[UPDATED R3]. Prediction, H2H of Pablo Carreno-Busta’s draw vs De Minaur, Khachanov, Medvedev, Ruud, Nadal to win the U.S. Open

U.S. Open draw preview with H2H - Pablo Carreno-Busta may need to overcome Alex De Minaur, Karen Khachanov, Daniil Medvedev, Casper Ruud, Rafael Nadal to conquer the title in the U.S. Open.

Pablo Carreno-Busta Stats info

Pablo Carreno-Busta is 5 wins away to conquer the title at the U.S. Open. The Spaniard has defeated Dominic Thiem 7-5 6-1 5-7 6-3 and Alexander Bublik 4-6 6-4 6-3 7-65 to reach the 3rd round where he will face Alex De Minaur.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Pablo Carreno-Busta’s projected draw including the likely opposition at the U.S. Open. Carreno-Busta has a losing record (8-20) against the projected opposition.

R1 – Dominic Thiem (211) – 7-5 6-1 5-7 6-3
R2 – Alexander Bublik (47) – 4-6 6-4 6-3 7-65
R3 – Alex De Minaur (20) – H2H 1-0
R4 – Karen Khachanov (31) – H2H 3-5
or Jack Draper (53) – H2H 1-0
1/4 – Daniil Medvedev (1) – H2H 2-5
or Nick Kyrgios (25) – H2H 0-3
1/2 – Casper Ruud (7) – H2H 2-2
or Matteo Berrettini (14) – H2H 1-1
Fin – Rafael Nadal (3) – H2H 0-8
or Carlos Alcaraz (4) – H2H 0-1
Carreno-Busta
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Draw

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R3 – Alex De Minaur’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 1-0 for Pablo Carreno-Busta

47 - 25win/loss in 2024

Rank
24
High
6
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2022 47-25 19-10 9-6 12-5 7-4 0-0
2021 25-25 10-10 4-5 3-7 8-3 0-0
2020 13-10 6-5 0-2 7-3 0-0 0-0
2019 41-20 25-10 1-4 13-3 2-3 0-0
2018 51-30 24-13 9-9 5-4 13-4 0-0
2017 37-28 21-11 2-5 2-4 8-5 4-3
2016 52-20 21-9 20-7 4-3 0-0 7-1
2015 6-3 0-0 6-3 0-0 0-0 0-0

Alex De Minaur has a 37-19 win-loss record in 2022, 19-8 on hard. During the last 8 years, De Minaur has a 126-66 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Australian won 7 of his last 10 matches.

His most significant achievement of this current season was conquering the tournament in Atlanta where he defeated Jenson Brooksby in the final 6-3 6-3.

Last year at the U.S. Open Alex lost to Taylor Harry Fritz in the 1st round 7-6(4) 6-2 1-6 6-4.

H2H Pablo Carreno-Busta vs. Alex De Minaur

This contest would be 2nd time that Pablo Carreno-Busta and Alex De Minaur fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Carreno-Busta (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard in major tournaments.

R4 – Karen Khachanov’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 5-3 for Karen Khachanov

36 - 25win/loss in 2024

Rank
20
High
8
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2022 36-25 17-11 9-7 6-5 4-2 0-0
2021 35-24 17-9 5-6 8-6 5-3 0-0
2020 20-15 12-6 4-3 4-6 0-0 0-0
2019 30-29 13-11 7-6 6-9 4-3 0-0
2018 46-22 15-11 6-5 20-4 5-2 0-0
2017 28-32 8-13 14-9 1-8 5-2 0-0
2016 50-27 13-5 22-11 13-10 2-1 0-0
2015 57-24 22-7 11-7 24-9 0-1 0-0

Karen Khachanov has a 28-20 record in 2022, 14-10 on hard. In connection to the last 11 years, Khachanov has a 129-82 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Khachanov won 6 of his last 10 matches.

Khachanov’s best result of the year was getting to the final Adelaide.

Last year at the U.S. Open Khachanov was defeated by Lloyd Harris in the 1st round 6-4 1-6 4-6 6-3 6-2.

H2H Pablo Carreno-Busta vs. Karen Khachanov

This contest would be 9th time that Pablo Carreno-Busta and Karen Khachanov fight against each other. The head to head is 5-3 for Khachanov (see full H2H stats), 4-1 on hard in major tournaments.

Yet, Pablo Carreno-Busta could come up against Jack Draper. Their head to head record is 1-0 for Pablo Carreno-Busta.

1/4 – Daniil Medvedev’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 5-2 for Daniil Medvedev

45 - 19win/loss in 2024

Rank
7
High
1
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2022 45-19 26-8 3-2 8-6 8-3 0-0
2021 63-13 33-5 5-3 18-3 7-2 0-0
2020 28-10 14-4 0-2 14-4 0-0 0-0
2019 59-21 34-8 8-5 12-5 5-3 0-0
2018 53-25 27-9 1-5 21-7 4-4 0-0
2017 28-28 8-11 0-4 10-9 10-4 0-0
2016 69-27 15-6 13-7 23-8 9-3 9-3
2015 53-26 23-10 17-8 7-6 0-0 6-2

Daniil Medvedev has a 36-12 record in 2022, 25-7 on hard. During the last 10 years, Medvedev has a 180-61 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Russian won 8 of his last 10 matches.

His most significant achievement of this current season was winning the tournament in Los Cabos where he beat Cameron Norrie in the final 7-5 6-0.

Last year at the U.S. Open Medvedev won the event after downing Novak Djokovic 6-4 6-4 6-4.

H2H Pablo Carreno-Busta vs. Daniil Medvedev

This would be the 8th time that Pablo Carreno-Busta and Daniil Medvedev play each other. The head to head is 5-2 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), but Carreno-Busta has a winning record of 2-1 on hard in major tournaments.

Alternatively, Pablo Carreno-Busta could compete against Nick Kyrgios. Their H2H record is 3-0 for Nick Kyrgios.

1/2 – Casper Ruud’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 2-2

51 - 22win/loss in 2024

Rank
3
High
2
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2022 51-22 18-8 25-7 7-5 1-2 0-0
2021 57-17 16-6 28-5 11-4 2-2 0-0
2020 22-13 4-5 17-6 1-2 0-0 0-0
2019 44-31 8-10 27-13 9-7 0-1 0-0
2018 43-29 19-9 19-18 5-1 0-1 0-0
2017 30-32 3-6 22-23 5-3 0-0 0-0
2016 56-19 5-4 46-13 5-2 0-0 0-0
2015 13-7 0-1 6-2 7-4 0-0 0-0

Casper Ruud has a 40-15 win-loss record in 2022, 13-5 on hard. During the last 8 years, Casper has a 68-46 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Ruud won 8 of his last 10 matches.

His most significant achievement of the current season was winning the title in Buenos Aires where he defeated Diego Sebastian Schwartzman in the final 5-7 6-2 6-3, in Geneva where he overcame Joao Sousa in the final 7-6(3) 4-6 7-6(1), and in Gstaad where he beat Matteo Berrettini in the final 4-6 7-6(4) 6-2.

Last year at the U.S. Open Casper surrendered to Botic Van De Zandschulp in the 2nd round 3-6 6-4 6-3 6-4.

H2H Pablo Carreno-Busta vs. Casper Ruud

This match would represent the 5th time that Pablo Carreno-Busta and Casper Ruud square off. The head to head is 2-2 for Carreno-Busta and Ruud (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard in major tournaments.

On the other hand, Pablo Carreno-Busta may come up against Matteo Berrettini. Their H2H is 1-1.

Final – Rafael Nadal’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 8-0 for Rafael Nadal

39 - 8win/loss in 2024

Rank
2
High
1
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2022 39-8 23-3 10-2 1-3 5-0 0-0
2021 24-5 5-2 19-3 0-0 0-0 0-0
2020 27-7 13-3 9-1 5-3 0-0 0-0
2019 58-7 21-2 21-3 11-1 5-1 0-0
2018 45-4 14-2 26-1 0-0 5-1 0-0
2017 68-12 38-8 24-1 3-2 3-1 0-0
2016 39-14 18-10 21-4 0-0 0-0 0-0
2015 61-20 20-9 26-6 10-3 5-2 0-0

Rafael Nadal has a 37-4 record in 2022, 22-2 on hard. Regarding the previous 20 years, Rafael has a 440-108 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Rafael won 9 of his last 10 matches.

His best achievement of the year was winning the competition in Melbourne where he beat Maxime Cressy in the final 7-6(6) 6-3, at the Australian Open where he beat Daniil Medvedev in the final 2-6 6-7(5) 6-4 6-4 7-5, in Acapulco where he beat Cameron Norrie in the final 6-4 6-4, and at the French Open where he defeated Casper Ruud in the final 6-3 6-3 6-0.

Last year at the U.S. Open Rafael didn’t play in this tournament.

H2H Pablo Carreno-Busta vs. Rafael Nadal

This would be the 9th time that Pablo Carreno-Busta and Rafael Nadal face off. The head to head is 8-0 for Nadal (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Possibly, Pablo Carreno-Busta may face Carlos Alcaraz. Their head to head record is 1-0 for Carlos Alcaraz.