Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner will clash against each other in the quarter of the U.S. Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 9:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 5 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.48
Jannik Sinner -> 2.73
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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jannik Sinner
This will be the 5th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner clash against each other. The head to head is 2-2 for Alcaraz and Sinner (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Sinner won 6-7(5) 6-1 6-1 in the final in Umag back in July 2022.
Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz – Umag 31-July-2022
Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 48-9 | 19-4 | 17-4 | 4-0 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 39-7 | 10-0 | 29-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4 (career-high), Carlos got to the quarter after defeating Sebastian Baez 7-5 7-5 2-0 ret., Federico Coria 6-2 6-1 7-5, Jenson Brooksby 6-3 6-3 6-3 and Marin Cilic 6-4 3-6 6-4 4-6 6-3.
In the 4th round, Carlos had a tough win against Cilic to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (6-4 3-6 6-4 4-6 6-3). During the match, Alcaraz scored 143 points vs Cilic’s 142. Alcaraz was quite aggressive to blast 64 winners.
Talking about the service games, Alcaraz fired 3 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Carlos Alcaraz lost the serve 5 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Alcaraz put 72% of his first serves in, winning 62% (64/103) of the points behind his 1st serve and 60% (24/40) on the 2nd serve. Alcaraz broke Cilic 6 times after converting 33% of his break points (6/18).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Carlos has lost 2 set in this event to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Alcaraz has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 5 years having won 77% of his matches (159-47). 18-4 on hard in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Alcaraz has an overall46-14 win-loss record in the last 5 years on hard.
His best result of the year was winning the title in in Rio de Janeiro where he overcame Diego Sebastian Schwartzman in the final 6-4 6-2 and in in Miami where he overcame Casper Ruud in the final 7-5 6-4 and in in Barcelona where he defeated Pablo Carreno-Busta in the final 6-3 6-2 and in in Madrid where he overcame Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 6-1.
The Spaniard has a composed 48-9 win-loss record in 2022, 18-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Jannik Sinner
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 59-6 | 34-3 | 11-2 | 5-0 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-15 | 28-7 | 8-3 | 20-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-16 | 21-6 | 15-4 | 7-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 49-22 | 22-8 | 10-6 | 17-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-14 | 2-6 | 7-3 | 11-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 13, the Italian reached the quarter after defeating Daniel Altmaier 5-7 6-2 6-1 3-6 6-1, Christopher Eubanks 6-4 7-68 6-2, Brandon Nakashima 3-6 6-4 6-1 6-2 and Ilya Ivashka 6-1 5-7 6-2 4-6 6-3.
In the 4th round, Jannik had a tough win against Ivashka to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (6-1 5-7 6-2 4-6 6-3). During the match Sinner scored 163 points vs Ivashka’s 137. The Italian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 45 winners.
Talking about serving, Sinner scored 5 aces and he was not very solid on his 2nd serve to score 14 double faults. Jannik Sinner lost the serve 8 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Sinner put 46% of his first serves in, winning 73% (45/62) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (35/72) on the 2nd serve. Sinner broke Ivashka 12 times after converting 46% of his break points (12/26).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sinner has conceded 5 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in in Umag where he beat Carlos Alcaraz in the final 6-7(5) 6-1 6-1.
Jannik has a compiled 42-11 win-loss record in 2022, 21-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alcaraz | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 15 | 17 |
| Tot Games | 128 | 154 |
| Pts | 445-377 | 545-432 |
| Total Points | 822 | 977 |
| Winners | 194 | 190 |
| %Winners | 44% | 35% |
Both Alcaraz and Sinner played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Carlos Alcaraz conceded 2 sets, while Jannik Sinner conceded 5 sets. Alcaraz has played 2 set(s) less than Sinner (15 vs 17). Therefore, Alcaraz played 26 games less than Sinner. Alcaraz scored 194 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian bagged 190 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alcaraz | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 16 | 49 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 12.3 |
| 1st in | 290/419 | 249/459 |
| %1st in | 69% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 194/290 | 190/249 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 70/129 | 118/210 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 56% |
Alcaraz managed to score 16 aces (4 per match). Sinner scored 49 aces (12.3 per match). Alcaraz won 67% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Sinner won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alcaraz | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 25 | 29 |
| Converted | 25/52 | 29/72 |
| % Converted | 48% | 40% |
| Conceded | 37 | 35 |
| Saved | 26 | 21 |
| % Saved | 70% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 11 | 14 |
The Spaniard broke his opponents 25 times with a 48% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded. Sinner broke his opponents 29 times with a 40% conversion rate. Jannik conceded his serve 14 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alcaraz | ||||||
| R1 Baez |
R2 Coria |
R3 Brooksby |
R4 Cilic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 7-5 2-0 ret. | 6-2 6-1 7-5 | 6-3 6-3 6-3 | 6-4 3-6 6-4 4-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 27 | 27 | 48 | 128 | |
| pts | 99-85 | 107-79 | 96-71 | 143-142 | 445-377 | |
| Total points | 184 | 186 | 167 | 285 | 822 | |
| Winners | 42 | 49 | 39 | 64 | 194 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 46% | 41% | 45% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16 | |
| 1st in | 62/100 | 73/102 | 52/74 | 103/143 | 290/419 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 72% | 70% | 72% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 42/62 | 49/73 | 39/52 | 64/103 | 194/290 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 67% | 75% | 62% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/38 | 16/29 | 10/22 | 24/40 | 70/129 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 55% | 45% | 60% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 25 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 7/10 | 7/11 | 6/18 | 25/52 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 70% | 64% | 33% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 37 | |
| Saved | 8/10 | 13/14 | 1/4 | 4/9 | 26 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 93% | 25% | 44% | 61% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | |
| Sinner | ||||||
| R1 Altmaier |
R2 Eubanks |
R3 Nakashima |
R4 Ivashka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 6-2 6-1 3-6 6-1 | 6-4 7-68 6-2 | 3-6 6-4 6-1 6-2 | 6-1 5-7 6-2 4-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 5 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17 | |
| Tot Games | 43 | 31 | 34 | 46 | 154 | |
| pts | 144-104 | 110-85 | 128-106 | 163-137 | 545-432 | |
| Total points | 248 | 195 | 234 | 300 | 977 | |
| Winners | 52 | 41 | 52 | 45 | 190 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 37% | 41% | 28% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 16 | 12 | 16 | 5 | 49 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 27 | |
| 1st in | 69/121 | 48/88 | 70/116 | 62/134 | 249/459 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 55% | 60% | 46% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 52/69 | 41/48 | 52/70 | 45/62 | 190/249 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 85% | 74% | 73% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 35/52 | 25/40 | 23/46 | 35/72 | 118/210 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 63% | 50% | 49% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 7 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 29 | |
| Converted | 7/15 | 4/12 | 6/19 | 12/26 | 29/72 | |
| Converted % | 47% | 33% | 32% | 46% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 35 | |
| Saved | 6/9 | 3/4 | 6/8 | 6/14 | 21 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 75% | 75% | 43% | 65% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 14 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWL
LWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Juan-Sebastian Cabal/Robert FarahCabal/Robert Farah – Tim Puetz/Michael VenusPuetz/Michael Venus (6-72 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Wesley Koolhof/Neal SkupskiKoolhof/Neal Skupski – Matthew Ebden/Max PurcellEbden/Max Purcell (7-65 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Marcelo Demoliner/Joao SousaDemoliner/Joao Sousa – Lorenzo Sonego/Andrea VavassoriSonego/Andrea Vavassori (7-64 6-4) – See score progression
- Lloyd Glasspool/Harri HeliovaaraGlasspool/Harri Heliovaara – Thanasi Kokkinakis/Nick KyrgiosKokkinakis/Nick Kyrgios (3-6 7-66 7-68) – See score progression
- Hugo Nys/Jan ZielinskiNys/Jan Zielinski – Ariel Behar/Gonzalo EscobarBehar/Gonzalo Escobar (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Nikola Mektic/Mate PavicMektic/Mate Pavic – Robin Haase/Philipp OswaldHaase/Philipp Oswald (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Rajeev Ram/Joe SalisburyRam/Joe Salisbury – Simone Bolelli/Fabio FogniniBolelli/Fabio Fognini (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Marcelo Arevalo/Jean-Julien RojerArevalo/Jean-Julien Rojer – Quentin Halys/Adrian MannarinoHalys/Adrian Mannarino (6-4 7-69) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (3-6 6-4 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Marin CilicCilic – Daniel EvansEvans (7-611 6-73 6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Rafael NadalNadal – Richard GasquetGasquet (6-0 6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (7-67 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Ilya IvashkaIvashka – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-4 3-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (6-4 2-6 6-73 6-4 7-67) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (7-5 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (6-3 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-1 6-1 3-6 7-65) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Tommy PaulPaul (7-63 6-75 7-62 5-7 6-0) – See score progression
- Nick KyrgiosKyrgios – Jeff WolfWolf (6-4 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Andy MurrayMurray (6-4 6-4 6-71 6-3) – See score progression
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Pedro CachinCachin (6-3 4-6 6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Yibing WuWu (6-4 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (6-4 5-7 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Jack DraperDraper (6-3 4-6 6-5 ret.) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Nick KyrgiosKyrgios – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Casper RuudRuud (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (2-2) – H2H and prediction
