Jannik Sinner and Brandon Nakashima will face off in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 9:00 pm on Louis Armstrong Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 4 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.36
Brandon Nakashima -> 3.26

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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Brandon Nakashima

There is no head to head record between Jannik Sinner and Brandon Nakashima since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Jannik Sinner

Jannik Sinner

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
2
High
1
WWWWWWWWWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 58-6 24-3 11-2 15-0 8-1 0-0
2024 73-8 40-5 11-2 13-0 9-1 0-0
2023 64-15 28-7 8-3 20-2 8-3 0-0
2022 47-16 21-6 15-4 7-4 4-2 0-0
2021 49-22 22-8 10-6 17-6 0-2 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 13, Sinner got to the 3rd round after defeating Daniel Altmaier 5-7 6-2 6-1 3-6 6-1 and Christopher Eubanks 6-4 7-68 6-2.

In the 2nd round, Jannik had a good straight sets win against Eubanks (6-4 7-68 6-2). During the match, Sinner scored 110 points vs Eubanks’s 85. Sinner was pretty aggressive to blast 41 winners.

Regarding the service games, Sinner struck 12 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Jannik Sinner was quite effective on serve to win 85% (41/48) of his 1st serve and 63% (25/40) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Italian broke Eubanks 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Sinner has surrendered 2 set in this tournament to conquer 57% of the points he played.

Sinner has a solid match record in the last 5 years having won 68% of his matches (202-93). 19-5 on hard in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Sinner has a composed68-33 record in the last 5 years on hard.

His best result of the season was winning the title in in Umag where he beat Carlos Alcaraz in the final 6-7(5) 6-1 6-1.

Jannik has an overall 40-11 win-loss record in 2022, 19-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
Sinner's Record

Brandon Nakashima

Brandon Nakashima

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
33
High
29
LLLWLWLLWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 33-30 19-14 6-8 2-5 6-3 0-0
2024 61-32 24-12 13-7 15-8 9-5 0-0
2023 21-26 9-15 3-4 8-3 1-4 0-0
2022 41-26 17-13 5-5 9-4 10-4 0-0
2021 45-25 17-10 4-7 20-5 4-3 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 69, Nakashima got to the 3rd round after beating Pavel Kotov 7-64

6-2 6-2 and Grigor Dimitrov 7-65 7-5 6-3.

In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Dimitrov (7-65 7-5 6-3). During the match Nakashima scored 112 points vs Dimitrov’s 96. Nakashima was extremely aggressive to blast 56 winners.

Talking about serving, Nakashima made 12 aces and he was very solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Brandon Nakashima was quite effective on serve to win 80% (56/70) of his 1st serve and 61% (20/33) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Dimitrov twice after converting 20% of his break points (2/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Brandon hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Brandon has a compiled 27-21 win-loss record in 2022, 11-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2020 and 2021. See his history.

U.S. Open
Nakashima's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

J.Sinner
B.Nakashima
5h:59
5h:59
Time on court​
4h:56
4h:56
!
2h:24
2h:24
Last match​
!
2h:23
2h:23
2
2
Match played
2
2
74
74
Games Played​
63
63
8
8
Set played​​
6
6
254
254
Total points​
224
224
127
127
Avg point​
112
112
93
93
Winners
101
101
46.5
46.5
Avg Winners​
50.5
50.5
37%
37%
Ratio winners
45%
45%
-- Serve --
28
28
Aces
25
25
!
14
14
Avg Aces
!
12.5
12.5
9
9
Double Faults
3
3
4.5
4.5
Avg Double Faults
1.5
1.5
93/117
93/117
1st won total​
101/127
101/127
!
79%
79%
1st won %
!
80%
80%
60/92
60/92
2nd won total​
40/69
40/69
!
65%
65%
2nd won %
58%
58%
-- Break Points --
11/27
11/27
BP won
7/25
7/25
5.5/13.5
5.5/13.5
Avg BP won
3.5/12.5
3.5/12.5
41%
41%
Won
!
28%
28%
13
13
Conceded
8
8
6.5
6.5
Avg Conceded
4
4
4
4
Broken
1
1
2
2
Avg Broken
!
0.5
0.5
9
9
Saved
7
7
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Sinner Nakashima
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 8 6
Tot Games 74 63
Pts 254-189 224-176
Total Points 443 400
Winners 93 101
%Winners 37% 45%

Both Sinner and Nakashima played 2 matches. At the moment, Jannik Sinner dropped 2 sets while Brandon Nakashima hasn’t lost a set so far. Sinner has played 2 sets more than Nakashima (8 vs 6). Therefore, Sinner played 11 games more than Nakashima. Sinner scored 93 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Nakashima managed to score 101 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve Sinner Nakashima
Aces 28 25
Avg per match 14 12.5
1st in 117/209 127/196
%1st in 56% 65%
1st pts 93/117 101/127
%1st pts 79% 80%
2nd pts 60/92 40/69
%2nd pts 65% 58%

Sinner blasted 28 aces (14 per match). Nakashima blasted 25 aces (12.5 per match). Sinner won 79% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Nakashima won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Sinner Nakashima
Won 11 7
Converted 11/27 7/25
% Converted 41% 28%
Conceded 13 8
Saved 9 7
% Saved 69% 88%
Times Broken 4 1

Sinner broke his opponents 11 times with a 41% conversion rate. The Italian dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded. Nakashima broke his opponents 7 times with a 28% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve once and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded.

Sinner
R1
Altmaier		 R2
Eubanks		 Total
Score 5-7 6-2 6-1 3-6 6-1 6-4 7-68 6-2
Tot Set 5 3 8
Tot Games 43 31 74
pts 144-104 110-85 254-189
Total points 248 195 443
Winners 52 41 93
%Winners 36% 37% 37%
SERVE
Aces 16 12 28
Double Faults 5 4 9
1st in 69/121 48/88 117/209
% 1st in 57% 55% 56%
1st pts 52/69 41/48 93/117
% 1st pts 75% 85% 79%
2nd pts 35/52 25/40 60/92
% 2nd pts 67% 63% 65%
Breaks
Won 7 4 11
Converted 7/15 4/12 11/27
Converted % 47% 33% 41%
Conceded 9 4 13
Saved 6/9 3/4 9
Saved % 67% 75% 71%
Times Broken 3 1 4
Nakashima
R1
Kotov		 R2
Dimitrov		 Total
Score 7-64 6-2 6-2 7-65 7-5 6-3
Tot Set 3 3 6
Tot Games 29 34 63
pts 112-80 112-96 224-176
Total points 192 208 400
Winners 45 56 101
%Winners 40% 50% 45%
SERVE
Aces 13 12 25
Double Faults 3 0 3
1st in 57/93 70/103 127/196
% 1st in 61% 68% 65%
1st pts 45/57 56/70 101/127
% 1st pts 79% 80% 80%
2nd pts 20/36 20/33 40/69
% 2nd pts 56% 61% 58%
Breaks
Won 5 2 7
Converted 5/15 2/10 7/25
Converted % 33% 20% 28%
Conceded 3 5 8
Saved 2/3 5/5 7
Saved % 67% 100% 84%
Times Broken 1 0 1

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

Upcoming matches in the draw

Sinner
More Stats
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Nakashima

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