Hugo Grenier and Francesco Maestrelli will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Cassis Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 4:30 pm on CENTRAL CABESTO. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Hugo Grenier who should win in 3 sets.
Hugo Grenier -> 1.46
Francesco Maestrelli -> 2.64
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Prediction and head to head Hugo Grenier vs. Francesco Maestrelli
There is no head to head record between Hugo Grenier and Francesco Maestrelli since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Hugo Grenier
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-34 | 30-18 | 0-2 | 9-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-33 | 25-15 | 2-8 | 9-8 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-33 | 15-8 | 7-10 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-35 | 21-14 | 9-10 | 1-8 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-28 | 22-9 | 9-8 | 12-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 119 (career-high), the French player got to the semifinal after beating Matteo Martineau 6-1 6-4, Laurent Lokoli 6-3 4-6 7-65 and Kaichi Uchida 6-4 7-65.
In the quarter, The French player had a good straight sets win against Uchida (6-4 7-65). During the match, Grenier scored 83 points vs Uchida’s 67. Grenier was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Regarding the service games, Grenier scored 12 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Hugo Grenier was extremely efficient on serve to win 81% (29/36) of his 1st serve and 67% (14/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Hugo broke Uchida 3 times after converting 23% of his break points (3/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Grenier has lost 1 set in this event to win 55% of the points he played.
Grenier has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 60% of his matches (305-206). 18-12 on hard in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Grenier has an aggregate164-82 record in the last 8 years on hard.
Grenier’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in the Segovia Challenger.
Hugo has a compiled 31-27 win-loss record in 2022, 18-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cassis Challenger
Francesco Maestrelli
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 44-29 | 9-7 | 28-18 | 7-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-36 | 11-7 | 21-23 | 5-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-38 | 9-10 | 16-24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-24 | 5-4 | 34-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-18 | 8-3 | 18-12 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 205, Francesco got to the semifinal after beating Robin Bertrand 6-2 7-63, Ryan Peniston 4-6 7-5 6-1 and Constant Lestienne 3-6 7-60 6-3.
In the quarter against Lestienne, Francesco recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-60 6-3). During the match Maestrelli scored 118 points vs Lestienne’s 117. Maestrelli was very aggressive to blast 50 winners.
Talking about serving, Maestrelli struck 10 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Francesco Maestrelli lost the serve 3 times and he saved 13 break points. Furthermore, Maestrelli put 60% of his first serves in, winning 66% (50/76) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (23/51) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Lestienne 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Maestrelli has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
The Italian’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M25 Santa Margherita di Pula,the Francavilla Challenger and the Verona Challenger.
Maestrelli has an aggregate 44-18 win-loss record in 2022, 5-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cassis Challenger
The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Grenier | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 72 | 81 |
| Pts | 251-202 | 280-256 |
| Total Points | 453 | 536 |
| Winners | 101 | 124 |
| %Winners | 40% | 44% |
Both Grenier and Maestrelli played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Hugo Grenier conceded 1 set, while Francesco Maestrelli dropped 2 sets. Grenier has played 1 set(s) less than Maestrelli (7 vs 8). Therefore, Grenier played 9 games less than Maestrelli. Hugo scored 101 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Maestrelli scored 124 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Grenier | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 25 | 22 |
| Avg per match | 8.3 | 7.3 |
| 1st in | 123/201 | 175/275 |
| %1st in | 61% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 101/123 | 124/175 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 44/78 | 45/100 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 45% |
Grenier blasted 25 aces (8.3 per match). Maestrelli bagged 22 aces (7.3 per match). Grenier won 82% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Maestrelli won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 45% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Grenier | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 14 |
| Converted | 10/26 | 14/27 |
| % Converted | 38% | 52% |
| Conceded | 10 | 28 |
| Saved | 5 | 20 |
| % Saved | 50% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 8 |
The French player broke his opponents 10 times with a 38% conversion rate. Hugo conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponents 14 times with a 52% conversion rate. Francesco conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.
| Grenier | |||||
| R1 Martineau | R2 Lokoli | 1/4 Uchida | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 6-3 4-6 7-65 | 6-4 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 32 | 23 | 72 | |
| pts | 60-35 | 108-100 | 83-67 | 251-202 | |
| Total points | 95 | 208 | 150 | 453 | |
| Winners | 23 | 49 | 29 | 101 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 45% | 35% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 11 | 12 | 25 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 5 | 4 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 28/47 | 59/97 | 36/57 | 123/201 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 61% | 63% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 23/28 | 49/59 | 29/36 | 101/123 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 83% | 81% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/19 | 17/38 | 14/21 | 44/78 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 45% | 67% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 3/6 | 3/13 | 10/26 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 50% | 23% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 3/5 | 0/2 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 60% | 0% | 42% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | |
| Maestrelli | |||||
| R1 Bertrand | R2 Peniston | 1/4 Lestienne | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-63 | 4-6 7-5 6-1 | 3-6 7-60 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 29 | 31 | 81 | |
| pts | 68-55 | 94-84 | 118-117 | 280-256 | |
| Total points | 123 | 178 | 235 | 536 | |
| Winners | 30 | 44 | 50 | 124 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 47% | 42% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 7 | 5 | 10 | 22 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 39/60 | 60/88 | 76/127 | 175/275 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 68% | 60% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 30/39 | 44/60 | 50/76 | 124/175 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 73% | 66% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/21 | 11/28 | 23/51 | 45/100 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 39% | 45% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 4 | 14 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 6/13 | 4/9 | 14/27 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 46% | 44% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 9 | 16 | 28 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 6/9 | 13/16 | 20 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 67% | 81% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
Tennis Scores in Cassis Challenger
- Romain Arneodo/Albano OlivettiArneodo/Albano Olivetti – Yuki Bhambri/Saketh-Sai MyneniBhambri/Saketh-Sai Myneni (6-3 4-6 10-8) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Tomas MachacMachac – James DuckworthDuckworth (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli – Hugo GrenierGrenier (0-0) – H2H and prediction