
Casper Ruud and Matteo Berrettini will square off in the quarter of the U.S. Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 12:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Casper Ruud who should win in 5 sets.
As per the initial odds, Casper Ruud is the pick to win this match.
Casper Ruud -> 1.85
Matteo Berrettini -> 2
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Prediction and head to head Casper Ruud vs. Matteo Berrettini
This will be the 6th time that Casper Ruud and Matteo Berrettini fight against each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Ruud (see full H2H stats), but Berrettini leads 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Ruud won 4-6 7-6(4) 6-2 in the final in Gstaad back in July 2022.
Highlights Casper Ruud vs Matteo Berrettini – Gstaad 24-July-2022
Casper Ruud
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 25-8 | 6-3 | 13-4 | 6-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 51-25 | 21-9 | 24-7 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
2023 | 37-23 | 12-12 | 22-8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
2022 | 51-22 | 18-8 | 25-7 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
2021 | 57-17 | 16-6 | 28-5 | 11-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, the Norwegian got to the quarter after defeating Kyle Edmund 6-3 7-5 6-2, Tim Van Rijthoven 6-74 6-4 6-4 6-4, Tommy Paul 7-63 6-75 7-62 5-7 6-0 and Corentin Moutet 6-1 6-2 6-74 6-2.
In the 4th round, Casper had a good straight sets win against Moutet (6-1 6-2 6-74 6-2). During the match, Ruud scored 131 points vs Moutet’s 106. Casper was exceptionally aggressive to blast 60 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ruud managed to score 5 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Casper Ruud was pretty efficient on serve to win 72% (60/83) of his 1st serve and 59% (22/37) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Casper broke Moutet 7 times after converting 41% of his break points (7/17).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Norwegian has surrendered 4 set in this competition to win 54% of the points he played.
Ruud has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 65% of his matches (307-163). 15-5 on hard in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Ruud has an overall70-46 match record in the last 8 years on hard.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in in Buenos Aires where he defeated Diego Sebastian Schwartzman in the final 5-7 6-2 6-3 and in in Geneva where he defeated Joao Sousa in the final 7-6(3) 4-6 7-6(1) and in in Gstaad where he beat Matteo Berrettini in the final 4-6 7-6(4) 6-2.
Casper has a compiled 42-15 win-loss record in 2022, 15-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Matteo Berrettini
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 13-11 | 9-6 | 4-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
2024 | 36-13 | 7-6 | 15-1 | 8-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
2023 | 14-12 | 9-10 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
2022 | 32-12 | 15-9 | 4-2 | 4-1 | 9-0 | 0-0 |
2021 | 41-12 | 14-5 | 13-4 | 3-2 | 11-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 14, Berrettini got to the quarter after defeating Nicolas Jarry 6-2 6-3 6-3, Hugo Grenier 2-6 6-1 7-64 7-67, Andy Murray 6-4 6-4 6-71 6-3 and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 3-6 7-62 6-3 4-6 6-2.
In the 4th round, Matteo had a tough win against Davidovich Fokina to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (3-6 7-62 6-3 4-6 6-2). During the match Berrettini scored 148 points vs Davidovich Fokina’s 133. Matteo was pretty aggressive to blast 61 winners.
Talking about serving, Berrettini recorded 18 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Matteo Berrettini was exceptionally effective on serve to win 84% (61/73) of his 1st serve and 55% (34/62) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 4 times. Matteo broke Davidovich Fokina 6 times after converting 60% of his break points (6/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian has conceded 4 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in in Stuttgart where he beat Andy Murray in the final 6-4 5-7 6-3 and in in London where he overcame Filip Krajinovic in the final 7-5 6-4.
The Italian has a composed 25-9 win-loss record in 2022, 12-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2019. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Ruud | Berrettini |
---|---|---|
Match played | 4 | 4 |
Tot Set | 16 | 16 |
Tot Games | 165 | 158 |
Pts | 537-461 | 509-433 |
Total Points | 998 | 942 |
Winners | 238 | 216 |
%Winners | 44% | 42% |
Both Ruud and Berrettini played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Casper Ruud surrendered 4 sets, while Matteo Berrettini lost 4 sets. Talking about their workload, Ruud and Berrettini have played the same amount of sets 16. However, Ruud played 7 games more than Berrettini. Casper scored 238 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian fired 216 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Ruud | Berrettini |
---|---|---|
Aces | 26 | 63 |
Avg per match | 6.5 | 15.8 |
1st in | 313/486 | 264/453 |
%1st in | 64% | 58% |
1st pts | 238/313 | 216/264 |
%1st pts | 76% | 82% |
2nd pts | 99/173 | 111/189 |
%2nd pts | 57% | 59% |
Ruud made 26 aces (6.5 per match). Berrettini blasted 63 aces (15.8 per match). Ruud won 76% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Berrettini won 82% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Ruud | Berrettini |
---|---|---|
Won | 24 | 18 |
Converted | 24/57 | 18/43 |
% Converted | 42% | 42% |
Conceded | 27 | 21 |
Saved | 18 | 13 |
% Saved | 67% | 62% |
Times Broken | 9 | 8 |
Ruud broke his opponents 24 times with a 42% conversion rate. The Norwegian surrendered his serve 9 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Matteo broke his opponents 18 times with a 42% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded.
Ruud | ||||||
R1 Edmund |
R2 Van Rijthoven |
R3 Paul |
R4 Moutet |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-3 7-5 6-2 | 6-74 6-4 6-4 6-4 | 7-63 6-75 7-62 5-7 6-0 | 6-1 6-2 6-74 6-2 | ||
Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16 | |
Tot Games | 29 | 43 | 57 | 36 | 165 | |
pts | 102-75 | 124-113 | 180-167 | 131-106 | 537-461 | |
Total points | 177 | 237 | 347 | 237 | 998 | |
Winners | 40 | 68 | 70 | 60 | 238 | |
%Winners | 39% | 55% | 39% | 46% | 44% | |
SERVE | ||||||
Aces | 10 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 26 | |
Double Faults | 7 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 19 | |
1st in | 49/88 | 83/118 | 98/160 | 83/120 | 313/486 | |
% 1st in | 56% | 70% | 61% | 69% | 64% | |
1st pts | 40/49 | 68/83 | 70/98 | 60/83 | 238/313 | |
% 1st pts | 82% | 82% | 71% | 72% | 76% | |
2nd pts | 20/39 | 21/35 | 36/62 | 22/37 | 99/173 | |
% 2nd pts | 51% | 60% | 58% | 59% | 57% | |
Breaks | ||||||
Won | 6 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | |
Converted | 6/14 | 4/8 | 7/18 | 7/17 | 24/57 | |
Converted % | 43% | 50% | 39% | 41% | 42% | |
Conceded | 8 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 27 | |
Saved | 6/8 | 6/7 | 1/6 | 5/6 | 18 | |
Saved % | 75% | 86% | 17% | 83% | 65% | |
Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
Berrettini | ||||||
R1 Jarry |
R2 Grenier |
R3 Murray |
R4 Davidovich Fokina |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-2 6-3 6-3 | 2-6 6-1 7-64 7-67 | 6-4 6-4 6-71 6-3 | 3-6 7-62 6-3 4-6 6-2 | ||
Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16 | |
Tot Games | 26 | 41 | 42 | 49 | 158 | |
pts | 87-62 | 139-120 | 135-118 | 148-133 | 509-433 | |
Total points | 149 | 259 | 253 | 281 | 942 | |
Winners | 39 | 49 | 67 | 61 | 216 | |
%Winners | 45% | 35% | 50% | 41% | 42% | |
SERVE | ||||||
Aces | 10 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 63 | |
Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | |
1st in | 45/70 | 56/117 | 90/131 | 73/135 | 264/453 | |
% 1st in | 64% | 48% | 69% | 54% | 58% | |
1st pts | 39/45 | 49/56 | 67/90 | 61/73 | 216/264 | |
% 1st pts | 87% | 88% | 74% | 84% | 82% | |
2nd pts | 15/25 | 41/61 | 21/41 | 34/62 | 111/189 | |
% 2nd pts | 60% | 67% | 51% | 55% | 59% | |
Breaks | ||||||
Won | 5 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 18 | |
Converted | 5/10 | 2/8 | 5/15 | 6/10 | 18/43 | |
Converted % | 50% | 25% | 33% | 60% | 42% | |
Conceded | 0 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 21 | |
Saved | 0/0 | 2/4 | 2/4 | 9/13 | 13 | |
Saved % | – | 50% | 50% | 69% | 42% | |
Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
Head 2 Head



Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Rajeev Ram/Joe SalisburyRam/Joe Salisbury – Simone Bolelli/Fabio FogniniBolelli/Fabio Fognini (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Nikola Mektic/Mate PavicMektic/Mate Pavic – Robin Haase/Philipp OswaldHaase/Philipp Oswald (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (7-67 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (3-6 6-4 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (6-3 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Ilya IvashkaIvashka – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-4 3-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Marin CilicCilic – Daniel EvansEvans (7-611 6-73 6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (6-4 2-6 6-73 6-4 7-67) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (7-5 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Rafael NadalNadal – Richard GasquetGasquet (6-0 6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Tommy PaulPaul (7-63 6-75 7-62 5-7 6-0) – See score progression
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-1 6-1 3-6 7-65) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (6-4 5-7 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Nick KyrgiosKyrgios – Jeff WolfWolf (6-4 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Andy MurrayMurray (6-4 6-4 6-71 6-3) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Yibing WuWu (6-4 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Jack DraperDraper (6-3 4-6 6-5 ret.) – See score progression
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Pedro CachinCachin (6-3 4-6 6-2 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Marin CilicCilic – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Nick KyrgiosKyrgios – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Ilya IvashkaIvashka – Jannik SinnerSinner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Casper RuudRuud (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Rafael NadalNadal (0-2) – H2H and prediction