Daniil Medvedev and Nick Kyrgios will clash against each other in the 4th round of the U.S. Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 7:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 5 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.52
Nick Kyrgios -> 2.6
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Nick Kyrgios
This will be the 5th time that Daniil Medvedev and Nick Kyrgios square off. The head to head is 3-1 for Kyrgios (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Kyrgios won 6-7(2) 6-4 6-2 in the 2nd round in Montreal back in August 2022.
Highlights Nick Kyrgios vs Daniil Medvedev – Montreal 10-August-2022
Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 45-19 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 0-3 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-10 | 14-4 | 0-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 the Russian got to the 4th round after beating Stefan Kozlov 6-2 6-4 6-0, Arthur Rinderknech 6-2 7-5 6-3 and Yibing Wu 6-4 6-2 6-2.
In the 3rd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Wu (6-4 6-2 6-2). During the match, Medvedev scored 103 points vs Wu’s 77. The Russian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Talking about the service games, Medvedev blasted 12 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Daniil Medvedev was pretty effective on serve to win 71% (42/59) of his 1st serve and 55% (18/33) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Russian broke Wu 6 times after converting 50% of his break points (6/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Daniil hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to conquer 59% of the points he played.
Medvedev has a marvellous match record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (416-173). 26-7 on hard in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Medvedev has a composed 181-61 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the year was conquering the title in in Los Cabos where he overcame Cameron Norrie in the final 7-5 6-0.
The Russian has an overall 37-12 win-loss record in 2022, 26-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Nick Kyrgios
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-10 | 23-6 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 12-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 7-8 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 6-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 23-15 | 18-9 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 25, Kyrgios got to the 4th round after defeating Thanasi Kokkinakis 6-3 6-4 7-64, Benjamin Bonzi 7-63 6-4 4-6 6-4 and Jeff Wolf 6-4 6-2 6-3.
In the 3rd round, Nick had a good straight sets win against Wolf (6-4 6-2 6-3). During the match Kyrgios scored 91 points vs Wolf’s 75. Kyrgios was exceptionally aggressive to blast 47 winners.
Talking about serving, Kyrgios overpowered his opponent with 21 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Nick Kyrgios was quite effective on serve to win 77% (47/61) of his 1st serve and 56% (14/25) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Nick broke Wolf 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kyrgios has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in in Washington where he defeated Yoshihito Nishioka in the final 6-4 6-3.
The Australian has an aggregate 34-9 win-loss record in 2022, 20-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2014, 2016, 2018 and 2019. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Kyrgios |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 79 | 102 |
| Pts | 303-211 | 335-279 |
| Total Points | 514 | 614 |
| Winners | 109 | 161 |
| %Winners | 36% | 48% |
Both Medvedev and Kyrgios played 3 matches. At the moment, Nick Kyrgios surrendered 1 set while Daniil Medvedev hasn’t dropped a set so far. Medvedev has played 1 set(s) less than Kyrgios (9 vs 10). Therefore, Medvedev played 23 games less than Kyrgios. Daniil scored 109 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Kyrgios bagged 161 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Kyrgios |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 30 | 64 |
| Avg per match | 10 | 21.3 |
| 1st in | 147/242 | 206/303 |
| %1st in | 61% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 109/147 | 161/206 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 58/95 | 60/97 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 62% |
Medvedev managed to score 30 aces (10 per match). Kyrgios scored 64 aces (21.3 per match). Medvedev won 74% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Kyrgios won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Kyrgios |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 19 | 11 |
| Converted | 19/45 | 11/24 |
| % Converted | 42% | 46% |
| Conceded | 17 | 19 |
| Saved | 14 | 16 |
| % Saved | 82% | 84% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 |
Daniil broke his opponents 19 times with a 42% conversion rate. The Russian surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded. Nick broke his opponents 11 times with a 46% conversion rate. Nick conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 84% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | |||||
| R1 Kozlov |
R2 Rinderknech |
R3 Wu |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 6-0 | 6-2 7-5 6-3 | 6-4 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 29 | 26 | 79 | |
| pts | 92-53 | 108-81 | 103-77 | 303-211 | |
| Total points | 145 | 189 | 180 | 514 | |
| Winners | 28 | 39 | 42 | 109 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 36% | 41% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 10 | 8 | 12 | 30 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 37/68 | 51/82 | 59/92 | 147/242 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 62% | 64% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 28/37 | 39/51 | 42/59 | 109/147 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | 71% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/31 | 21/31 | 18/33 | 58/95 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 68% | 55% | 61% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 8 | 5 | 6 | 19 | |
| Converted | 8/16 | 5/17 | 6/12 | 19/45 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 29% | 50% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 3/3 | 8/9 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 100% | 89% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Kyrgios | |||||
| R1 Kokkinakis |
R2 Bonzi |
R3 Wolf |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 7-64 | 7-63 6-4 4-6 6-4 | 6-4 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 43 | 27 | 102 | |
| pts | 100-74 | 144-130 | 91-75 | 335-279 | |
| Total points | 174 | 274 | 166 | 614 | |
| Winners | 51 | 63 | 47 | 161 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 44% | 52% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 13 | 30 | 21 | 64 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 6 | 5 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 59/83 | 86/134 | 61/86 | 206/303 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 64% | 71% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 51/59 | 63/86 | 47/61 | 161/206 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 73% | 77% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/24 | 27/48 | 14/25 | 60/97 | |
| % 2nd pts | 79% | 56% | 56% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 4/8 | 5/11 | 11/24 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 50% | 45% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 12 | 7 | 19 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 9/12 | 7/7 | 16 | |
| Saved % | – | 75% | 100% | 58% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWLWWWL
Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (7-5 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Andy MurrayMurray (6-4 6-4 6-71 6-3) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Jack DraperDraper (6-3 4-6 6-5 ret.) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (6-4 5-7 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Tommy PaulPaul (7-63 6-75 7-62 5-7 6-0) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Yibing WuWu (6-4 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-1 6-1 3-6 7-65) – See score progression
- Nick KyrgiosKyrgios – Jeff WolfWolf (6-4 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Pedro CachinCachin (6-3 4-6 6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (7-5 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Richard GasquetGasquet – Rafael NadalNadal (1-17) – H2H and prediction
- Marin CilicCilic – Daniel EvansEvans (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (3-5) – H2H and prediction
- Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Nick KyrgiosKyrgios (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Ilya IvashkaIvashka – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Andrey RublevRublev (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Casper RuudRuud (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Jannik SinnerSinner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
