[UPDATED R3]. Prediction, H2H of Alex De Minaur’s draw vs Carreno-Busta, Khachanov, Medvedev, Ruud, Nadal to win the U.S. Open

U.S. Open draw preview with H2H - Alex De Minaur may need to overcome Pablo Carreno-Busta, Karen Khachanov, Daniil Medvedev, Casper Ruud, Rafael Nadal to conquer the title in the U.S. Open.

Alex De Minaur Stats info

Alex De Minaur is 5 wins away to conquer the title at the U.S. Open. The Australian has defeated Filip Krajinovic 7-5 6-2 6-3 and Cristian Garin 6-3 6-0 4-6 6-2 to reach the 3rd round where he will face Pablo Carreno-Busta.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Alex De Minaur’s projected draw and the presumable opposition at the U.S. Open. De Minaur has a weak record (2-10) against the likely opponents.

R1 – Filip Krajinovic (44) – 7-5 6-2 6-3
R2 – Cristian Garin (82) – 6-3 6-0 4-6 6-2
R3 – Pablo Carreno-Busta (15) – H2H 0-1
R4 – Karen Khachanov (31) – H2H 1-1
or Jack Draper (53) – H2H 1-0
1/4 – Daniil Medvedev (1) – H2H 0-4
or Nick Kyrgios (25) – H2H 0-1
1/2 – Casper Ruud (7) – H2H 1-1
or Matteo Berrettini (14) – H2H 2-1
Fin – Rafael Nadal (3) – H2H 0-3
or Carlos Alcaraz (4) – H2H 0-1
De Minaur
Latest Updated
Draw

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R3 – Pablo Carreno-Busta’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 1-0 for Pablo Carreno-Busta

37 - 25win/loss in 2024

Rank
13
High
10
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2022 37-25 19-8 11-9 5-5 2-3 0-0
2021 38-18 14-8 17-4 5-4 2-2 0-0
2020 20-12 9-5 4-2 7-5 0-0 0-0
2019 36-22 20-7 7-9 7-4 2-2 0-0
2018 31-22 17-9 14-10 0-2 0-1 0-0
2017 36-26 14-10 20-9 2-7 0-0 0-0
2016 41-26 13-10 20-12 8-2 0-2 0-0
2015 37-31 6-7 29-18 2-4 0-2 0-0

Pablo Carreno-Busta has a 30-18 win-loss record in 2022, 17-6 on hard. In the course of the last 14 years, the Spaniard has a 162-84 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Spaniard won 8 of his last 10 matches.

His best achievement of the year was winning the title in Montreal where he defeated Hubert Hurkacz in the final 3-6 6-3 6-3.

Last year at the U.S. Open the Spaniard lost to Maxime Cressy in the 1st round 5-7 4-6 6-1 6-4 7-6(7).

H2H Alex De Minaur vs. Pablo Carreno-Busta

This contest would be 2nd time that Alex De Minaur and Pablo Carreno-Busta play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Carreno-Busta (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard in major tournaments.

R4 – Karen Khachanov’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 1-1

36 - 25win/loss in 2024

Rank
20
High
8
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2022 36-25 17-11 9-7 6-5 4-2 0-0
2021 35-24 17-9 5-6 8-6 5-3 0-0
2020 20-15 12-6 4-3 4-6 0-0 0-0
2019 30-29 13-11 7-6 6-9 4-3 0-0
2018 46-22 15-11 6-5 20-4 5-2 0-0
2017 28-32 8-13 14-9 1-8 5-2 0-0
2016 50-27 13-5 22-11 13-10 2-1 0-0
2015 57-24 22-7 11-7 24-9 0-1 0-0

Karen Khachanov has a 28-20 win-loss record in 2022, 14-10 on hard. Talking about the previous 11 years, Karen has a 129-82 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Karen won 6 of his last 10 matches.

Karen’s best result of this season was getting to the final Adelaide.

Last year at the U.S. Open Karen was defeated by Lloyd Harris in the 1st round 6-4 1-6 4-6 6-3 6-2.

H2H Alex De Minaur vs. Karen Khachanov

This contest would be 3rd time that Alex De Minaur and Karen Khachanov play each other. The head to head is 1-1 for De Minaur and Khachanov (see full H2H stats), but they are 1-1 on hard in major tournaments.

Possibly, Alex De Minaur may fight against Jack Draper. Their head to head is 1-0 for Alex De Minaur.

1/4 – Daniil Medvedev’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-0 for Daniil Medvedev

45 - 19win/loss in 2024

Rank
7
High
1
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2022 45-19 26-8 3-2 8-6 8-3 0-0
2021 63-13 33-5 5-3 18-3 7-2 0-0
2020 28-10 14-4 0-2 14-4 0-0 0-0
2019 59-21 34-8 8-5 12-5 5-3 0-0
2018 53-25 27-9 1-5 21-7 4-4 0-0
2017 28-28 8-11 0-4 10-9 10-4 0-0
2016 69-27 15-6 13-7 23-8 9-3 9-3
2015 53-26 23-10 17-8 7-6 0-0 6-2

Daniil Medvedev has a 36-12 win-loss record in 2022, 25-7 on hard. During the previous 10 years, the Russian has a 180-61 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Daniil won 8 of his last 10 matches.

His most significant achievement of this current season was conquering the title in Los Cabos where he beat Cameron Norrie in the final 7-5 6-0.

Last year at the U.S. Open Medvedev conquered the tournament after ousting Novak Djokovic 6-4 6-4 6-4.

H2H Alex De Minaur vs. Daniil Medvedev

This would be the 5th time that Alex De Minaur and Daniil Medvedev play each other. The head to head is 4-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Possibly, Alex De Minaur may square off with Nick Kyrgios. Their H2H is 1-0 for Nick Kyrgios.

1/2 – Casper Ruud’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 1-1

51 - 22win/loss in 2024

Rank
3
High
2
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2022 51-22 18-8 25-7 7-5 1-2 0-0
2021 57-17 16-6 28-5 11-4 2-2 0-0
2020 22-13 4-5 17-6 1-2 0-0 0-0
2019 44-31 8-10 27-13 9-7 0-1 0-0
2018 43-29 19-9 19-18 5-1 0-1 0-0
2017 30-32 3-6 22-23 5-3 0-0 0-0
2016 56-19 5-4 46-13 5-2 0-0 0-0
2015 13-7 0-1 6-2 7-4 0-0 0-0

Casper Ruud has a 40-15 record in 2022, 13-5 on hard. In the course of the last 8 years, Casper has a 68-46 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Casper won 8 of his last 10 matches.

His best result of the season was conquering the competition in Buenos Aires where he defeated Diego Sebastian Schwartzman in the final 5-7 6-2 6-3, in Geneva where he overcame Joao Sousa in the final 7-6(3) 4-6 7-6(1), and in Gstaad where he beat Matteo Berrettini in the final 4-6 7-6(4) 6-2.

Last year at the U.S. Open Casper lost to Botic Van De Zandschulp in the 2nd round 3-6 6-4 6-3 6-4.

H2H Alex De Minaur vs. Casper Ruud

This would be the 3rd time that Alex De Minaur and Casper Ruud play each other. The head to head is 1-1 for De Minaur and Ruud (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard in major tournaments.

Nevertheless, Alex De Minaur may compete against Matteo Berrettini. Their H2H is 2-1 for Alex De Minaur.

Final – Rafael Nadal’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-0 for Rafael Nadal

39 - 8win/loss in 2024

Rank
2
High
1
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2022 39-8 23-3 10-2 1-3 5-0 0-0
2021 24-5 5-2 19-3 0-0 0-0 0-0
2020 27-7 13-3 9-1 5-3 0-0 0-0
2019 58-7 21-2 21-3 11-1 5-1 0-0
2018 45-4 14-2 26-1 0-0 5-1 0-0
2017 68-12 38-8 24-1 3-2 3-1 0-0
2016 39-14 18-10 21-4 0-0 0-0 0-0
2015 61-20 20-9 26-6 10-3 5-2 0-0

Rafael Nadal has a 37-4 win-loss record in 2022, 22-2 on hard. In the course of the last 20 years, Nadal has a 440-108 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Spaniard won 9 of his last 10 matches.

His best achievement of the current year was winning the competition in Melbourne where he overcame Maxime Cressy in the final 7-6(6) 6-3, at the Australian Open where he beat Daniil Medvedev in the final 2-6 6-7(5) 6-4 6-4 7-5, in Acapulco where he defeated Cameron Norrie in the final 6-4 6-4, and at the French Open where he defeated Casper Ruud in the final 6-3 6-3 6-0.

Last year at the U.S. Open the Spaniard didn’t compete in this event.

H2H Alex De Minaur vs. Rafael Nadal

This would be the 4th time that Alex De Minaur and Rafael Nadal play each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Nadal (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Anyhow, Alex De Minaur could compete against Carlos Alcaraz. Their head to head is 1-0 for Carlos Alcaraz.