Jozef Kovalik and Jelle Sels will face off in the final of the Tulln Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 2:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jozef Kovalik who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jozef Kovalik is the pick to win this match.
Jozef Kovalik -> 1.56
Jelle Sels -> 2.36
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Prediction and head to head Jozef Kovalik vs. Jelle Sels
There is no head to head record between Jozef Kovalik and Jelle Sels since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Jozef Kovalik
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-23 | 2-5 | 11-14 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 36-25 | 3-5 | 30-15 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-34 | 1-3 | 21-28 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-23 | 3-6 | 29-13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 31-27 | 0-1 | 26-20 | 5-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 201, the Slovakian got to the final after beating Chun Hsin Tseng 5-7 6-3 6-4, Ivan Gakhov 6-3 4-0 ret., Jurij Rodionov 6-1 6-3 and Elias Ymer 7-5 3-6 6-4.
In the semifinal, The Slovakian defeated Ymer (7-5 3-6 6-4).During the match, Kovalik scored less points (1) than Ymer. In fact, the world no. 201 won 89 points vs Ymer’s. That means that Kovalik was more focused during the important points. Jozef was very aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Talking about the service games, Kovalik struck 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Jozef Kovalik lost the serve 4 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Kovalik put 64% of his first serves in, winning 68% (42/62) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (19/35) on the 2nd serve. The Slovakian broke Ymer 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kovalik has lost 2 set in this event to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Kovalik has positive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (342-250). 24-12 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Kovalik has a compiled 266-162 record in the last years on clay.
Kovalik’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in the Oeiras 2 Challenger,the Luedenscheid Challenger and the Tulln Challenger.
Kovalik has a compiled 27-19 win-loss record in 2022, 24-12 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Tulln Challenger
Jelle Sels
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 43-35 | 7-7 | 21-18 | 15-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 48-30 | 13-6 | 28-16 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 11-27 | 5-4 | 3-14 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 48-33 | 0-0 | 26-17 | 22-15 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-31 | 2-3 | 14-13 | 20-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
Ranked no. 255, the Dutch reached the final after beating Ergi Kirkin 6-3 4-6 6-0, Giovanni Oradini 6-1 6-3, Maxime Janvier 4-6 6-4 6-3, Federico Coria 4-6 7-65 6-3, Giulio Zeppieri 6-3 3-1 ret. and Norbert Gombos 6-4 7-64.
In the semifinal, The Dutch had a good straight sets win against Gombos (6-4 7-64). During the match Sels scored 87 points vs Gombos’s 81. Sels was quite aggressive to blast 45 winners.
Talking about serving, Sels scored 7 aces and he was very solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Jelle Sels lost the serve once and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Sels put 71% of his first serves in, winning 74% (45/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (11/25) on the 2nd serve. The Dutch broke Gombos twice after converting 18% of his break points (2/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jelle started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Jelle’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M25 Den Haag.
Sels has an overall 28-26 win-loss record in 2022, 19-15 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Tulln Challenger
Jelle has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kovalik | Sels |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Set | 11 | 16 |
| Tot Games | 91 | 138 |
| Pts | 299-254 | 488-429 |
| Total Points | 553 | 917 |
| Winners | 115 | 208 |
| %Winners | 38% | 43% |
Kovalik played 4 matches while Sels competed in 6 matches. Sels started his run from the qualifications while Kovalik had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Jozef Kovalik conceded 2 sets, while Jelle Sels lost 3 sets. Kovalik has played 5 set(s) less than Sels (11 vs 16). Therefore, Kovalik played 47 games less than Sels. Kovalik scored 115 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Jelle managed to score 208 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kovalik | Sels |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 28 |
| Avg per match | 3.3 | 4.7 |
| 1st in | 167/271 | 298/465 |
| %1st in | 62% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 115/167 | 208/298 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 70/104 | 89/167 |
| %2nd pts | 67% | 53% |
Kovalik struck 13 aces (3.3 per match). Sels scored 28 aces (4.7 per match). Kovalik won 69% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Sels won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kovalik | Sels |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 15 | 23 |
| Converted | 15/30 | 23/55 |
| % Converted | 50% | 42% |
| Conceded | 17 | 39 |
| Saved | 10 | 30 |
| % Saved | 59% | 77% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 9 |
Kovalik broke his opponents 15 times with a 50% conversion rate. Jozef lost his serve 7 times and he saved 59% of the break points that he conceded. The Dutch broke his opponents 23 times with a 42% conversion rate. Sels conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded.
| Kovalik | ||||||
| R1 Hsin |
R2 Gakhov |
1/4 Rodionov |
1/2 Ymer |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 4-0 ret. | 6-1 6-3 | 7-5 3-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 13 | 16 | 31 | 91 | |
| pts | 107-96 | 44-26 | 59-42 | 89-90 | 299-254 | |
| Total points | 203 | 70 | 101 | 179 | 553 | |
| Winners | 34 | 18 | 21 | 42 | 115 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 41% | 36% | 47% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 56/93 | 21/34 | 28/47 | 62/97 | 167/271 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 62% | 60% | 64% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 34/56 | 18/21 | 21/28 | 42/62 | 115/167 | |
| % 1st pts | 61% | 86% | 75% | 68% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 28/37 | 10/13 | 13/19 | 19/35 | 70/104 | |
| % 2nd pts | 76% | 77% | 68% | 54% | 67% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15 | |
| Converted | 4/13 | 3/5 | 4/7 | 4/5 | 15/30 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 60% | 57% | 80% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 17 | |
| Saved | 5/8 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 5/9 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 63% | – | – | 56% | 30% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | |
| Sels | ||||||||
| Q1 Kirkin |
Q3 Oradini |
R1 Janvier |
R2 Coria |
1/4 Zeppieri |
1/2 Gombos |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 4-6 6-0 | 6-1 6-3 | 4-6 6-4 6-3 | 4-6 7-65 6-3 | 6-3 3-1 ret. | 6-4 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 16 | 29 | 32 | 13 | 23 | 138 | |
| pts | 91-79 | 71-53 | 91-84 | 99-100 | 49-32 | 87-81 | 488-429 | |
| Total points | 170 | 124 | 175 | 199 | 81 | 168 | 917 | |
| Winners | 35 | 30 | 36 | 44 | 18 | 45 | 208 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 42% | 40% | 44% | 37% | 52% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 5 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 28 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 58/91 | 41/74 | 49/76 | 69/110 | 20/28 | 61/86 | 298/465 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 55% | 64% | 63% | 71% | 71% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 35/58 | 30/41 | 36/49 | 44/69 | 18/20 | 45/61 | 208/298 | |
| % 1st pts | 60% | 73% | 73% | 64% | 90% | 74% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/33 | 16/33 | 14/27 | 21/41 | 6/8 | 11/25 | 89/167 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 48% | 52% | 51% | 75% | 44% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 23 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 4/6 | 5/15 | 4/4 | 3/9 | 2/11 | 23/55 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 67% | 33% | 100% | 33% | 18% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 39 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 14/14 | 0/3 | 6/10 | 0/0 | 5/6 | 30 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 100% | 0% | 60% | – | 83% | 82% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jelle SelsSels – Jozef KovalikKovalik (0-0) – H2H and prediction
