H2H, PREDICTION Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov | U.S. Open odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. New York. Ruud and Khachanov will fight against each other in the semifinal of the U.S. Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

Prediction and head to head Casper Ruud vs. Karen Khachanov

Casper Ruud and Karen Khachanov will play each other in the semifinal of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 3:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Casper Ruud who should win in 5 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Casper Ruud is the pick to win this match.
Casper Ruud -> 1.63
Karen Khachanov -> 2.4

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Prediction and head to head Casper Ruud vs. Karen Khachanov

This will be the 2nd time that Casper Ruud and Karen Khachanov square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Ruud (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Ruud won 6-3 3-6 6-1 in the 1st round in Rome back in 2020.

Casper Ruud

Casper Ruud
Casper Ruud

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
7
High
2
LWWWWWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 39-10 17-5 21-5 1-0 0-0 0-0
2023 37-23 12-12 22-8 2-2 1-1 0-0
2022 51-22 18-8 25-7 7-5 1-2 0-0
2021 57-17 16-6 28-5 11-4 2-2 0-0
2020 22-13 4-5 17-6 1-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 7, the Norwegian got to the semifinal after beating Kyle Edmund 6-3 7-5 6-2, Tim Van Rijthoven 6-74 6-4 6-4 6-4, Tommy Paul 7-63 6-75 7-62 5-7 6-0, Corentin Moutet 6-1 6-2 6-74 6-2 and Matteo Berrettini 6-1 6-4 7-64.

In the quarter, Casper had a good straight sets win against Berrettini (6-1 6-4 7-64). During the match, Ruud scored 106 points vs Berrettini’s 89. The Norwegian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 47 winners.

Talking about the service games, Ruud wasn’t able to score even 1 ace during the match and he committed only 2 double faults. Casper Ruud lost the serve twice and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Ruud put 65% of his first serves in, winning 75% (47/63) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (17/34) on the 2nd serve. The Norwegian broke Berrettini 5 times after converting 36% of his break points (5/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Ruud has conceded 4 set in this competition to conquer 54% of the points he played.

Ruud has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 65% of his matches (308-163). 16-5 on hard in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Ruud has an overall71-46 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.

His best result of the year was winning the title in in Buenos Aires where he defeated Diego Sebastian Schwartzman in the final 5-7 6-2 6-3 and in in Geneva where he overcame Joao Sousa in the final 7-6(3) 4-6 7-6(1) and in in Gstaad where he beat Matteo Berrettini in the final 4-6 7-6(4) 6-2.

Casper has an aggregate 43-15 win-loss record in 2022, 16-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Ruud
U.S. Open
Ruud's Record

Karen Khachanov

Karen Khachanov
Karen Khachanov

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
22
High
8
LLWLWWLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 20-11 10-5 8-4 2-1 0-1 0-0
2023 34-18 18-10 10-5 6-3 0-0 0-0
2022 36-25 17-11 9-7 6-5 4-2 0-0
2021 35-24 17-9 5-6 8-6 5-3 0-0
2020 20-15 12-6 4-3 4-6 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 31, the Russian reached the semifinal after beating Denis Kudla 3-6 6-1 6-2 6-2, Thiago Moura Monteiro 6-3 6-3 5-7 6-4, Jack Draper 6-3 4-6 6-5 ret., Pablo Carreno-Busta 4-6 6-3 6-1 4-6 6-3 and Nick Kyrgios 7-5 4-6 7-5 6-73 6-4.

In the quarter, Karen had a tough win against Kyrgios to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (7-5 4-6 7-5 6-73 6-4). During the match Khachanov scored 167 points vs Kyrgios’s 159. Karen was quite aggressive to blast 76 winners.

Talking about serving, Khachanov submerged his opponent with 30 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Karen Khachanov was very effective on serve to win 77% (76/99) of his 1st serve and 64% (43/67) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Karen broke Kyrgios 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Karen has conceded 6 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Khachanov’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Adelaide.

Khachanov has a compiled 31-20 win-loss record in 2022, 17-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2018 and 2020. See his history.

Khachanov
U.S. Open
Khachanov's Record
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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

C.Ruud
K.Khachanov
15h:28
15h:28
Time on court​
14h:40
14h:40
!
2h:36
2h:36
Last match​
!
3h:39
3h:39
5
5
Match played
5
5
195
195
Games Played​
204
204
19
19
Set played​​
22
22
643
643
Total points​
652
652
128.6
128.6
Avg point​
130.4
130.4
285
285
Winners
277
277
57
57
Avg Winners​
55.4
55.4
44%
44%
Ratio winners
42%
42%
-- Serve --
26
26
Aces
88
88
5.2
5.2
Avg Aces
!
17.6
17.6
21
21
Double Faults
19
19
4.2
4.2
Avg Double Faults
3.8
3.8
285/376
285/376
1st won total​
277/346
277/346
!
76%
76%
1st won %
!
80%
80%
116/207
116/207
2nd won total​
136/233
136/233
56%
56%
2nd won %
58%
58%
-- Break Points --
29/71
29/71
BP won
25/61
25/61
5.8/14.2
5.8/14.2
Avg BP won
5/12.2
5/12.2
41%
41%
Won
41%
41%
36
36
Conceded
33
33
7.2
7.2
Avg Conceded
6.6
6.6
11
11
Broken
11
11
2.2
2.2
Avg Broken
2.2
2.2
25
25
Saved
22
22

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Ruud Khachanov
Match played 5 5
Tot Set 19 22
Tot Games 195 204
Pts 643-550 652-559
Total Points 1193 1211
Winners 285 277
%Winners 44% 42%

Both Ruud and Khachanov played 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Casper Ruud conceded 4 sets, while Karen Khachanov dropped 7 sets. Ruud has played 3 set(s) less than Khachanov (19 vs 22). Therefore, Ruud played 9 games less than Khachanov. Casper scored 285 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Karen recorded 277 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve Ruud Khachanov
Aces 26 88
Avg per match 5.2 17.6
1st in 376/583 346/579
%1st in 64% 60%
1st pts 285/376 277/346
%1st pts 76% 80%
2nd pts 116/207 136/233
%2nd pts 56% 58%

Ruud struck 26 aces (5.2 per match). Khachanov bagged 88 aces (17.6 per match). Ruud won 76% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Khachanov won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Ruud Khachanov
Won 29 25
Converted 29/71 25/61
% Converted 41% 41%
Conceded 36 33
Saved 25 22
% Saved 69% 67%
Times Broken 11 11

Casper broke his opponents 29 times with a 41% conversion rate. Ruud conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded. Karen broke his opponents 25 times with a 41% conversion rate. Khachanov conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Ruud
R1
Edmund
R2
Van Rijthoven
R3
Paul
R4
Moutet
1/4
Berrettini
Total
Score 6-3 7-5 6-2 6-74 6-4 6-4 6-4 7-63 6-75 7-62 5-7 6-0 6-1 6-2 6-74 6-2 6-1 6-4 7-64
Tot Set 3 4 5 4 3 19
Tot Games 29 43 57 36 30 195
pts 102-75 124-113 180-167 131-106 106-89 643-550
Total points 177 237 347 237 195 1193
Winners 40 68 70 60 47 285
%Winners 39% 55% 39% 46% 44% 44%
SERVE
Aces 10 7 4 5 0 26
Double Faults 7 3 5 4 2 21
1st in 49/88 83/118 98/160 83/120 63/97 376/583
% 1st in 56% 70% 61% 69% 65% 64%
1st pts 40/49 68/83 70/98 60/83 47/63 285/376
% 1st pts 82% 82% 71% 72% 75% 76%
2nd pts 20/39 21/35 36/62 22/37 17/34 116/207
% 2nd pts 51% 60% 58% 59% 50% 56%
Breaks
Won 6 4 7 7 5 29
Converted 6/14 4/8 7/18 7/17 5/14 29/71
Converted % 43% 50% 39% 41% 36% 41%
Conceded 8 7 6 6 9 36
Saved 6/8 6/7 1/6 5/6 7/9 25
Saved % 75% 86% 17% 83% 78% 68%
Times Broken 2 1 5 1 2 11
Khachanov
R1
Kudla
R2
Moura Monteiro
R3
Draper
R4
Carreno-Busta
1/4
Kyrgios
Total
Score 3-6 6-1 6-2 6-2 6-3 6-3 5-7 6-4 6-3 4-6 6-5 ret. 4-6 6-3 6-1 4-6 6-3 7-5 4-6 7-5 6-73 6-4
Tot Set 4 4 3 5 5 21
Tot Games 32 40 30 45 57 204
pts 113-81 123-105 109-93 140-121 167-159 652-559
Total points 194 228 202 261 326 1211
Winners 46 54 47 54 76 277
%Winners 41% 44% 43% 39% 46% 42%
SERVE
Aces 16 17 14 11 30 88
Double Faults 4 3 3 6 3 19
1st in 56/95 66/108 56/88 69/122 99/166 346/579
% 1st in 59% 61% 64% 57% 60% 60%
1st pts 46/56 54/66 47/56 54/69 76/99 277/346
% 1st pts 82% 82% 84% 78% 77% 80%
2nd pts 23/39 24/42 11/32 35/53 43/67 136/233
% 2nd pts 59% 57% 34% 66% 64% 58%
Breaks
Won 6 5 5 5 4 25
Converted 6/8 5/15 5/15 5/15 4/8 25/61
Converted % 75% 33% 33% 33% 50% 41%
Conceded 8 6 8 2 9 33
Saved 7/8 4/6 4/8 0/2 7/9 22
Saved % 88% 67% 50% 0% 78% 57%
Times Broken 1 2 4 2 2 11

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Ruud
LWWWWWWWWL
Khachanov
LLWLWWLWWL
2024 2023 2022
38 - 10
20 - 11
17-5
Hard
10-5
0-0
I Hard
2-1
21-5
Clay
8-4

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

  • Wesley Koolhof/Neal SkupskiKoolhof/Neal SkupskiMarcelo Arevalo/Jean-Julien RojerArevalo/Jean-Julien Rojer (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Rajeev Ram/Joe SalisburyRam/Joe SalisburyJuan-Sebastian Cabal/Robert FarahCabal/Robert Farah (7-5 4-6 7-66) – Stats, scores, rankings
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