[UPDATED R3]. Prediction, H2H of Carlos Alcaraz’s draw vs Brooksby, Cilic, Sinner, Nadal, Medvedev to win the U.S. Open

U.S. Open draw preview with H2H - Carlos Alcaraz may need to overcome Jenson Brooksby, Marin Cilic, Jannik Sinner, Rafael Nadal, Daniil Medvedev to conquer the competition in the U.S. Open.

Carlos Alcaraz Stats info

Carlos Alcaraz is 5 wins away to conquer the title at the U.S. Open. Alcaraz has defeated Sebastian Baez 7-5 7-5 2-0 ret. and Federico Coria 6-2 6-1 7-5 to reach the 3rd round where he will face Jenson Brooksby.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Carlos Alcaraz’s projected draw with the likely opposition at the U.S. Open. Carlos has a losing record (5-6) with the likely opponents.

R1 – Sebastian Baez (37) – 7-5 7-5 2-0 ret.
R2 – Federico Coria (78) – 6-2 6-1 7-5
R3 – Jenson Brooksby (43) – H2H 0-0
R4 – Marin Cilic (17) – H2H 2-1
or Daniel Evans (23) – H2H 1-0
1/4 – Jannik Sinner (13) – H2H 2-2
or Lorenzo Musetti (30) – H2H 1-1
1/2 – Rafael Nadal (3) – H2H 1-2
or Cameron Norrie (9) – H2H 3-1
Fin – Daniil Medvedev (1) – H2H 0-1
or Casper Ruud (7) – H2H 2-0
Alcaraz
Latest Updated
Draw

See Updated Draw

R3 – Jenson Brooksby’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 0-0

27 - 23win/loss in 2025

Rank
48
High
33
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2022 27-23 16-10 2-4 6-5 3-4 0-0
2021 49-12 26-8 8-1 11-2 4-1 0-0
2020 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2019 30-11 28-9 2-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2018 25-15 12-11 4-1 9-3 0-0 0-0
2017 14-12 8-7 6-4 0-1 0-0 0-0
2016 4-6 4-5 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0

Jenson Brooksby has a 24-17 win-loss record in 2022, 13-7 on hard. During the last 2 years, Brooksby has a 39-15 record on hard. Brooksby won 6 of his last 10 matches.

Jenson’s most significant achievement of this year was reaching the final Dallas and Atlanta.

Last year at the U.S. Open Brooksby surrendered to Novak Djokovic in the 4th round 1-6 6-3 6-2 6-2.

H2H Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jenson Brooksby

There is no head to head record between Carlos Alcaraz and Jenson Brooksby since this would be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

R4 – Marin Cilic’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-1 for Carlos Alcaraz

32 - 21win/loss in 2025

Rank
17
High
3
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2022 32-21 16-10 9-5 4-5 3-1 0-0
2021 33-23 6-9 5-5 13-7 9-2 0-0
2020 14-12 7-5 2-2 5-5 0-0 0-0
2019 22-19 12-10 5-4 3-3 2-2 0-0
2018 44-20 20-8 14-6 4-5 6-1 0-0
2017 45-22 11-8 14-4 8-7 12-3 0-0
2016 49-24 21-11 4-3 17-7 7-3 0-0
2015 35-19 15-8 7-6 6-2 7-3 0-0

Marin Cilic has a 27-15 record in 2022, 15-9 on hard. In connection to the last 18 years, Cilic has a 246-142 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Marin won 7 of his last 10 matches.

Marin’s best achievement of the current year was getting to the semifinal Adelaide, at the French Open and London.

Last year at the U.S. Open Marin got to the 1st round in 2021 in Us Open before retiring against Philipp Kohlschreiber when he was 6-7(4) 6-7(3) 6-2 6-1 2-0 ret..

H2H Carlos Alcaraz vs. Marin Cilic

This contest would be 4th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Marin Cilic clash against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard in major tournaments.

However, Carlos Alcaraz may take on Daniel Evans. Their head to head is 1-0 for Carlos Alcaraz.

1/4 – Jannik Sinner’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 2-2

47 - 16win/loss in 2025

Rank
15
High
1
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2022 47-16 21-6 15-4 7-4 4-2 0-0
2021 49-22 22-8 10-6 17-6 0-2 0-0
2020 20-14 2-6 7-3 11-5 0-0 0-0
2019 62-24 12-6 17-8 31-7 2-3 0-0
2018 31-22 13-8 17-12 1-1 0-0 0-1

Jannik Sinner has a 40-11 record in 2022, 19-5 on hard. In the course of the previous 5 years, the Italian has a 68-33 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Italian won 8 of his last 10 matches.

His most significant achievement of the current season was winning the title in Umag where he defeated Carlos Alcaraz in the final 6-7(5) 6-1 6-1.

Last year at the U.S. Open the Italian lost to Alexander Zverev in the 4th round 6-4 6-4 7-6(7).

H2H Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jannik Sinner

This contest would be 5th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner square off. The head to head is 2-2 for Alcaraz and Sinner (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard in major tournaments.

On the other hand, Carlos Alcaraz could square off with Lorenzo Musetti. Their head to head record is 1-1.

1/2 – Rafael Nadal’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-1 for Rafael Nadal

39 - 8win/loss in 2025

Rank
2
High
1
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2022 39-8 23-3 10-2 1-3 5-0 0-0
2021 24-5 5-2 19-3 0-0 0-0 0-0
2020 27-7 13-3 9-1 5-3 0-0 0-0
2019 58-7 21-2 21-3 11-1 5-1 0-0
2018 45-4 14-2 26-1 0-0 5-1 0-0
2017 68-12 38-8 24-1 3-2 3-1 0-0
2016 39-14 18-10 21-4 0-0 0-0 0-0
2015 61-20 20-9 26-6 10-3 5-2 0-0

Rafael Nadal has a 37-4 win-loss record in 2022, 22-2 on hard. Talking about the last 20 years, Rafael has a 440-108 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Rafael won 9 of his last 10 matches.

His best achievement of the current year was winning the title in Melbourne where he beat Maxime Cressy in the final 7-6(6) 6-3, at the Australian Open where he overcame Daniil Medvedev in the final 2-6 6-7(5) 6-4 6-4 7-5, in Acapulco where he defeated Cameron Norrie in the final 6-4 6-4, and at the French Open where he beat Casper Ruud in the final 6-3 6-3 6-0.

Last year at the U.S. Open the Spaniard didn’t play in this tournament.

H2H Carlos Alcaraz vs. Rafael Nadal

This match would represent the 4th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Rafael Nadal clash against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Nadal (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Yet, Carlos Alcaraz could take on Cameron Norrie. Their H2H record is 3-1 for Carlos Alcaraz.

Final – Daniil Medvedev’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 1-0 for Daniil Medvedev

45 - 19win/loss in 2025

Rank
7
High
1
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2022 45-19 26-8 3-2 8-6 8-3 0-0
2021 63-13 33-5 5-3 18-3 7-2 0-0
2020 28-10 14-4 0-2 14-4 0-0 0-0
2019 59-21 34-8 8-5 12-5 5-3 0-0
2018 53-25 27-9 1-5 21-7 4-4 0-0
2017 28-28 8-11 0-4 10-9 10-4 0-0
2016 69-27 15-6 13-7 23-8 9-3 9-3
2015 53-26 23-10 17-8 7-6 0-0 6-2

Daniil Medvedev has a 37-12 win-loss record in 2022, 26-7 on hard. Regarding the last 10 years, the Russian has a 181-61 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Russian won 8 of his last 10 matches.

His best achievement of the year was winning the title in Los Cabos where he defeated Cameron Norrie in the final 7-5 6-0.

Last year at the U.S. Open the Russian won the tournament after besting Novak Djokovic 6-4 6-4 6-4.

H2H Carlos Alcaraz vs. Daniil Medvedev

This would be the 2nd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Daniil Medvedev square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard in major tournaments.

On the other hand, Carlos Alcaraz may fight against Casper Ruud. Their head to head is 2-0 for Carlos Alcaraz.