Matteo Arnaldi and Nerman Fatic will play each other in the quarter of the Como Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 1:30 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Arnaldi who should win in 2 sets.
Matteo Arnaldi -> 1.36
Nerman Fatic -> 3.04
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Prediction and head to head Matteo Arnaldi vs. Nerman Fatic
There is no head to head record between Matteo Arnaldi and Nerman Fatic since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Matteo Arnaldi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23-26 | 11-14 | 7-6 | 5-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-26 | 17-13 | 10-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-26 | 21-15 | 23-7 | 4-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-35 | 9-3 | 37-20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-24 | 2-1 | 51-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 187, the Italian reached the quarter after beating Vitaliy Sachko 6-2 0-0 ret. and Giovanni Oradini 2-6 7-5 6-2.
In the 2nd round against Oradini, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 7-5 6-2). During the match, Arnaldi scored 93 points vs Oradini’s 91. Matteo was extremely aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Regarding the service games, Arnaldi made 8 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Matteo Arnaldi lost the serve 5 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Arnaldi put 66% of his first serves in, winning 66% (39/59) of the points behind his 1st serve and 40% (12/30) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Oradini 6 times after converting 55% of his break points (6/11).
Arnaldi has a solid match record in the last 5 years having won 63% of his matches (122-71). 33-17 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Arnaldi has an aggregate88-45 win-loss record in the last 5 years on clay.
Arnaldi’s best result of the season was reaching the final in the Francavilla Challenger and the San Marino Challenger.
Arnaldi has a composed 36-24 win-loss record in 2022, 33-17 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Como Challenger
The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.
Nerman Fatic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 47-18 | 2-1 | 44-15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 23-26 | 3-5 | 19-20 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-28 | 0-1 | 35-25 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2022 | 34-27 | 0-1 | 31-19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2021 | 37-26 | 1-1 | 30-22 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 279, Nerman reached the quarter after beating Marco Cecchinato 6-72 7-62 6-1 and Lucas Miedler 6-3 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The Bosnian had a good straight sets win against Miedler (6-3 6-3). During the match Fatic scored 62 points vs Miedler’s 51. The Bosnian was quite aggressive to blast 30 winners.
About the serving games, Fatic bagged 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Nerman Fatic lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Fatic put 74% of his first serves in, winning 65% (30/46) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (9/16) on the 2nd serve. The Bosnian broke Miedler 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Bosnian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Fatic’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Antalya.
Nerman has an aggregate 22-20 win-loss record in 2022, 22-16 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Arnaldi | Fatic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 36 | 51 |
| Pts | 125-110 | 176-154 |
| Total Points | 235 | 330 |
| Winners | 51 | 72 |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% |
Both Arnaldi and Fatic played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Matteo Arnaldi surrendered 1 set, while Nerman Fatic conceded 1 set. Arnaldi has played 1 set more than Fatic (6 vs 5). However, it’s interesting to notice that Arnaldi played 15 games less than Fatic. The Italian scored 51 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Bosnian fired 72 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Arnaldi | Fatic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 5.5 | 3.5 |
| 1st in | 74/115 | 106/175 |
| %1st in | 64% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 51/74 | 72/106 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 19/41 | 36/69 |
| %2nd pts | 46% | 52% |
Arnaldi recorded 11 aces (5.5 per match). Fatic made 7 aces (3.5 per match). Arnaldi won 69% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Fatic won 68% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Arnaldi | Fatic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 11 |
| Converted | 8/14 | 11/25 |
| % Converted | 57% | 44% |
| Conceded | 14 | 19 |
| Saved | 9 | 14 |
| % Saved | 64% | 74% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 |
Matteo broke his opponents 8 times with a 57% conversion rate. Arnaldi dropped his serve 5 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded. Fatic broke his opponents 11 times with a 44% conversion rate. Fatic conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 74% of the break points that he conceded.
| Arnaldi | ||||
| R1 Sachko | R2 Oradini | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 0-0 ret. | 2-6 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 8 | 28 | 36 | |
| pts | 32-19 | 93-91 | 125-110 | |
| Total points | 51 | 184 | 235 | |
| Winners | 12 | 39 | 51 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 42% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 8 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 15/26 | 59/89 | 74/115 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 66% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 12/15 | 39/59 | 51/74 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 66% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/11 | 12/30 | 19/41 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 40% | 46% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 6 | 8 | |
| Converted | 2/3 | 6/11 | 8/14 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 55% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 12 | 14 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 7/12 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 58% | 79% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 | 5 | |
| Fatic | ||||
| R1 Cecchinato | R2 Miedler | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-72 7-62 6-1 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 18 | 51 | |
| pts | 114-103 | 62-51 | 176-154 | |
| Total points | 217 | 113 | 330 | |
| Winners | 42 | 30 | 72 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 48% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 60/113 | 46/62 | 106/175 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 74% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 42/60 | 30/46 | 72/106 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 65% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 27/53 | 9/16 | 36/69 | |
| % 2nd pts | 51% | 56% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 7 | 4 | 11 | |
| Converted | 7/16 | 4/9 | 11/25 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 14 | 5 | 19 | |
| Saved | 10/14 | 4/5 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 80% | 76% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Cedrik-Marcel StebeStebe – Kenny de Schepperde Schepper (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Riccardo BonadioBonadio – Lukas KleinKlein (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Nerman FaticFatic – (0-0) – H2H and prediction