H2H, PREDICTION Iga Swiatek vs Lauren Davis | U.S. Open odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. New York. Swiatek and Davis will square off in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match

Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Lauren Davis

Iga Swiatek and Lauren Davis will play each other in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 7:00 pm on Louis Armstrong Stadium. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.064
Lauren Davis -> 9.8

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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Lauren Davis

There is no head to head record between Iga Swiatek and Lauren Davis since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Iga Swiatek

Iga Swiatek
Iga Swiatek

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
2
High
1
LWWLWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 14-4 14-4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 64-9 29-5 26-2 7-1 2-1 0-0
2023 68-11 42-8 19-2 0-0 7-1 0-0
2022 67-9 42-6 18-1 5-1 2-1 0-0
2021 36-15 18-10 12-2 2-1 4-2 0-0

Currently world no. 1 the Pole got to the 3rd round after defeating Jasmine Paolini 6-3 6-0 and Sloane Stephens 6-3 6-2.

In the 2nd round, Swiatek had a good straight sets win against Stephens (6-3 6-2). During the match, Swiatek scored 59 points vs Stephens’s 43. The Pole was exceptionally aggressive to blast 23 winners.

Talking about the service games, Swiatek scored just 1 ace during the match and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Iga Swiatek was quite effective on serve to win 77% (23/30) of her 1st serve and 58% (11/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. The Pole broke Stephens 4 times after converting 33% of her break points (4/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Pole hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to win 60% of the points she played.

Swiatek has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 79% of her matches (202-54). 30-5 on hard in 2022. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Swiatek has a composed79-28 record in the last 7 years on hard.

Her best result of the current season was conquering the title in in Doha where she overcame Anett Kontaveit in the final 6-2 6-0 and in in Indian Wells where she beat Maria Sakkari in the final 6-4 6-1 and in in Miami where she beat Naomi Osaka in the final 6-4 6-0 and in in Stuttgart where she beat Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-2 6-2 and in in Rome where she overcame Ons Jabeur in the final 6-2 6-2 and in at the French Open where she beat Cori Gauff in the final 6-1 6-3.

The Pole has a composed 52-7 win-loss record in 2022, 30-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Swiatek
U.S. Open
Swiatek's Record

Lauren Davis

Lauren Davis
Lauren Davis

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
234
High
26
LLWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 5-3 2-2 3-1 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 17-17 5-6 5-7 6-2 1-2 0-0
2023 25-20 16-11 7-6 0-0 2-3 0-0
2022 28-25 14-12 11-9 0-0 3-4 0-0
2021 20-21 8-11 6-5 2-1 4-4 0-0

Ranked no. 105, Lauren reached the 3rd round after defeating Lucia Bronzetti 4-6 7-63 5-4 ret. and Ekaterina Alexandrova 0-6 6-4 7-65.

In the 2nd round against Alexandrova, Lauren recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (0-6 6-4 7-65).During the match Davis scored less points (10) than Alexandrova. In fact, the world no. 1 won 85 points vs Alexandrova’s. That means that Davis was more focused during the important points. Lauren was quite aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Talking about serving, Davis recorded 4 aces and she committed only 8 double faults. Lauren Davis lost the serve 4 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Davis put 49% of her first serves in, winning 77% (37/48) of the points behind her 1st serve and 40% (20/50) on the 2nd serve. Davis broke Alexandrova twice after converting 50% of her break points (2/4).

The American’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in the Bastad.

Lauren has an overall 21-20 win-loss record in 2022, 11-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2015, 2016, 2019 and 2021. See her history.

Davis
U.S. Open
Davis's Record
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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

I.Swiatek
L.Davis
2h:21
2h:21
Time on court​
!
5h:24
5h:24
1h:14
1h:14
Last match​
!
2h:12
2h:12
2
2
Match played
2
2
32
32
Games Played​
61
61
4
4
Set played​​
7
7
116
116
Total points​
197
197
58
58
Avg point​
98.5
98.5
39
39
Winners
74
74
19.5
19.5
Avg Winners​
37
37
34%
34%
Ratio winners
38%
38%
-- Serve --
2
2
Aces
9
9
1
1
Avg Aces
4.5
4.5
2
2
Double Faults
15
15
1
1
Avg Double Faults
!
7.5
7.5
39/55
39/55
1st won total​
74/108
74/108
!
71%
71%
1st won %
69%
69%
20/34
20/34
2nd won total​
44/98
44/98
59%
59%
2nd won %
45%
45%
-- Break Points --
11/21
11/21
BP won
8/16
8/16
5.5/10.5
5.5/10.5
Avg BP won
4/8
4/8
!
52%
52%
Won
50%
50%
5
5
Conceded
23
23
2.5
2.5
Avg Conceded
11.5
11.5
3
3
Broken
10
10
1.5
1.5
Avg Broken
!
5
5
2
2
Saved
13
13

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Swiatek Davis
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 7
Tot Games 32 61
Pts 116-77 197-202
Total Points 193 399
Winners 39 74
%Winners 34% 38%

Both Swiatek and Davis played 2 matches. At the moment, Lauren Davis dropped 2 sets while Iga Swiatek hasn’t dropped a set so far. Swiatek has played 3 set(s) less than Davis (4 vs 7). Therefore, Swiatek played 29 games less than Davis. Iga scored 39 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, The American managed to score 74 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve Swiatek Davis
Aces 2 9
Avg per match 1 4.5
1st in 55/89 108/206
%1st in 62% 52%
1st pts 39/55 74/108
%1st pts 71% 69%
2nd pts 20/34 44/98
%2nd pts 59% 45%

Swiatek recorded 2 aces (1 per match). Davis blasted 9 aces (4.5 per match). Swiatek won 71% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Davis won 69% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 45% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Swiatek Davis
Won 11 8
Converted 11/21 8/16
% Converted 52% 50%
Conceded 5 23
Saved 2 13
% Saved 40% 57%
Times Broken 3 10

The Pole broke her opponents 11 times with a 52% conversion rate. Iga surrendered her serve 3 times and she saved 40% of the break points that she conceded. Davis broke her opponents 8 times with a 50% conversion rate. Davis conceded her serve 10 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded.

Swiatek
R1
Paolini
R2
Stephens
Total
Score 6-3 6-0 6-3 6-2
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 15 17 32
pts 57-34 59-43 116-77
Total points 91 102 193
Winners 16 23 39
%Winners 28% 39% 34%
SERVE
Aces 1 1 2
Double Faults 0 2 2
1st in 25/40 30/49 55/89
% 1st in 63% 61% 62%
1st pts 16/25 23/30 39/55
% 1st pts 64% 77% 71%
2nd pts 9/15 11/19 20/34
% 2nd pts 60% 58% 59%
Breaks
Won 7 4 11
Converted 7/9 4/12 11/21
Converted % 78% 33% 52%
Conceded 3 2 5
Saved 1/3 1/2 2
Saved % 33% 50% 42%
Times Broken 2 1 3
Davis
R1
Bronzetti
R2
Alexandrova
Total
Score 4-6 7-63 5-4 ret. 0-6 6-4 7-65
Tot Set 3 3 6
Tot Games 32 29 61
pts 112-107 85-95 197-202
Total points 219 180 399
Winners 37 37 74
%Winners 33% 44% 38%
SERVE
Aces 5 4 9
Double Faults 7 8 15
1st in 60/108 48/98 108/206
% 1st in 56% 49% 52%
1st pts 37/60 37/48 74/108
% 1st pts 62% 77% 69%
2nd pts 24/48 20/50 44/98
% 2nd pts 50% 40% 45%
Breaks
Won 6 2 8
Converted 6/12 2/4 8/16
Converted % 50% 50% 50%
Conceded 13 10 23
Saved 7/13 6/10 13
Saved % 54% 60% 57%
Times Broken 6 4 10

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Swiatek
LWWLWWWLWW
Davis
LLWWLWWW
2025 2024 2023
14 - 4
5 - 3
14-4
Hard
2-2
0-0
Clay
3-1

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

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