Yosuke Watanuki and Sho Shimabukuro will fight against each other in the quarter of the Nonthaburi 3 Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 12:30 pm on COURT A. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Yosuke Watanuki who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Yosuke Watanuki is the pick to win this match.
Yosuke Watanuki -> 1.38
Sho Shimabukuro -> 2.94
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Prediction and head to head Yosuke Watanuki vs. Sho Shimabukuro
This will be the 3rd time that Yosuke Watanuki and Sho Shimabukuro fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Watanuki (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Watanuki won 7-6(5) 6-3 in the 2nd round in the Bendigo Challenger back in 2020.
Yosuke Watanuki
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 31-24 | 18-18 | 0-0 | 6-1 | 7-5 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 11-11 | 9-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-23 | 29-12 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-22 | 19-11 | 6-4 | 15-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-17 | 8-9 | 2-3 | 6-4 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 242, Yousuke reached the quarter after beating Yunseong Chung 7-5 6-72 5-3 ret. and Beibit Zhukayev 6-3 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Zhukayev (6-3 6-3). During the match, Watanuki scored 67 points vs Zhukayev’s 51. Yousuke was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Regarding the service games, Watanuki managed to score 8 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Yosuke Watanuki was quite efficient on serve to win 76% (29/38) of his 1st serve and 58% (14/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Yousuke broke Zhukayev 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Watanuki has a winning record in the last 8 years having won 59% of his matches (160-109). 8-7 on hard in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Watanuki has a composed92-57 match record in the last 8 years on hard.
The Japanese’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the Forli 4 Challenger.
The Japanese has a composed 24-18 win-loss record in 2022, 8-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Nonthaburi 3 Challenger
Sho Shimabukuro
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 34-23 | 29-19 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 30-28 | 21-17 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-26 | 19-17 | 7-1 | 9-4 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-25 | 38-20 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 31-20 | 28-18 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 384, Sho got to the quarter after beating Charles Broom 6-3 6-2 and Yuta Shimizu 2-6 6-3 6-4.
In the 2nd round against Shimizu, Sho recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-3 6-4).During the match Shimabukuro scored less points (1) than Shimizu. In fact, the world no. 242 won 84 points vs Shimizu’s. That means that Shimabukuro was more focused during the important points. The Japanese was extremely aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about serving, Shimabukuro managed to score 7 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Sho Shimabukuro lost the serve 3 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Shimabukuro put 55% of his first serves in, winning 67% (35/52) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (22/42) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Shimizu 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Japanese has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Sho’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M25 Monastir and M25 Harmon.
Sho has an overall 30-16 win-loss record in 2022, 27-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Watanuki | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 51 | 44 |
| Pts | 166-138 | 138-124 |
| Total Points | 304 | 262 |
| Winners | 73 | 59 |
| %Winners | 44% | 43% |
Both Watanuki and Shimabukuro played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Yosuke Watanuki lost 1 set, while Sho Shimabukuro dropped 1 set. Watanuki has played 1 set more than Shimabukuro (6 vs 5). Therefore, Watanuki played 7 games more than Shimabukuro. The Japanese scored 73 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese struck 59 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Watanuki | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 24 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 12 | 5.5 |
| 1st in | 88/154 | 83/142 |
| %1st in | 57% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 73/88 | 59/83 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 37/66 | 34/59 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 58% |
Watanuki scored 24 aces (12 per match). Shimabukuro made 11 aces (5.5 per match). Watanuki won 83% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Shimabukuro won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Watanuki | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 6 |
| Converted | 7/13 | 6/11 |
| % Converted | 54% | 55% |
| Conceded | 11 | 10 |
| Saved | 9 | 7 |
| % Saved | 82% | 70% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 |
The Japanese broke his opponents 7 times with a 54% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded his serve twice and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded. Shimabukuro broke his opponents 6 times with a 55% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.
| Watanuki | ||||
| R1 Chung |
R2 Zhukayev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-72 5-3 ret. | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 18 | 51 | |
| pts | 99-87 | 67-51 | 166-138 | |
| Total points | 186 | 118 | 304 | |
| Winners | 44 | 29 | 73 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 43% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 16 | 8 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 50/92 | 38/62 | 88/154 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 61% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 44/50 | 29/38 | 73/88 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 76% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/42 | 14/24 | 37/66 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 58% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 3/5 | 7/13 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 60% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 5/5 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 100% | 84% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Shimabukuro | ||||
| R1 Broom |
R2 Shimizu |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 2-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 27 | 44 | |
| pts | 54-39 | 84-85 | 138-124 | |
| Total points | 93 | 169 | 262 | |
| Winners | 24 | 35 | 59 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 42% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 7 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 31/48 | 52/94 | 83/142 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 55% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 24/31 | 35/52 | 59/83 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 67% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/17 | 22/42 | 34/59 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 52% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/4 | 6/11 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 75% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 10 | 10 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 7/10 | 7 | |
| Saved % | – | 70% | 35% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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