Iga Swiatek and Jessica Pegula will play each other in the quarter of the U.S. Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 7:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.39
Jessica Pegula -> 3.1
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Jessica Pegula
This will be the 4th time that Iga Swiatek and Jessica Pegula face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Swiatek won 6-3 6-2 in the quarter in at the French Open back in June 2022.
Iga Swiatek
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 61-9 | 29-5 | 26-2 | 4-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-5 | 6-4 | 7-1 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 the Pole reached the quarter after defeating Jasmine Paolini 6-3 6-0, Sloane Stephens 6-3 6-2, Lauren Davis 6-3 6-4 and Jule Niemeier 2-6 6-4 6-0.
In the 4th round against Niemeier, Swiatek recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-4 6-0). During the match, Swiatek scored 96 points vs Niemeier’s 82. The Pole was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about the service games, Swiatek scored 2 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Iga Swiatek lost the serve 5 times and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Swiatek put 67% of her first serves in, winning 52% (28/54) of the points behind her 1st serve and 59% (16/27) on the 2nd serve. The Pole broke Niemeier 7 times after converting 54% of her break points (7/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Pole has dropped 1 set in this tournament to conquer 56% of the points she played.
Swiatek has a fantastic record in the last 7 years having won 79% of her matches (204-54). 32-5 on hard in 2022. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Swiatek has an overall81-28 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was conquering the title in in Doha where she overcame Anett Kontaveit in the final 6-2 6-0 and in in Indian Wells where she overcame Maria Sakkari in the final 6-4 6-1 and in in Miami where she beat Naomi Osaka in the final 6-4 6-0 and in in Stuttgart where she defeated Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-2 6-2 and in in Rome where she overcame Ons Jabeur in the final 6-2 6-2 and in at the French Open where she beat Cori Gauff in the final 6-1 6-3.
Swiatek has an overall 54-7 win-loss record in 2022, 32-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Jessica Pegula
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39-16 | 29-9 | 4-2 | 0-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-18 | 45-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-21 | 28-15 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-19 | 29-12 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8, Pegula got to the quarter after beating Viktorija Golubic 6-2 6-2, Aliaksandra Sasnovich 6-4 6-4, Yue Yuan 6-2 6-76 6-0 and Petra Kvitova 6-3 6-2.
In the 4th round, The American had a good straight sets win against Kvitova (6-3 6-2). During the match Pegula scored 58 points vs Kvitova’s 39. Jessica was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.
About the serving games, Pegula fired 3 aces and she was very consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Jessica Pegula lost the serve twice and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 75% of her first serves in, winning 68% (27/40) of the points behind her 1st serve and 31% (4/13) on the 2nd serve. Pegula broke Kvitova 6 times after converting 86% of her break points (6/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jessica has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 61% of the points she played.
Pegula’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Madrid.
Pegula has an overall 35-16 win-loss record in 2022, 21-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2020 and 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Swiatek | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 75 | 80 |
| Pts | 296-228 | 281-181 |
| Total Points | 524 | 462 |
| Winners | 100 | 111 |
| %Winners | 34% | 40% |
Both Swiatek and Pegula played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Iga Swiatek surrendered 1 set, while Jessica Pegula surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Swiatek and Pegula have played the same amount of sets 9. However, Swiatek played 5 games less than Pegula. Swiatek scored 100 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Pegula struck 111 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Swiatek | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 2.5 | 3.3 |
| 1st in | 153/243 | 141/219 |
| %1st in | 63% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 100/153 | 111/141 |
| %1st pts | 65% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 50/90 | 41/78 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 53% |
Swiatek scored 10 aces (2.5 per match). Pegula struck 13 aces (3.3 per match). Swiatek won 65% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Pegula won 79% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Swiatek | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 21 | 22 |
| Converted | 21/48 | 22/32 |
| % Converted | 44% | 69% |
| Conceded | 20 | 18 |
| Saved | 11 | 11 |
| % Saved | 55% | 61% |
| Times Broken | 9 | 7 |
The Pole broke her opponents 21 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Pole dropped her serve 9 times and she saved 55% of the break points that she conceded. Pegula broke her opponents 22 times with a 69% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 61% of the break points that she conceded.
| Swiatek | ||||||
| R1 Paolini |
R2 Stephens |
R3 Davis |
R4 Niemeier |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-0 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 6-4 | 2-6 6-4 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 17 | 19 | 24 | 75 | |
| pts | 57-34 | 59-43 | 84-69 | 96-82 | 296-228 | |
| Total points | 91 | 102 | 153 | 178 | 524 | |
| Winners | 16 | 23 | 33 | 28 | 100 | |
| %Winners | 28% | 39% | 39% | 29% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 25/40 | 30/49 | 44/73 | 54/81 | 153/243 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 61% | 60% | 67% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 16/25 | 23/30 | 33/44 | 28/54 | 100/153 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 77% | 75% | 52% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/15 | 11/19 | 14/29 | 16/27 | 50/90 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 58% | 48% | 59% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 21 | |
| Converted | 7/9 | 4/12 | 3/14 | 7/13 | 21/48 | |
| Converted % | 78% | 33% | 21% | 54% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 20 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 1/2 | 2/3 | 7/12 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 50% | 67% | 58% | 52% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | |
| Pegula | ||||||
| R1 Golubic |
R2 Sasnovich |
R3 Yuan |
R4 Kvitova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | 6-4 6-4 | 6-2 6-76 6-0 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 20 | 27 | 17 | 80 | |
| pts | 57-31 | 69-52 | 97-59 | 58-39 | 281-181 | |
| Total points | 88 | 121 | 156 | 97 | 462 | |
| Winners | 19 | 29 | 36 | 27 | 111 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 42% | 37% | 47% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 0 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 23/42 | 38/61 | 40/63 | 40/53 | 141/219 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 62% | 63% | 75% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 19/23 | 29/38 | 36/40 | 27/40 | 111/141 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 76% | 90% | 68% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/19 | 9/23 | 17/23 | 4/13 | 41/78 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 39% | 74% | 31% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 22 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 5/10 | 6/9 | 6/7 | 22/32 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 50% | 67% | 86% | 69% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 18 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 5/8 | 0/1 | 4/6 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 63% | 0% | 67% | 49% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWLWWWWLW
LLLWLWWLWW Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Egor GerasimovGerasimov – Temur IsmailovIsmailov (6-1 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Nikola CacicCacic – Vishnu VardhanVardhan (6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Sanjar FayzievFayziev – Dmitry PopkoPopko (6-4 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Jessica PegulaPegula (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Caroline GarciaGarcia (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic (2-0) – H2H and prediction
