Rafael Nadal and Richard Gasquet will play each other in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open for the 19th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 7:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Nadal who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Rafael Nadal is the pick to win this match.
Rafael Nadal -> 1.098
Richard Gasquet -> 7.6
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Prediction and head to head Rafael Nadal vs. Richard Gasquet
This will be the 19th time that Rafael Nadal and Richard Gasquet fight against each other. The head to head is 17-1 for Nadal (see full H2H stats), 5-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Nadal won 6-0 7-5 6-2 in the 2nd round in at the French Open back in 2021.
Highlights Rafael Nadal vs Richard Gasquet – French Open 03-June-2021
Rafael Nadal
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12-8 | 2-1 | 10-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-8 | 23-3 | 10-2 | 1-3 | 5-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-5 | 5-2 | 19-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 27-7 | 13-3 | 9-1 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3, the Spaniard got to the 3rd round after beating Rinky Hijikata 4-6 6-2 6-3 6-3 and Fabio Fognini 2-6 6-4 6-2 6-1.
In the 2nd round against Fognini, The Spaniard recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-4 6-2 6-1). During the match, Nadal scored 105 points vs Fognini’s 81. Rafael was exceptionally aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about the service games, Nadal blasted 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Rafael Nadal lost the serve 6 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Nadal put 61% of his first serves in, winning 68% (36/53) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (16/34) on the 2nd serve. Rafael broke Fognini 9 times after converting 64% of his break points (9/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rafael has dropped 2 set in this competition to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Nadal has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 84% of his matches (482-91). 22-2 on hard in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Nadal has an aggregate 198-45 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in in Melbourne where he beat Maxime Cressy in the final 7-6(6) 6-3 and in at the Australian Open where he overcame Daniil Medvedev in the final 2-6 6-7(5) 6-4 6-4 7-5 and in in Acapulco where he overcame Cameron Norrie in the final 6-4 6-4 and in at the French Open where he overcame Casper Ruud in the final 6-3 6-3 6-0.
Rafael has an aggregate 37-4 win-loss record in 2022, 22-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Richard Gasquet
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6-7 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-32 | 15-8 | 11-12 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-31 | 9-9 | 8-10 | 7-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-25 | 8-6 | 13-10 | 11-8 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 26-20 | 6-5 | 9-7 | 8-6 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 91, the French player got to the 3rd round after beating Taro Daniel 6-4 6-71 6-2 6-2 and Miomir Kecmanovic 6-2 6-4 4-6 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Gasquet had a good straight sets win against Kecmanovic (6-2 6-4 4-6 6-4). During the match Gasquet scored 134 points vs Kecmanovic’s 124. Gasquet was pretty aggressive to blast 56 winners.
Talking about serving, Gasquet scored 9 aces and he was not very solid on his 2nd serve to score 10 double faults. Richard Gasquet lost the serve 4 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Gasquet put 56% of his first serves in, winning 76% (56/74) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (24/58) on the 2nd serve. Richard broke Kecmanovic 7 times after converting 58% of his break points (7/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Richard has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
The French player best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Geneva and the Lyon Challenger.
Richard has a compiled 26-18 win-loss record in 2022, 8-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2013. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nadal | Gasquet |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 69 | 77 |
| Pts | 224-176 | 260-229 |
| Total Points | 400 | 489 |
| Winners | 80 | 100 |
| %Winners | 36% | 38% |
Both Nadal and Gasquet played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Rafael Nadal conceded 2 sets, while Richard Gasquet conceded 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Nadal and Gasquet have played the same amount of sets 8. However, Nadal played 8 games less than Gasquet. Nadal scored 80 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The French player bagged 100 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nadal | Gasquet |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 18 |
| Avg per match | 6.5 | 9 |
| 1st in | 110/187 | 132/242 |
| %1st in | 59% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 80/110 | 100/132 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 44/77 | 56/110 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 51% |
Nadal struck 13 aces (6.5 per match). Gasquet bagged 18 aces (9 per match). Nadal won 73% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Gasquet won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nadal | Gasquet |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 14 |
| Converted | 14/24 | 14/22 |
| % Converted | 58% | 64% |
| Conceded | 14 | 15 |
| Saved | 7 | 9 |
| % Saved | 50% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 6 |
Nadal broke his opponents 14 times with a 58% conversion rate. Rafael conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Richard broke his opponents 14 times with a 64% conversion rate. Richard conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nadal | ||||
| R1 Hijikata |
R2 Fognini |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-2 6-3 6-3 | 2-6 6-4 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 36 | 33 | 69 | |
| pts | 119-95 | 105-81 | 224-176 | |
| Total points | 214 | 186 | 400 | |
| Winners | 44 | 36 | 80 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 34% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 9 | 4 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 57/100 | 53/87 | 110/187 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 61% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 44/57 | 36/53 | 80/110 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 68% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 28/43 | 16/34 | 44/77 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 47% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 9 | 14 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 9/14 | 14/24 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 64% | 58% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 10 | 14 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 4/10 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 40% | 58% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 6 | 7 | |
| Gasquet | ||||
| R1 Daniel |
R2 Kecmanovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-71 6-2 6-2 | 6-2 6-4 4-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 39 | 38 | 77 | |
| pts | 126-105 | 134-124 | 260-229 | |
| Total points | 231 | 258 | 489 | |
| Winners | 44 | 56 | 100 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 42% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 10 | 17 | |
| 1st in | 58/110 | 74/132 | 132/242 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 56% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 44/58 | 56/74 | 100/132 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 32/52 | 24/58 | 56/110 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 41% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 7 | 7 | 14 | |
| Converted | 7/10 | 7/12 | 14/22 | |
| Converted % | 70% | 58% | 64% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 10 | 15 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 6/10 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWLWWLLW Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Gijs BrouwerBrouwer (6-71 6-3 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (7-63 7-5 7-66) – See score progression
- Richard GasquetGasquet – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-2 6-4 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Borna CoricCoric (6-4 7-610 6-1) – See score progression
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (7-65 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Ilya IvashkaIvashka – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (6-4 4-6 7-65 6-3) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Joao SousaSousa (6-4 6-4 7-64) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Soon-Woo KwonKwon (6-3 6-0 6-4) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler (7-63 7-5 7-62) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Christopher EubanksEubanks (6-4 7-68 6-2) – See score progression
- Rafael NadalNadal – Fabio FogniniFognini (2-6 6-4 6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – John IsnerIsner (w/o) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Federico CoriaCoria (6-2 6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (6-4 4-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Marin CilicCilic – Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas (6-3 7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Daniel EvansEvans – James DuckworthDuckworth (6-3 6-2 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Alexander BublikBublik (4-6 6-4 6-3 7-65) – See score progression
- Jeff WolfWolf – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (4-6 7-5 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (6-4 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Hugo GrenierGrenier (2-6 6-1 7-64 7-67) – See score progression
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-4 1-6 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Tim Van RijthovenVan Rijthoven (6-74 6-4 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (6-3 6-3 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (7-63 5-7 3-6 6-0 7-63) – See score progression
- Pedro CachinCachin – Brandon HoltHolt (1-6 2-6 6-1 7-61 7-66) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-2 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Yibing WuWu – Nuno BorgesBorges (6-73 7-64 4-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Jordan ThompsonThompson (6-3 2-6 3-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Nick KyrgiosKyrgios – Benjamin BonziBonzi (7-63 6-4 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-0 3-6 4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Andy MurrayMurray – Emilio NavaNava (5-7 6-3 6-1 6-0) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Cristian GarinGarin (6-3 6-0 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Yibing WuWu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nick KyrgiosKyrgios – Jeff WolfWolf (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Jack DraperDraper (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andy MurrayMurray – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Pedro CachinCachin – Corentin MoutetMoutet (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Casper RuudRuud (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Ilya IvashkaIvashka – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Jannik SinnerSinner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marin CilicCilic – Daniel EvansEvans (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Andrey RublevRublev (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Richard GasquetGasquet – Rafael NadalNadal (1-17) – H2H and prediction
