Rafael Nadal and Richard Gasquet will play each other in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open for the 19th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 7:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Nadal who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Rafael Nadal is the pick to win this match.
Rafael Nadal -> 1.098
Richard Gasquet -> 7.6

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Prediction and head to head Rafael Nadal vs. Richard Gasquet

This will be the 19th time that Rafael Nadal and Richard Gasquet fight against each other. The head to head is 17-1 for Nadal (see full H2H stats), 5-0 on hard.

The last time that they played, Nadal won 6-0 7-5 6-2 in the 2nd round in at the French Open back in 2021.

Highlights Rafael Nadal vs Richard Gasquet – French Open 03-June-2021

Rafael Nadal

Rafael Nadal

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
153
High
1
LLWLWWWWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 12-8 2-1 10-6 0-1 0-0 0-0
2023 1-3 1-3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 39-8 23-3 10-2 1-3 5-0 0-0
2021 24-5 5-2 19-3 0-0 0-0 0-0
2020 27-7 13-3 9-1 5-3 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 3, the Spaniard got to the 3rd round after beating Rinky Hijikata 4-6 6-2 6-3 6-3 and Fabio Fognini 2-6 6-4 6-2 6-1.

In the 2nd round against Fognini, The Spaniard recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-4 6-2 6-1). During the match, Nadal scored 105 points vs Fognini’s 81. Rafael was exceptionally aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Talking about the service games, Nadal blasted 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Rafael Nadal lost the serve 6 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Nadal put 61% of his first serves in, winning 68% (36/53) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (16/34) on the 2nd serve. Rafael broke Fognini 9 times after converting 64% of his break points (9/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Rafael has dropped 2 set in this competition to conquer 56% of the points he played.

Nadal has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 84% of his matches (482-91). 22-2 on hard in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Nadal has an aggregate 198-45 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in in Melbourne where he beat Maxime Cressy in the final 7-6(6) 6-3 and in at the Australian Open where he overcame Daniil Medvedev in the final 2-6 6-7(5) 6-4 6-4 7-5 and in in Acapulco where he overcame Cameron Norrie in the final 6-4 6-4 and in at the French Open where he overcame Casper Ruud in the final 6-3 6-3 6-0.

Rafael has an aggregate 37-4 win-loss record in 2022, 22-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
Nadal's Record

Richard Gasquet

Richard Gasquet

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
311
High
7
LWLWLWWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 6-7 1-2 3-3 2-2 0-0 0-0
2024 33-32 15-8 11-12 3-8 4-4 0-0
2023 26-31 9-9 8-10 7-8 2-4 0-0
2022 34-25 8-6 13-10 11-8 2-1 0-0
2021 26-20 6-5 9-7 8-6 3-2 0-0

Ranked no. 91, the French player got to the 3rd round after beating Taro Daniel 6-4 6-71 6-2 6-2 and Miomir Kecmanovic 6-2 6-4 4-6 6-4.

In the 2nd round, Gasquet had a good straight sets win against Kecmanovic (6-2 6-4 4-6 6-4). During the match Gasquet scored 134 points vs Kecmanovic’s 124. Gasquet was pretty aggressive to blast 56 winners.

Talking about serving, Gasquet scored 9 aces and he was not very solid on his 2nd serve to score 10 double faults. Richard Gasquet lost the serve 4 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Gasquet put 56% of his first serves in, winning 76% (56/74) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (24/58) on the 2nd serve. Richard broke Kecmanovic 7 times after converting 58% of his break points (7/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Richard has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

The French player best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Geneva and the Lyon Challenger.

Richard has a compiled 26-18 win-loss record in 2022, 8-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2013. See his history.

U.S. Open
Gasquet's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

R.Nadal
R.Gasquet
5h:51
5h:51
Time on court​
6h:03
6h:03
!
2h:43
2h:43
Last match​
!
2h:47
2h:47
2
2
Match played
2
2
69
69
Games Played​
77
77
8
8
Set played​​
8
8
224
224
Total points​
260
260
112
112
Avg point​
130
130
80
80
Winners
100
100
40
40
Avg Winners​
50
50
36%
36%
Ratio winners
38%
38%
-- Serve --
13
13
Aces
18
18
6.5
6.5
Avg Aces
9
9
4
4
Double Faults
17
17
2
2
Avg Double Faults
!
8.5
8.5
80/110
80/110
1st won total​
100/132
100/132
!
73%
73%
1st won %
!
76%
76%
44/77
44/77
2nd won total​
56/110
56/110
57%
57%
2nd won %
51%
51%
-- Break Points --
14/24
14/24
BP won
14/22
14/22
7/12
7/12
Avg BP won
7/11
7/11
!
58%
58%
Won
!
64%
64%
14
14
Conceded
15
15
7
7
Avg Conceded
7.5
7.5
7
7
Broken
6
6
3.5
3.5
Avg Broken
3
3
7
7
Saved
9
9

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Nadal Gasquet
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 8 8
Tot Games 69 77
Pts 224-176 260-229
Total Points 400 489
Winners 80 100
%Winners 36% 38%

Both Nadal and Gasquet played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Rafael Nadal conceded 2 sets, while Richard Gasquet conceded 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Nadal and Gasquet have played the same amount of sets 8. However, Nadal played 8 games less than Gasquet. Nadal scored 80 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The French player bagged 100 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve Nadal Gasquet
Aces 13 18
Avg per match 6.5 9
1st in 110/187 132/242
%1st in 59% 55%
1st pts 80/110 100/132
%1st pts 73% 76%
2nd pts 44/77 56/110
%2nd pts 57% 51%

Nadal struck 13 aces (6.5 per match). Gasquet bagged 18 aces (9 per match). Nadal won 73% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Gasquet won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Nadal Gasquet
Won 14 14
Converted 14/24 14/22
% Converted 58% 64%
Conceded 14 15
Saved 7 9
% Saved 50% 60%
Times Broken 7 6

Nadal broke his opponents 14 times with a 58% conversion rate. Rafael conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Richard broke his opponents 14 times with a 64% conversion rate. Richard conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.

Nadal
R1
Hijikata
R2
Fognini
Total
Score 4-6 6-2 6-3 6-3 2-6 6-4 6-2 6-1
Tot Set 4 4 8
Tot Games 36 33 69
pts 119-95 105-81 224-176
Total points 214 186 400
Winners 44 36 80
%Winners 37% 34% 36%
SERVE
Aces 9 4 13
Double Faults 2 2 4
1st in 57/100 53/87 110/187
% 1st in 57% 61% 59%
1st pts 44/57 36/53 80/110
% 1st pts 77% 68% 73%
2nd pts 28/43 16/34 44/77
% 2nd pts 65% 47% 57%
Breaks
Won 5 9 14
Converted 5/10 9/14 14/24
Converted % 50% 64% 58%
Conceded 4 10 14
Saved 3/4 4/10 7
Saved % 75% 40% 58%
Times Broken 1 6 7
Gasquet
R1
Daniel
R2
Kecmanovic
Total
Score 6-4 6-71 6-2 6-2 6-2 6-4 4-6 6-4
Tot Set 4 4 8
Tot Games 39 38 77
pts 126-105 134-124 260-229
Total points 231 258 489
Winners 44 56 100
%Winners 35% 42% 38%
SERVE
Aces 9 9 18
Double Faults 7 10 17
1st in 58/110 74/132 132/242
% 1st in 53% 56% 55%
1st pts 44/58 56/74 100/132
% 1st pts 76% 76% 76%
2nd pts 32/52 24/58 56/110
% 2nd pts 62% 41% 51%
Breaks
Won 7 7 14
Converted 7/10 7/12 14/22
Converted % 70% 58% 64%
Conceded 5 10 15
Saved 3/5 6/10 9
Saved % 60% 60% 60%
Times Broken 2 4 6

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

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