Andrey Rublev and Denis Shapovalov will face off in the 3^rd round of the U.S. Open for the 5^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 2:00 pm on Grandstand. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 5 sets.

As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.52
Denis Shapovalov -> 2.6

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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Denis Shapovalov

This will be the 5^th time that Andrey Rublev and Denis Shapovalov square off. The head to head is 2-2 (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.

The last time that they played, Rublev won 4-6 6-3 6-4 in the semifinal in St petersburg back in 2020.

Highlights Andrey Rublev vs Denis Shapovalov – St petersburg 17-October-2020

Andrey Rublev

Ranked no. 11, the Russian got to the 3^rd round after beating Laslo Djere 7-6⁵ 6-3 3-6 4-6 6-4 and Soon-Woo Kwon 6-3 6-0 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Kwon (6-3 6-0 6-4). During the match, Rublev scored 90 points vs Kwon’s 67. The Russian was very aggressive to blast 39 winners.

Talking about the service games, Rublev recorded 12 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Andrey Rublev lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Rublev put 56% of his first serves in, winning 83% (39/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (16/37) on the 2nd serve. The Russian was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Kwon 6 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian has conceded 2 set in this competition to win 53% of the points he played.

Rublev has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (366-204). 17-6 on hard in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rublev has a compiled 140-73 record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in in Marseille where he overcame Felix Auger Aliassime in the final 7-5 7-6(4) and in in Dubai where he beat Jiri Vesely in the final 6-3 6-4 and in in Belgrade where he overcame Novak Djokovic in the final 6-2 6-7(4) 6-0.

Rublev has an overall 38-14 win-loss record in 2022, 17-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Denis Shapovalov

Ranked no. 21, Denis got to the 3^rd round after beating Marc-Andrea Huesler 2-6 6-4 6-4 3-6 6-1 and Roberto Carballes Baena 6-4 4-6 6-3 6-2.

In the 2^nd round, Shapovalov defeated Carballes Baena (6-4 4-6 6-3 6-2). During the match Shapovalov scored 118 points vs Carballes Baena’s 101. Denis was quite aggressive to blast 56 winners.

Talking about serving, Shapovalov bagged 11 aces and he was not very steady on his 2nd serve to score 13 double faults. Denis Shapovalov lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Shapovalov put 59% of his first serves in, winning 86% (56/65) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (22/46) on the 2nd serve. The Canadian broke Carballes Baena 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Denis has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.

Denis’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Dubai.

The Canadian has a compiled 21-18 win-loss record in 2022, 16-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2020. See his history

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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Rublev	Shapovalov
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	8	9
Tot Games	76	81
Pts	255-225	244-230
Total Points	480	474
Winners	101	115
%Winners	40%	47%

Both Rublev and Shapovalov played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Andrey Rublev dropped 2 sets, while Denis Shapovalov lost 3 sets. Rublev has played 1 set(s) less than Shapovalov (8 vs 9). Therefore, Rublev played 5 games less than Shapovalov. Rublev scored 101 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Denis recorded 115 winners (47%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Rublev	Shapovalov
Aces	25	23
Avg per match	12.5	11.5
1st in	128/227	139/241
%1st in	56%	58%
1st pts	101/128	115/139
%1st pts	79%	83%
2nd pts	46/99	50/102
%2nd pts	46%	49%

Rublev recorded 25 aces (12.5 per match). Shapovalov recorded 23 aces (11.5 per match). Rublev won 79% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Shapovalov won 83% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Rublev	Shapovalov
Won	13	9
Converted	13/19	9/22
% Converted	68%	41%
Conceded	18	13
Saved	10	8
% Saved	56%	62%
Times Broken	8	5

The Russian broke his opponents 13 times with a 68% conversion rate. Andrey surrendered his serve 8 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded. Shapovalov broke his opponents 9 times with a 41% conversion rate. Denis conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded.

Rublev
	R1 Djere	R2 Kwon	Total
Score	7-65 6-3 3-6 4-6 6-4	6-3 6-0 6-4
Tot Set	5	3	8
Tot Games	51	25	76
pts	165-158	90-67	255-225
Total points	323	157	480
Winners	62	39	101
%Winners	38%	43%	40%
SERVE
Aces	13	12	25
Double Faults	3	5	8
1st in	81/143	47/84	128/227
% 1st in	57%	56%	56%
1st pts	62/81	39/47	101/128
% 1st pts	77%	83%	79%
2nd pts	30/62	16/37	46/99
% 2nd pts	48%	43%	46%
Breaks
Won	7	6	13
Converted	7/13	6/6	13/19
Converted %	54%	100%	68%
Conceded	16	2	18
Saved	9/16	1/2	10
Saved %	56%	50%	53%
Times Broken	7	1	8

Shapovalov
	R1 Huesler	R2 Carballes Baena	Total
Score	2-6 6-4 6-4 3-6 6-1	6-4 4-6 6-3 6-2
Tot Set	5	4	9
Tot Games	44	37	81
pts	126-129	118-101	244-230
Total points	255	219	474
Winners	59	56	115
%Winners	47%	47%	47%
SERVE
Aces	12	11	23
Double Faults	11	13	24
1st in	74/130	65/111	139/241
% 1st in	57%	59%	58%
1st pts	59/74	56/65	115/139
% 1st pts	80%	86%	83%
2nd pts	28/56	22/46	50/102
% 2nd pts	50%	48%	49%
Breaks
Won	4	5	9
Converted	4/9	5/13	9/22
Converted %	44%	38%	41%
Conceded	8	5	13
Saved	5/8	3/5	8
Saved %	63%	60%	62%
Times Broken	3	2	5

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Gijs BrouwerBrouwer (6-7¹ 6-3 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Richard GasquetGasquet – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-2 6-4 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (7-6⁵ 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Roberto Carballes Baena
  Carballes Baena (6-4 4-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (7-6³ 7-5 7-6⁶) – See score progression
• Cameron NorrieNorrie – Joao SousaSousa (6-4 6-4 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Christopher EubanksEubanks (6-4 7-6⁸ 6-2) – See score progression
• Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Borna CoricCoric (6-4 7-6¹⁰ 6-1) – See score progression
• Daniel EvansEvans – James DuckworthDuckworth (6-3 6-2 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Andrey RublevRublev – Soon-Woo KwonKwon (6-3 6-0 6-4) – See score progression
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler (7-6³ 7-5 7-6²) – See score progression
• Rafael NadalNadal – Fabio FogniniFognini (2-6 6-4 6-2 6-1) – See score progression
• Marin CilicCilic – Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas (6-3 7-6⁴ 6-3) – See score progression
• Ilya IvashkaIvashka – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (6-4 4-6 7-6⁵ 6-3) – See score progression
• Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – John IsnerIsner (w/o) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Federico CoriaCoria (6-2 6-1 7-5) – See score progression
• Nick KyrgiosKyrgios – Benjamin BonziBonzi (7-6³ 6-4 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Yibing WuWu – Nuno BorgesBorges (6-7³ 7-6⁴ 4-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Andy MurrayMurray – Emilio NavaNava (5-7 6-3 6-1 6-0) – See score progression
• Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Hugo GrenierGrenier (2-6 6-1 7-6⁴ 7-6⁷) – See score progression
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-2 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Alexander BublikBublik (4-6 6-4 6-3 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Jeff WolfWolf – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (4-6 7-5 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Casper RuudRuud – Tim Van RijthovenVan Rijthoven (6-7⁴ 6-4 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (6-3 6-3 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
• Pedro CachinCachin – Brandon HoltHolt (1-6 2-6 6-1 7-6¹ 7-6⁶) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Cristian GarinGarin (6-3 6-0 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
• Corentin MoutetMoutet – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-4 1-6 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Jordan ThompsonThompson (6-3 2-6 3-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Tommy PaulPaul – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-0 3-6 4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Jack DraperDraper – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (6-4 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (7-6³ 5-7 3-6 6-0 7-6³) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Yibing WuWu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Nick KyrgiosKyrgios – Jeff WolfWolf (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Jack DraperDraper (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Andy MurrayMurray – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Pedro CachinCachin – Corentin MoutetMoutet (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Tommy PaulPaul – Casper RuudRuud (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Ilya IvashkaIvashka – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Jannik SinnerSinner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Marin CilicCilic – Daniel EvansEvans (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Cameron NorrieNorrie – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Andrey RublevRublev (2-2) – H2H and prediction
• Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Richard GasquetGasquet – Rafael NadalNadal (1-17) – H2H and prediction