Casper Ruud and Karen Khachanov will play each other in the semifinal of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 3:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Casper Ruud who should win in 5 sets.
As per the initial odds, Casper Ruud is the pick to win this match.
Casper Ruud -> 1.63
Karen Khachanov -> 2.4
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Prediction and head to head Casper Ruud vs. Karen Khachanov
This will be the 2nd time that Casper Ruud and Karen Khachanov square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Ruud (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Ruud won 6-3 3-6 6-1 in the 1st round in Rome back in 2020.
Casper Ruud
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39-10 | 17-5 | 21-5 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-23 | 12-12 | 22-8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-22 | 18-8 | 25-7 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 57-17 | 16-6 | 28-5 | 11-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 22-13 | 4-5 | 17-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, the Norwegian got to the semifinal after beating Kyle Edmund 6-3 7-5 6-2, Tim Van Rijthoven 6-74 6-4 6-4 6-4, Tommy Paul 7-63 6-75 7-62 5-7 6-0, Corentin Moutet 6-1 6-2 6-74 6-2 and Matteo Berrettini 6-1 6-4 7-64.
In the quarter, Casper had a good straight sets win against Berrettini (6-1 6-4 7-64). During the match, Ruud scored 106 points vs Berrettini’s 89. The Norwegian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 47 winners.
Talking about the service games, Ruud wasn’t able to score even 1 ace during the match and he committed only 2 double faults. Casper Ruud lost the serve twice and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Ruud put 65% of his first serves in, winning 75% (47/63) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (17/34) on the 2nd serve. The Norwegian broke Berrettini 5 times after converting 36% of his break points (5/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ruud has conceded 4 set in this competition to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Ruud has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 65% of his matches (308-163). 16-5 on hard in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Ruud has an overall71-46 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.
His best result of the year was winning the title in in Buenos Aires where he defeated Diego Sebastian Schwartzman in the final 5-7 6-2 6-3 and in in Geneva where he overcame Joao Sousa in the final 7-6(3) 4-6 7-6(1) and in in Gstaad where he beat Matteo Berrettini in the final 4-6 7-6(4) 6-2.
Casper has an aggregate 43-15 win-loss record in 2022, 16-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Karen Khachanov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-11 | 10-5 | 8-4 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-18 | 18-10 | 10-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-25 | 17-11 | 9-7 | 6-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-24 | 17-9 | 5-6 | 8-6 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-15 | 12-6 | 4-3 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 31, the Russian reached the semifinal after beating Denis Kudla 3-6 6-1 6-2 6-2, Thiago Moura Monteiro 6-3 6-3 5-7 6-4, Jack Draper 6-3 4-6 6-5 ret., Pablo Carreno-Busta 4-6 6-3 6-1 4-6 6-3 and Nick Kyrgios 7-5 4-6 7-5 6-73 6-4.
In the quarter, Karen had a tough win against Kyrgios to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (7-5 4-6 7-5 6-73 6-4). During the match Khachanov scored 167 points vs Kyrgios’s 159. Karen was quite aggressive to blast 76 winners.
Talking about serving, Khachanov submerged his opponent with 30 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Karen Khachanov was very effective on serve to win 77% (76/99) of his 1st serve and 64% (43/67) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Karen broke Kyrgios 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Karen has conceded 6 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Khachanov’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Adelaide.
Khachanov has a compiled 31-20 win-loss record in 2022, 17-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2018 and 2020. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ruud | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 19 | 22 |
| Tot Games | 195 | 204 |
| Pts | 643-550 | 652-559 |
| Total Points | 1193 | 1211 |
| Winners | 285 | 277 |
| %Winners | 44% | 42% |
Both Ruud and Khachanov played 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Casper Ruud conceded 4 sets, while Karen Khachanov dropped 7 sets. Ruud has played 3 set(s) less than Khachanov (19 vs 22). Therefore, Ruud played 9 games less than Khachanov. Casper scored 285 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Karen recorded 277 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ruud | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 26 | 88 |
| Avg per match | 5.2 | 17.6 |
| 1st in | 376/583 | 346/579 |
| %1st in | 64% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 285/376 | 277/346 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 116/207 | 136/233 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 58% |
Ruud struck 26 aces (5.2 per match). Khachanov bagged 88 aces (17.6 per match). Ruud won 76% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Khachanov won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ruud | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 29 | 25 |
| Converted | 29/71 | 25/61 |
| % Converted | 41% | 41% |
| Conceded | 36 | 33 |
| Saved | 25 | 22 |
| % Saved | 69% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 11 | 11 |
Casper broke his opponents 29 times with a 41% conversion rate. Ruud conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded. Karen broke his opponents 25 times with a 41% conversion rate. Khachanov conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ruud | |||||||
| R1 Edmund |
R2 Van Rijthoven |
R3 Paul |
R4 Moutet |
1/4 Berrettini |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-5 6-2 | 6-74 6-4 6-4 6-4 | 7-63 6-75 7-62 5-7 6-0 | 6-1 6-2 6-74 6-2 | 6-1 6-4 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 43 | 57 | 36 | 30 | 195 | |
| pts | 102-75 | 124-113 | 180-167 | 131-106 | 106-89 | 643-550 | |
| Total points | 177 | 237 | 347 | 237 | 195 | 1193 | |
| Winners | 40 | 68 | 70 | 60 | 47 | 285 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 55% | 39% | 46% | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 10 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 26 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | |
| 1st in | 49/88 | 83/118 | 98/160 | 83/120 | 63/97 | 376/583 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 70% | 61% | 69% | 65% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 40/49 | 68/83 | 70/98 | 60/83 | 47/63 | 285/376 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 82% | 71% | 72% | 75% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/39 | 21/35 | 36/62 | 22/37 | 17/34 | 116/207 | |
| % 2nd pts | 51% | 60% | 58% | 59% | 50% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 29 | |
| Converted | 6/14 | 4/8 | 7/18 | 7/17 | 5/14 | 29/71 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 50% | 39% | 41% | 36% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 36 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 6/7 | 1/6 | 5/6 | 7/9 | 25 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 86% | 17% | 83% | 78% | 68% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | |
| Khachanov | |||||||
| R1 Kudla |
R2 Moura Monteiro |
R3 Draper |
R4 Carreno-Busta |
1/4 Kyrgios |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-1 6-2 6-2 | 6-3 6-3 5-7 6-4 | 6-3 4-6 6-5 ret. | 4-6 6-3 6-1 4-6 6-3 | 7-5 4-6 7-5 6-73 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 21 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 40 | 30 | 45 | 57 | 204 | |
| pts | 113-81 | 123-105 | 109-93 | 140-121 | 167-159 | 652-559 | |
| Total points | 194 | 228 | 202 | 261 | 326 | 1211 | |
| Winners | 46 | 54 | 47 | 54 | 76 | 277 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 44% | 43% | 39% | 46% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 16 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 30 | 88 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 19 | |
| 1st in | 56/95 | 66/108 | 56/88 | 69/122 | 99/166 | 346/579 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 61% | 64% | 57% | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 46/56 | 54/66 | 47/56 | 54/69 | 76/99 | 277/346 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 82% | 84% | 78% | 77% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/39 | 24/42 | 11/32 | 35/53 | 43/67 | 136/233 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 57% | 34% | 66% | 64% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 25 | |
| Converted | 6/8 | 5/15 | 5/15 | 5/15 | 4/8 | 25/61 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 50% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 33 | |
| Saved | 7/8 | 4/6 | 4/8 | 0/2 | 7/9 | 22 | |
| Saved % | 88% | 67% | 50% | 0% | 78% | 57% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWWWWL
LLWLWWLWWL Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Wesley Koolhof/Neal SkupskiKoolhof/Neal Skupski – Marcelo Arevalo/Jean-Julien RojerArevalo/Jean-Julien Rojer (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Rajeev Ram/Joe SalisburyRam/Joe Salisbury – Juan-Sebastian Cabal/Robert FarahCabal/Robert Farah (7-5 4-6 7-66) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Casper RuudRuud (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (0-1) – H2H and prediction
