Cameron Norrie and Andrey Rublev will face off in the 4th round of the U.S. Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 11:00 am on Louis Armstrong Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cameron Norrie who should win in 5 sets.
As per the initial odds, Cameron Norrie is the pick to win this match.
Cameron Norrie -> 1.64
Andrey Rublev -> 2.31
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Prediction and head to head Cameron Norrie vs. Andrey Rublev
This will be the 3rd time that Cameron Norrie and Andrey Rublev fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Norrie won 3-6 6-3 6-4 in the semifinal in San diego back in 2021.
Highlights Cameron Norrie vs Andrey Rublev – San diego 02-October-2021
Cameron Norrie
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21-20 | 7-4 | 8-8 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-25 | 14-12 | 18-7 | 1-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 49-26 | 26-11 | 11-5 | 6-7 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-25 | 25-11 | 16-5 | 9-7 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-15 | 9-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9 (career-high), the Brit reached the 4th round after defeating Benoit Paire 6-0 7-61 6-0, Joao Sousa 6-4 6-4 7-64 and Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune 7-5 6-4 6-1.
In the 3rd round, Cameron had a good straight sets win against Vitus Nodskov Rune (7-5 6-4 6-1). During the match, Norrie scored 106 points vs Vitus Nodskov Rune’s 78. The Brit was very aggressive to blast 46 winners.
Regarding the service games, Norrie managed to score 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Cameron Norrie lost the serve twice and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Norrie put 71% of his first serves in, winning 77% (46/60) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (12/25) on the 2nd serve. The Brit broke Vitus Nodskov Rune 7 times after converting 39% of his break points (7/18).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Norrie hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to conquer 57% of the points he played.
Norrie has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (307-173). 25-10 on hard in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Norrie has a composed 199-85 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title in in Delray Beach where he defeated Reilly Opelka in the final 7-6(1) 7-6(4) and in in Lyon where he overcame Alex Molcan in the final 6-3 6-7(3) 6-1.
Cameron has an overall 44-19 win-loss record in 2022, 25-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Andrey Rublev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-23 | 26-11 | 11-6 | 6-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 25-10 | 9-5 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 41-10 | 17-4 | 10-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 11, Rublev reached the 4th round after beating Laslo Djere 7-65 6-3 3-6 4-6 6-4, Soon-Woo Kwon 6-3 6-0 6-4 and Denis Shapovalov 6-4 2-6 6-73 6-4 7-67.
In the 3rd round, Andrey had a tough win against Shapovalov to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (6-4 2-6 6-73 6-4 7-67).During the match Rublev scored less points (1) than Shapovalov. In fact, the world no. 9 won 183 points vs Shapovalov’s. That means that Rublev was more focused during the important points. Rublev was pretty aggressive to blast 89 winners.
About the serving games, Rublev blasted 9 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Andrey Rublev lost the serve 4 times and he saved 13 break points. Furthermore, Rublev put 63% of his first serves in, winning 74% (89/120) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (33/71) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Shapovalov 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rublev has conceded 4 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in in Marseille where he beat Felix Auger Aliassime in the final 7-5 7-6(4) and in in Dubai where he defeated Jiri Vesely in the final 6-3 6-4 and in in Belgrade where he overcame Novak Djokovic in the final 6-2 6-7(4) 6-0.
Andrey has an overall 39-14 win-loss record in 2022, 18-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2017 and 2020. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Norrie | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 13 |
| Tot Games | 87 | 130 |
| Pts | 306-229 | 438-409 |
| Total Points | 535 | 847 |
| Winners | 139 | 190 |
| %Winners | 45% | 43% |
Both Norrie and Rublev played 3 matches. At the moment, Andrey Rublev lost 4 sets while Cameron Norrie hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Norrie has played 4 set(s) less than Rublev (9 vs 13). Therefore, Norrie played 43 games less than Rublev. Norrie scored 139 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Rublev bagged 190 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Norrie | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 23 | 34 |
| Avg per match | 7.7 | 11.3 |
| 1st in | 179/262 | 248/418 |
| %1st in | 68% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 139/179 | 190/248 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 44/83 | 79/170 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 46% |
Norrie recorded 23 aces (7.7 per match). Rublev managed to score 34 aces (11.3 per match). Norrie won 78% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Rublev won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Norrie | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 17 | 17 |
| Converted | 17/38 | 17/28 |
| % Converted | 45% | 61% |
| Conceded | 17 | 35 |
| Saved | 13 | 23 |
| % Saved | 76% | 66% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 12 |
Cameron broke his opponents 17 times with a 45% conversion rate. Norrie lost his serve 4 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded. The Russian broke his opponents 17 times with a 61% conversion rate. Andrey conceded his serve 12 times and he saved 66% of the break points that he conceded.
| Norrie | |||||
| R1 Paire |
R2 Sousa |
R3 Vitus Nodskov Rune |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 7-61 6-0 | 6-4 6-4 7-64 | 7-5 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 33 | 29 | 87 | |
| pts | 95-55 | 105-96 | 106-78 | 306-229 | |
| Total points | 150 | 201 | 184 | 535 | |
| Winners | 42 | 51 | 46 | 139 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 49% | 43% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 9 | 7 | 7 | 23 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 50/70 | 69/107 | 60/85 | 179/262 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 64% | 71% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 42/50 | 51/69 | 46/60 | 139/179 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 74% | 77% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/20 | 22/38 | 12/25 | 44/83 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 58% | 48% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 7 | 3 | 7 | 17 | |
| Converted | 7/12 | 3/8 | 7/18 | 17/38 | |
| Converted % | 58% | 38% | 39% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 7 | 8 | 17 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 6/7 | 6/8 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 86% | 75% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | |
| Rublev | |||||
| R1 Djere |
R2 Kwon |
R3 Shapovalov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 6-3 3-6 4-6 6-4 | 6-3 6-0 6-4 | 6-4 2-6 6-73 6-4 7-67 | ||
| Tot Set | 5 | 3 | 5 | 13 | |
| Tot Games | 51 | 25 | 54 | 130 | |
| pts | 165-158 | 90-67 | 183-184 | 438-409 | |
| Total points | 323 | 157 | 367 | 847 | |
| Winners | 62 | 39 | 89 | 190 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 43% | 49% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 13 | 12 | 9 | 34 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 5 | 4 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 81/143 | 47/84 | 120/191 | 248/418 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 56% | 63% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 62/81 | 39/47 | 89/120 | 190/248 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 83% | 74% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 30/62 | 16/37 | 33/71 | 79/170 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 43% | 46% | 46% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 7 | 6 | 4 | 17 | |
| Converted | 7/13 | 6/6 | 4/9 | 17/28 | |
| Converted % | 54% | 100% | 44% | 61% | |
| Conceded | 16 | 2 | 17 | 35 | |
| Saved | 9/16 | 1/2 | 13/17 | 23 | |
| Saved % | 56% | 50% | 76% | 61% | |
| Times Broken | 7 | 1 | 4 | 12 | |
Head 2 Head
WLLLLWWLWL
WLLWWLWLLW Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (7-5 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (3-6 6-4 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (6-3 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Ilya IvashkaIvashka – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-4 3-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (7-67 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (6-4 2-6 6-73 6-4 7-67) – See score progression
- Rafael NadalNadal – Richard GasquetGasquet (6-0 6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Marin CilicCilic – Daniel EvansEvans (7-611 6-73 6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (6-4 5-7 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Tommy PaulPaul (7-63 6-75 7-62 5-7 6-0) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Yibing WuWu (6-4 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Pedro CachinCachin (6-3 4-6 6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Nick KyrgiosKyrgios – Jeff WolfWolf (6-4 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Andy MurrayMurray (6-4 6-4 6-71 6-3) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Jack DraperDraper (6-3 4-6 6-5 ret.) – See score progression
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-1 6-1 3-6 7-65) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Marin CilicCilic – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (3-5) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Nick KyrgiosKyrgios (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Andrey RublevRublev (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Ilya IvashkaIvashka – Jannik SinnerSinner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Rafael NadalNadal (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Casper RuudRuud (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (1-0) – H2H and prediction
