament before.

Tulln Challenger
Sels's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

J.Kovalik
J.Sels
7h:03
7h:03
Time on court​
!
10h:57
10h:57
!
2h:26
2h:26
Last match​
1h:57
1h:57
4
4
Match played
!
6
6
91
91
Games Played​
138
138
11
11
Set played​​
16
16
299
299
Total points​
488
488
74.8
74.8
Avg point​
81.3
81.3
115
115
Winners
208
208
28.8
28.8
Avg Winners​
34.7
34.7
38%
38%
Ratio winners
43%
43%
-- Serve --
13
13
Aces
28
28
3.3
3.3
Avg Aces
4.7
4.7
6
6
Double Faults
14
14
1.5
1.5
Avg Double Faults
2.3
2.3
115/167
115/167
1st won total​
208/298
208/298
69%
69%
1st won %
70%
70%
70/104
70/104
2nd won total​
89/167
89/167
!
67%
67%
2nd won %
53%
53%
-- Break Points --
15/30
15/30
BP won
23/55
23/55
3.8/7.5
3.8/7.5
Avg BP won
3.8/9.2
3.8/9.2
50%
50%
Won
42%
42%
17
17
Conceded
39
39
4.3
4.3
Avg Conceded
6.5
6.5
7
7
Broken
9
9
1.8
1.8
Avg Broken
1.5
1.5
10
10
Saved
30
30

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Kovalik Sels
Match played 4 6
Tot Set 11 16
Tot Games 91 138
Pts 299-254 488-429
Total Points 553 917
Winners 115 208
%Winners 38% 43%

Kovalik played 4 matches while Sels competed in 6 matches. Sels started his run from the qualifications while Kovalik had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Jozef Kovalik conceded 2 sets, while Jelle Sels lost 3 sets. Kovalik has played 5 set(s) less than Sels (11 vs 16). Therefore, Kovalik played 47 games less than Sels. Kovalik scored 115 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Jelle managed to score 208 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve Kovalik Sels
Aces 13 28
Avg per match 3.3 4.7
1st in 167/271 298/465
%1st in 62% 64%
1st pts 115/167 208/298
%1st pts 69% 70%
2nd pts 70/104 89/167
%2nd pts 67% 53%

Kovalik struck 13 aces (3.3 per match). Sels scored 28 aces (4.7 per match). Kovalik won 69% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Sels won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Kovalik Sels
Won 15 23
Converted 15/30 23/55
% Converted 50% 42%
Conceded 17 39
Saved 10 30
% Saved 59% 77%
Times Broken 7 9

Kovalik broke his opponents 15 times with a 50% conversion rate. Jozef lost his serve 7 times and he saved 59% of the break points that he conceded. The Dutch broke his opponents 23 times with a 42% conversion rate. Sels conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded.

Kovalik
R1
Hsin
R2
Gakhov
1/4
Rodionov
1/2
Ymer
Total
Score 5-7 6-3 6-4 6-3 4-0 ret. 6-1 6-3 7-5 3-6 6-4
Tot Set 3 2 2 3 10
Tot Games 31 13 16 31 91
pts 107-96 44-26 59-42 89-90 299-254
Total points 203 70 101 179 553
Winners 34 18 21 42 115
%Winners 32% 41% 36% 47% 38%
SERVE
Aces 1 2 6 4 13
Double Faults 2 1 1 2 6
1st in 56/93 21/34 28/47 62/97 167/271
% 1st in 60% 62% 60% 64% 62%
1st pts 34/56 18/21 21/28 42/62 115/167
% 1st pts 61% 86% 75% 68% 69%
2nd pts 28/37 10/13 13/19 19/35 70/104
% 2nd pts 76% 77% 68% 54% 67%
Breaks
Won 4 3 4 4 15
Converted 4/13 3/5 4/7 4/5 15/30
Converted % 31% 60% 57% 80% 50%
Conceded 8 0 0 9 17
Saved 5/8 0/0 0/0 5/9 10
Saved % 63% 56% 30%
Times Broken 3 0 0 4 7
Sels
Q1
Kirkin
Q3
Oradini
R1
Janvier
R2
Coria
1/4
Zeppieri
1/2
Gombos
Total
Score 6-3 4-6 6-0 6-1 6-3 4-6 6-4 6-3 4-6 7-65 6-3 6-3 3-1 ret. 6-4 7-64
Tot Set 3 2 3 3 2 2 15
Tot Games 25 16 29 32 13 23 138
pts 91-79 71-53 91-84 99-100 49-32 87-81 488-429
Total points 170 124 175 199 81 168 917
Winners 35 30 36 44 18 45 208
%Winners 38% 42% 40% 44% 37% 52% 43%
SERVE
Aces 5 3 3 5 5 7 28
Double Faults 3 5 2 4 0 0 14
1st in 58/91 41/74 49/76 69/110 20/28 61/86 298/465
% 1st in 64% 55% 64% 63% 71% 71% 64%
1st pts 35/58 30/41 36/49 44/69 18/20 45/61 208/298
% 1st pts 60% 73% 73% 64% 90% 74% 70%
2nd pts 21/33 16/33 14/27 21/41 6/8 11/25 89/167
% 2nd pts 64% 48% 52% 51% 75% 44% 53%
Breaks
Won 5 4 5 4 3 2 23
Converted 5/10 4/6 5/15 4/4 3/9 2/11 23/55
Converted % 50% 67% 33% 100% 33% 18% 42%
Conceded 6 14 3 10 0 6 39
Saved 5/6 14/14 0/3 6/10 0/0 5/6 30
Saved % 83% 100% 0% 60% 83% 82%
Times Broken 1 0 3 4 0 1 9

Upcoming matches in the draw