H2H, PREDICTION Casper Ruud vs Matteo Berrettini | U.S. Open odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. New York. Ruud and Berrettini will play each other in the quarter of the U.S. Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match

Prediction and head to head Casper Ruud vs. Matteo Berrettini

Casper Ruud and Matteo Berrettini will square off in the quarter of the U.S. Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 12:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Casper Ruud who should win in 5 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Casper Ruud is the pick to win this match.
Casper Ruud -> 1.85
Matteo Berrettini -> 2

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Prediction and head to head Casper Ruud vs. Matteo Berrettini

This will be the 6th time that Casper Ruud and Matteo Berrettini fight against each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Ruud (see full H2H stats), but Berrettini leads 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Ruud won 4-6 7-6(4) 6-2 in the final in Gstaad back in July 2022.

Highlights Casper Ruud vs Matteo Berrettini – Gstaad 24-July-2022

Casper Ruud

Casper Ruud
Casper Ruud

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
15
High
2
LWLWWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 25-8 6-3 13-4 6-1 0-0 0-0
2024 51-25 21-9 24-7 5-8 1-1 0-0
2023 37-23 12-12 22-8 2-2 1-1 0-0
2022 51-22 18-8 25-7 7-5 1-2 0-0
2021 57-17 16-6 28-5 11-4 2-2 0-0

Ranked no. 7, the Norwegian got to the quarter after defeating Kyle Edmund 6-3 7-5 6-2, Tim Van Rijthoven 6-74 6-4 6-4 6-4, Tommy Paul 7-63 6-75 7-62 5-7 6-0 and Corentin Moutet 6-1 6-2 6-74 6-2.

In the 4th round, Casper had a good straight sets win against Moutet (6-1 6-2 6-74 6-2). During the match, Ruud scored 131 points vs Moutet’s 106. Casper was exceptionally aggressive to blast 60 winners.

Regarding the service games, Ruud managed to score 5 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Casper Ruud was pretty efficient on serve to win 72% (60/83) of his 1st serve and 59% (22/37) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Casper broke Moutet 7 times after converting 41% of his break points (7/17).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Norwegian has surrendered 4 set in this competition to win 54% of the points he played.

Ruud has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 65% of his matches (307-163). 15-5 on hard in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Ruud has an overall70-46 match record in the last 8 years on hard.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title in in Buenos Aires where he defeated Diego Sebastian Schwartzman in the final 5-7 6-2 6-3 and in in Geneva where he defeated Joao Sousa in the final 7-6(3) 4-6 7-6(1) and in in Gstaad where he beat Matteo Berrettini in the final 4-6 7-6(4) 6-2.

Casper has a compiled 42-15 win-loss record in 2022, 15-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Ruud
U.S. Open
Ruud's Record

Matteo Berrettini

Matteo Berrettini
Matteo Berrettini

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
35
High
6
LLWLWLWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 13-11 9-6 4-3 0-1 0-1 0-0
2024 36-13 7-6 15-1 8-3 6-3 0-0
2023 14-12 9-10 2-0 0-0 3-2 0-0
2022 32-12 15-9 4-2 4-1 9-0 0-0
2021 41-12 14-5 13-4 3-2 11-1 0-0

Ranked no. 14, Berrettini got to the quarter after defeating Nicolas Jarry 6-2 6-3 6-3, Hugo Grenier 2-6 6-1 7-64 7-67, Andy Murray 6-4 6-4 6-71 6-3 and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 3-6 7-62 6-3 4-6 6-2.

In the 4th round, Matteo had a tough win against Davidovich Fokina to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (3-6 7-62 6-3 4-6 6-2). During the match Berrettini scored 148 points vs Davidovich Fokina’s 133. Matteo was pretty aggressive to blast 61 winners.

Talking about serving, Berrettini recorded 18 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Matteo Berrettini was exceptionally effective on serve to win 84% (61/73) of his 1st serve and 55% (34/62) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 4 times. Matteo broke Davidovich Fokina 6 times after converting 60% of his break points (6/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian has conceded 4 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title in in Stuttgart where he beat Andy Murray in the final 6-4 5-7 6-3 and in in London where he overcame Filip Krajinovic in the final 7-5 6-4.

The Italian has a composed 25-9 win-loss record in 2022, 12-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2019. See his history.

Berrettini
U.S. Open
Berrettini's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

C.Ruud
M.Berrettini
12h:52
12h:52
Time on court​
13h:02
13h:02
!
3h:20
3h:20
Last match​
!
3h:46
3h:46
4
4
Match played
4
4
165
165
Games Played​
158
158
16
16
Set played​​
16
16
537
537
Total points​
509
509
134.3
134.3
Avg point​
127.3
127.3
238
238
Winners
216
216
59.5
59.5
Avg Winners​
54
54
44%
44%
Ratio winners
42%
42%
-- Serve --
26
26
Aces
63
63
6.5
6.5
Avg Aces
!
15.8
15.8
19
19
Double Faults
8
8
4.8
4.8
Avg Double Faults
2
2
238/313
238/313
1st won total​
216/264
216/264
!
76%
76%
1st won %
!
82%
82%
99/173
99/173
2nd won total​
111/189
111/189
57%
57%
2nd won %
59%
59%
-- Break Points --
24/57
24/57
BP won
18/43
18/43
6/14.3
6/14.3
Avg BP won
4.5/10.8
4.5/10.8
42%
42%
Won
42%
42%
27
27
Conceded
21
21
6.8
6.8
Avg Conceded
5.3
5.3
9
9
Broken
8
8
2.3
2.3
Avg Broken
2
2
18
18
Saved
13
13

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Ruud Berrettini
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 16 16
Tot Games 165 158
Pts 537-461 509-433
Total Points 998 942
Winners 238 216
%Winners 44% 42%

Both Ruud and Berrettini played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Casper Ruud surrendered 4 sets, while Matteo Berrettini lost 4 sets. Talking about their workload, Ruud and Berrettini have played the same amount of sets 16. However, Ruud played 7 games more than Berrettini. Casper scored 238 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian fired 216 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve Ruud Berrettini
Aces 26 63
Avg per match 6.5 15.8
1st in 313/486 264/453
%1st in 64% 58%
1st pts 238/313 216/264
%1st pts 76% 82%
2nd pts 99/173 111/189
%2nd pts 57% 59%

Ruud made 26 aces (6.5 per match). Berrettini blasted 63 aces (15.8 per match). Ruud won 76% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Berrettini won 82% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Ruud Berrettini
Won 24 18
Converted 24/57 18/43
% Converted 42% 42%
Conceded 27 21
Saved 18 13
% Saved 67% 62%
Times Broken 9 8

Ruud broke his opponents 24 times with a 42% conversion rate. The Norwegian surrendered his serve 9 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Matteo broke his opponents 18 times with a 42% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded.

Ruud
R1
Edmund
R2
Van Rijthoven
R3
Paul
R4
Moutet
Total
Score 6-3 7-5 6-2 6-74 6-4 6-4 6-4 7-63 6-75 7-62 5-7 6-0 6-1 6-2 6-74 6-2
Tot Set 3 4 5 4 16
Tot Games 29 43 57 36 165
pts 102-75 124-113 180-167 131-106 537-461
Total points 177 237 347 237 998
Winners 40 68 70 60 238
%Winners 39% 55% 39% 46% 44%
SERVE
Aces 10 7 4 5 26
Double Faults 7 3 5 4 19
1st in 49/88 83/118 98/160 83/120 313/486
% 1st in 56% 70% 61% 69% 64%
1st pts 40/49 68/83 70/98 60/83 238/313
% 1st pts 82% 82% 71% 72% 76%
2nd pts 20/39 21/35 36/62 22/37 99/173
% 2nd pts 51% 60% 58% 59% 57%
Breaks
Won 6 4 7 7 24
Converted 6/14 4/8 7/18 7/17 24/57
Converted % 43% 50% 39% 41% 42%
Conceded 8 7 6 6 27
Saved 6/8 6/7 1/6 5/6 18
Saved % 75% 86% 17% 83% 65%
Times Broken 2 1 5 1 9
Berrettini
R1
Jarry
R2
Grenier
R3
Murray
R4
Davidovich Fokina
Total
Score 6-2 6-3 6-3 2-6 6-1 7-64 7-67 6-4 6-4 6-71 6-3 3-6 7-62 6-3 4-6 6-2
Tot Set 3 4 4 5 16
Tot Games 26 41 42 49 158
pts 87-62 139-120 135-118 148-133 509-433
Total points 149 259 253 281 942
Winners 39 49 67 61 216
%Winners 45% 35% 50% 41% 42%
SERVE
Aces 10 17 18 18 63
Double Faults 1 3 1 3 8
1st in 45/70 56/117 90/131 73/135 264/453
% 1st in 64% 48% 69% 54% 58%
1st pts 39/45 49/56 67/90 61/73 216/264
% 1st pts 87% 88% 74% 84% 82%
2nd pts 15/25 41/61 21/41 34/62 111/189
% 2nd pts 60% 67% 51% 55% 59%
Breaks
Won 5 2 5 6 18
Converted 5/10 2/8 5/15 6/10 18/43
Converted % 50% 25% 33% 60% 42%
Conceded 0 4 4 13 21
Saved 0/0 2/4 2/4 9/13 13
Saved % 50% 50% 69% 42%
Times Broken 0 2 2 4 8

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Ruud
LWLWWWWWWW
Berrettini
LLWLWLWWLW
2025 2024 2023
23 - 8
13 - 11
6-3
Hard
9-6
4-1
I Hard
0-1
13-4
Clay
4-3

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

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