Jessica Pegula and Yue Yuan will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 12:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.088
Yue Yuan -> 8.1
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Yue Yuan
There is no head to head record between Jessica Pegula and Yue Yuan since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Jessica Pegula
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-9 | 11-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-18 | 45-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-21 | 28-15 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-19 | 29-12 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8, the American reached the 3rd round after defeating Viktorija Golubic 6-2 6-2 and Aliaksandra Sasnovich 6-4 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Sasnovich (6-4 6-4). During the match, Pegula scored 69 points vs Sasnovich’s 52. Pegula was exceptionally aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Pegula scored 6 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Jessica Pegula lost the serve 3 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 62% of her first serves in, winning 76% (29/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 39% (9/23) on the 2nd serve. Pegula broke Sasnovich 5 times after converting 50% of her break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jessica hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to win 60% of the points she played.
Pegula has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 61% of her matches (256-161). 19-10 on hard in 2022. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Pegula has an aggregate 139-79 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
The American’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Madrid.
Jessica has an overall 33-16 win-loss record in 2022, 19-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Yue Yuan
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21-16 | 17-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-29 | 27-17 | 8-7 | 1-2 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-25 | 33-16 | 9-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-17 | 6-7 | 3-6 | 15-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 142, the Chinese reached the 3rd round after beating Katie Volynets 6-2 7-66, Mai Hontama 6-3 7-64, Maddison Inglis 6-1 6-0, Jaimee Fourlis 6-3 6-2 and Irina-Camelia Begu 6-3 7-66.
In the 2nd round, Yuan had a good straight sets win against Begu (6-3 7-66). During the match Yuan scored 81 points vs Begu’s 64. The Chinese was extremely aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about serving, Yuan was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Yue Yuan lost the serve 3 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Yuan put 58% of her first serves in, winning 71% (30/42) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (15/30) on the 2nd serve. Yuan broke Begu 4 times after converting 67% of her break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Chinese started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to win 57% of the points she played.
The Chinese has an aggregate 29-20 win-loss record in 2022, 18-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Yuan has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pegula | Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 36 | 95 |
| Pts | 126-83 | 361-269 |
| Total Points | 209 | 630 |
| Winners | 48 | 150 |
| %Winners | 38% | 42% |
Pegula played 2 matches while Yuan competed in 5 matches. Yuan started her run from the qualifications while Pegula had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Pegula has played 6 set(s) less than Yuan (4 vs 10). Therefore, Pegula played 59 games less than Yuan. Jessica scored 48 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Yuan made 150 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pegula | Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 26 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 5.2 |
| 1st in | 61/103 | 201/314 |
| %1st in | 59% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 48/61 | 150/201 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 20/42 | 54/113 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 48% |
Pegula bagged 6 aces (3 per match). Yuan fired 26 aces (5.2 per match). Pegula won 79% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Yuan won 75% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pegula | Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 19 |
| Converted | 10/16 | 19/33 |
| % Converted | 63% | 58% |
| Conceded | 11 | 18 |
| Saved | 7 | 11 |
| % Saved | 64% | 61% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 7 |
The American broke her opponents 10 times with a 63% conversion rate. Pegula lost her serve 4 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded. The Chinese broke her opponents 19 times with a 58% conversion rate. Yue conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 61% of the break points that she conceded.
| Pegula | ||||
| R1 Golubic |
R2 Sasnovich |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 20 | 36 | |
| pts | 57-31 | 69-52 | 126-83 | |
| Total points | 88 | 121 | 209 | |
| Winners | 19 | 29 | 48 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 42% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 23/42 | 38/61 | 61/103 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 62% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 19/23 | 29/38 | 48/61 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 76% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/19 | 9/23 | 20/42 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 39% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 5/10 | 10/16 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 50% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 8 | 11 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 5/8 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 63% | 65% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Yuan | |||||||
| Q1 Volynets |
Q2 Hontama |
Q3 Inglis |
R1 Fourlis |
R2 Begu |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-66 | 6-3 7-64 | 6-1 6-0 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 22 | 13 | 17 | 22 | 95 | |
| pts | 75-59 | 87-79 | 54-20 | 64-47 | 81-64 | 361-269 | |
| Total points | 134 | 166 | 74 | 111 | 145 | 630 | |
| Winners | 33 | 34 | 26 | 27 | 30 | 150 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 39% | 48% | 42% | 37% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 26 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 42/62 | 48/80 | 34/45 | 35/55 | 42/72 | 201/314 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 60% | 76% | 64% | 58% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 33/42 | 34/48 | 26/34 | 27/35 | 30/42 | 150/201 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 71% | 76% | 77% | 71% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/20 | 14/32 | 4/11 | 8/20 | 15/30 | 54/113 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 44% | 36% | 40% | 50% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 3/8 | 6/6 | 4/7 | 4/6 | 19/33 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 38% | 100% | 57% | 67% | 58% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 18 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 3/5 | 2/3 | 2/3 | 4/7 | 11 | |
| Saved % | – | 60% | 67% | 67% | 57% | 126% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWWWLWW
LLWLLWLLLL Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Shelby RogersRogers (4-6 6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Dalma GalfiGalfi (6-2 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Lauren DavisDavis (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jule NiemeierNiemeier – Qinwen ZhengZheng (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza – Petra KvitovaKvitova (1-5) – H2H and prediction
- Yue YuanYuan – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Petra MarticMartic – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Belinda BencicBencic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alize CornetCornet – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Clara BurelBurel – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Rebecca MarinoMarino – Shuai ZhangZhang (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Cori GauffGauff (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu – Caroline GarciaGarcia (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alison RiskeRiske – Xiyu WangWang (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Aleksandra KrunicKrunic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic – Serena WilliamsWilliams (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (0-3) – H2H and prediction
