Caroline Garcia and Alison Riske will square off in the 4th round of the U.S. Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 2:00 pm on Louis Armstrong Stadium. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Caroline Garcia who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Caroline Garcia is the pick to win this match.
Caroline Garcia -> 1.28
Alison Riske -> 3.84
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Prediction and head to head Caroline Garcia vs. Alison Riske
This will be the 4th time that Caroline Garcia and Alison Riske play each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Riske (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Riske won 6-4 7-5 in the 2nd round in Nottingham back in June 2022.
Caroline Garcia
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16-14 | 9-8 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-27 | 23-17 | 4-4 | 7-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-21 | 21-13 | 11-4 | 4-1 | 10-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-26 | 15-14 | 8-6 | 3-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 11-11 | 5-6 | 4-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 17, Caroline reached the 4th round after beating Kamilla Rakhimova 6-2 6-4, Anna Kalinskaya 6-3 6-1 and Bianca Vanessa Andreescu 6-3 6-2.
In the 3rd round, Garcia had a good straight sets win against Andreescu (6-3 6-2). During the match, Garcia scored 68 points vs Andreescu’s 50. The French player was very aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Regarding the service games, Garcia bagged 8 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Caroline Garcia lost the serve twice and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Garcia put 55% of her first serves in, winning 69% (25/36) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (13/29) on the 2nd serve. Caroline broke Andreescu 5 times after converting 50% of her break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Garcia hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to win 59% of the points she played.
Garcia has positive match record in the last 10 years having won 58% of her matches (320-230). 14-8 on hard in 2022. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Garcia has an overall 154-128 match record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in in Bad Homburg where she overcame Bianca Vanessa Andreescu in the final 6-7(5) 6-4 6-4 and in in Warsaw where she defeated Ana Bogdan in the final 6-4 6-1 and in in Cincinnati where she defeated Petra Kvitova in the final 6-2 6-4.
Caroline has an overall 38-16 win-loss record in 2022, 14-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Alison Riske
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 1-11 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-21 | 15-14 | 2-3 | 1-0 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 16-16 | 7-9 | 0-2 | 7-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 6-8 | 6-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 36-24 | 22-18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 14-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 29, the American got to the 4th round after defeating Eleana Yu 6-2 6-4, Maria Camila Osorio Serrano 6-4 6-75 7-65 and Xiyu Wang 6-4 3-6 6-4.
In the 3rd round, Alison defeated Wang (6-4 3-6 6-4). During the match Riske scored 89 points vs Wang’s 87. The American was exceptionally aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about serving, Riske scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 5 double faults. Alison Riske lost the serve 5 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Riske put 68% of her first serves in, winning 59% (37/63) of the points behind her 1st serve and 53% (16/30) on the 2nd serve. Alison broke Wang 6 times after converting 60% of her break points (6/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alison has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
Alison’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Adelaide and Nottingham.
Alison has an aggregate 24-17 win-loss record in 2022, 15-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 4th round in 2013. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Garcia | Riske |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 51 | 83 |
| Pts | 194-137 | 286-258 |
| Total Points | 331 | 544 |
| Winners | 74 | 119 |
| %Winners | 38% | 42% |
Both Garcia and Riske played 3 matches. At the moment, Alison Riske conceded 2 sets while Caroline Garcia hasn’t conceded a set so far. Garcia has played 2 set(s) less than Riske (6 vs 8). Therefore, Garcia played 32 games less than Riske. Garcia scored 74 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The American scored 119 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Garcia | Riske |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 18 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 1.7 |
| 1st in | 95/158 | 175/260 |
| %1st in | 60% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 74/95 | 119/175 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 34/63 | 45/85 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 53% |
Garcia fired 18 aces (6 per match). Riske managed to score 5 aces (1.7 per match). Garcia won 78% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Riske won 68% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Garcia | Riske |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 14 |
| Converted | 12/24 | 14/31 |
| % Converted | 50% | 45% |
| Conceded | 4 | 18 |
| Saved | 2 | 9 |
| % Saved | 50% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 9 |
Caroline broke her opponents 12 times with a 50% conversion rate. Garcia conceded her serve twice and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponents 14 times with a 45% conversion rate. Riske conceded her serve 9 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.
| Garcia | |||||
| R1 Rakhimova |
R2 Kalinskaya |
R3 Andreescu |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 6-3 6-1 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 16 | 17 | 51 | |
| pts | 65-43 | 61-44 | 68-50 | 194-137 | |
| Total points | 108 | 105 | 118 | 331 | |
| Winners | 26 | 23 | 25 | 74 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 38% | 37% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 6 | 4 | 8 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 32/46 | 27/47 | 36/65 | 95/158 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 57% | 55% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 26/32 | 23/27 | 25/36 | 74/95 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 85% | 69% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/14 | 10/20 | 13/29 | 34/63 | |
| % 2nd pts | 79% | 50% | 45% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 4/9 | 5/10 | 12/24 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 44% | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0/0 | 2/4 | 2 | |
| Saved % | – | – | 50% | 17% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Riske | |||||
| R1 Yu |
R2 Camila Osorio Serrano |
R3 Wang |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 6-4 6-75 7-65 | 6-4 3-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 36 | 29 | 83 | |
| pts | 63-45 | 134-126 | 89-87 | 286-258 | |
| Total points | 108 | 260 | 176 | 544 | |
| Winners | 28 | 54 | 37 | 119 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 40% | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 6 | 5 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 34/47 | 78/120 | 63/93 | 175/260 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 65% | 68% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 28/34 | 54/78 | 37/63 | 119/175 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 69% | 59% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/13 | 20/42 | 16/30 | 45/85 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 48% | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 5/15 | 6/10 | 14/31 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 33% | 60% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 8 | 10 | 18 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 4/8 | 5/10 | 9 | |
| Saved % | – | 50% | 50% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWLWLWLW
Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Yue YuanYuan (6-2 6-76 6-0) – See score progression
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza (5-7 6-3 7-610) – See score progression
- Shuai ZhangZhang – Rebecca MarinoMarino (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Dalma GalfiGalfi (6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova – Aleksandra KrunicKrunic (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic – Serena WilliamsWilliams (7-5 6-74 6-1) – See score progression
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Shelby RogersRogers (4-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Madison KeysKeys (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Alison RiskeRiske – Xiyu WangWang (6-4 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza (5-7 6-3 7-6(10)) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Yue YuanYuan (6-2 6-7(6) 6-0) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Lauren DavisDavis (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jule NiemeierNiemeier – Qinwen ZhengZheng (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Petra MarticMartic – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Belinda BencicBencic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alize CornetCornet – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Clara BurelBurel – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Jessica PegulaPegula (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Shuai ZhangZhang – Cori GauffGauff (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Alison RiskeRiske (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic (1-1) – H2H and prediction
