Diego Sebastian Schwartzman and Frances Tiafoe will face off in the 3^rd round of the U.S. Open for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 2:00 pm on Louis Armstrong Stadium. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Frances Tiafoe who should win in 5 sets.

As per the initial odds, Frances Tiafoe is the pick to win this match.
Frances Tiafoe -> 1.59
Diego Sebastian Schwartzman -> 2.42

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Prediction and head to head Diego Sebastian Schwartzman vs. Frances Tiafoe

This will be the 4^th time that Diego Sebastian Schwartzman and Frances Tiafoe face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Schwartzman (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Tiafoe won 6-4 7-6(6) in the quarter in Vienna back in 2021.

Highlights Frances Tiafoe vs Diego Sebastian Schwartzman – Vienna 29-October-2021

Diego Sebastian Schwartzman

Diego Sebastian Schwartzman

0 - 0win/loss

Rank

High

See allSTATS

Year	Total	Hard	Clay	I.hard	Grass	Carpet

See all years

Ranked no. 16, the Argentine reached the 3^rd round after defeating Jack Sock 3-6 5-7 6-0 1-0 ret. and Alexei Popyrin 7-6³ 7-5 7-6⁶.

In the 2^nd round, Diego had a good straight sets win against Popyrin (7-6³ 7-5 7-6⁶). During the match, Schwartzman scored 156 points vs Popyrin’s 147. The Argentine was exceptionally aggressive to blast 73 winners.

Regarding the service games, Schwartzman scored just 1 ace throughout the encounter and he committed only 9 double faults. Diego Sebastian Schwartzman lost the serve twice and he saved 16 break points. Furthermore, Schwartzman put 65% of his first serves in, winning 72% (73/102) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (26/55) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Popyrin 3 times after converting 18% of his break points (3/17).

Schwartzman has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (379-247). 9-6 on hard in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Schwartzman has an overall 92-77 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Schwartzman’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Buenos Aires and Rio de Janeiro.

The Argentine has a compiled 31-19 win-loss record in 2022, 9-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open

Schwartzman's Record

Frances Tiafoe

Frances Tiafoe

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
30

High
10

LLLLLWWLWW

See allSTATS

Year	Total	Hard	Clay	I.hard	Grass	Carpet
2025	26-23	13-13	11-7	1-1	1-2	0-0
2024	33-27	21-13	5-6	4-5	3-3	0-0
2023	40-21	21-10	8-4	4-5	7-2	0-0
2022	35-25	19-11	8-6	5-5	3-3	0-0
2021	42-27	19-13	4-7	10-4	9-3	0-0

See all years

Ranked no. 26, Tiafoe got to the 3^rd round after beating Marcos Giron 7-6⁰ 6-4 6-3 and Jason Murray Kubler 7-6³ 7-5 7-6².

In the 2^nd round, Francis had a good straight sets win against Murray Kubler (7-6³ 7-5 7-6²). During the match Tiafoe scored 143 points vs Murray Kubler’s 125. The American was very aggressive to blast 51 winners.

Talking about serving, Tiafoe managed to score 15 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Frances Tiafoe was extremely efficient on serve to win 78% (51/65) of his 1st serve and 56% (34/61) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Tiafoe broke Murray Kubler 3 times after converting 20% of his break points (3/15).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Tiafoe hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Francis’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Estoril.

Tiafoe has an aggregate 23-18 win-loss record in 2022, 12-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 4^th round in 2020 and 2021. See his history.

U.S. Open

Tiafoe's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Both Schwartzman and Tiafoe played 2 matches. At the moment, Diego Sebastian Schwartzman lost 2 sets while Frances Tiafoe hasn’t dropped a set so far. Schwartzman has played 2 sets more than Tiafoe (8 vs 6). However, it’s interesting to notice that Schwartzman played 4 games less than Tiafoe. Schwartzman scored 105 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Tiafoe struck 100 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Schwartzman struck 6 aces (3 per match). Tiafoe struck 31 aces (15.5 per match). Schwartzman won 70% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Tiafoe won 81% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

The Argentine broke his opponents 8 times with a 35% conversion rate. Schwartzman lost his serve 6 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 6 times with a 29% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded.

Head 2 Head

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Frances
Tiafoe

Rank

High

Rank

High

Win Loss

Sebastian Schwartzman

Tiafoe

2025 2024 2023

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Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Marin CilicCilic – Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas (6-3 7-6⁴ 6-3) – See score progression
• Ilya IvashkaIvashka – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (6-4 4-6 7-6⁵ 6-3) – See score progression
• Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – John IsnerIsner (w/o) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Federico CoriaCoria (6-2 6-1 7-5) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Gijs BrouwerBrouwer (6-7¹ 6-3 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Richard GasquetGasquet – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-2 6-4 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (7-6⁵ 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (6-4 4-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (7-6³ 7-5 7-6⁶) – See score progression
• Cameron NorrieNorrie – Joao SousaSousa (6-4 6-4 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Christopher EubanksEubanks (6-4 7-6⁸ 6-2) – See score progression
• Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Borna CoricCoric (6-4 7-6¹⁰ 6-1) – See score progression
• Daniel EvansEvans – James DuckworthDuckworth (6-3 6-2 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Andrey RublevRublev – Soon-Woo KwonKwon (6-3 6-0 6-4) – See score progression
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler (7-6³ 7-5 7-6²) – See score progression
• Rafael NadalNadal – Fabio FogniniFognini (2-6 6-4 6-2 6-1) – See score progression
• Jack DraperDraper – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (6-4 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (7-6³ 5-7 3-6 6-0 7-6³) – See score progression
• Nick KyrgiosKyrgios – Benjamin BonziBonzi (7-6³ 6-4 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Yibing WuWu – Nuno BorgesBorges (6-7³ 7-6⁴ 4-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Andy MurrayMurray – Emilio NavaNava (5-7 6-3 6-1 6-0) – See score progression
• Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Hugo GrenierGrenier (2-6 6-1 7-6⁴ 7-6⁷) – See score progression
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-2 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Alexander BublikBublik (4-6 6-4 6-3 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Jeff WolfWolf – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (4-6 7-5 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Casper RuudRuud – Tim Van RijthovenVan Rijthoven (6-7⁴ 6-4 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (6-3 6-3 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
• Pedro CachinCachin – Brandon HoltHolt (1-6 2-6 6-1 7-6¹ 7-6⁶) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Cristian GarinGarin (6-3 6-0 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
• Corentin MoutetMoutet – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-4 1-6 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Jordan ThompsonThompson (6-3 2-6 3-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Tommy PaulPaul – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-0 3-6 4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Yibing WuWu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Nick KyrgiosKyrgios – Jeff WolfWolf (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Jack DraperDraper (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Andy MurrayMurray – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Pedro CachinCachin – Corentin MoutetMoutet (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Tommy PaulPaul – Casper RuudRuud (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Ilya IvashkaIvashka – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Jannik SinnerSinner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Marin CilicCilic – Daniel EvansEvans (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Cameron NorrieNorrie – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Andrey RublevRublev (2-2) – H2H and prediction
• Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Richard GasquetGasquet – Rafael NadalNadal (1-17) – H2H and prediction

Schwartzman

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Tiafoe