Shuai Zhang and Rebecca Marino will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 12:30 pm on Court 5. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Shuai Zhang who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Shuai Zhang is the pick to win this match.
Shuai Zhang -> 1.59
Rebecca Marino -> 2.42

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Shuai Zhang vs. Rebecca Marino

There is no head to head record between Shuai Zhang and Rebecca Marino since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Shuai Zhang

Shuai Zhang

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
102
High
22
LWWWLWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 34-15 26-9 4-4 0-0 4-2 0-0
2024 6-14 6-12 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-0
2023 4-19 3-10 0-4 1-1 0-4 0-0
2022 39-31 17-14 4-7 10-7 8-3 0-0
2021 23-28 8-11 4-8 5-5 6-4 0-0

Ranked no. 36, Shuai got to the 3rd round after defeating Jil Teichmann 6-4 6-2 and Anna Schmiedlova 7-5 6-1.

In the 2nd round, Shuai had a good straight sets win against Anna Schmiedlova (7-5 6-1). During the match, Zhang scored 72 points vs Anna Schmiedlova’s 52. Shuai was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about the service games, Zhang managed to score 4 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Shuai Zhang lost the serve 3 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Zhang put 68% of her first serves in, winning 68% (32/47) of the points behind her 1st serve and 41% (9/22) on the 2nd serve. The Chinese broke Anna Schmiedlova 6 times after converting 86% of her break points (6/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Zhang hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to conquer 59% of the points she played.

Zhang has good record in the last 10 years having won 56% of her matches (298-231). 13-11 on hard in 2022. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Zhang has an aggregate 200-132 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the season was conquering the title in in Lyon where she beat Dayana Yastremska in the final 3-6 6-3 6-4.

Zhang has an overall 30-22 win-loss record in 2022, 13-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
Zhang's Record

Rebecca Marino

Rebecca Marino

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
182
High
38
LWLLWWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 19-21 15-16 0-1 0-1 4-3 0-0
2024 58-25 38-18 1-3 10-1 9-3 0-0
2023 20-28 15-18 1-2 1-2 3-6 0-0
2022 49-24 38-16 5-3 1-0 5-5 0-0
2021 25-21 19-10 5-8 1-3 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 106, Rebecca reached the 3rd round after beating Magdalena Frech 6-2 6-3 and Daria Snigur 6-3 7-65.

In the 2nd round, The Canadian had a good straight sets win against Snigur (6-3 7-65). During the match Marino scored 83 points vs Snigur’s 71. The Canadian was quite aggressive to blast 37 winners.

About the serving games, Marino blasted 13 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Rebecca Marino lost the serve twice and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Marino put 63% of her first serves in, winning 74% (37/50) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (14/29) on the 2nd serve. The Canadian broke Snigur 3 times after converting 38% of her break points (3/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Marino hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.

The Canadian has an overall 40-18 win-loss record in 2022, 29-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2010. See her history.

U.S. Open
Marino's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

S.Zhang
R.Marino
2h:42
2h:42
Time on court​
2h:25
2h:25
1h:27
1h:27
Last match​
1h:16
1h:16
2
2
Match played
2
2
37
37
Games Played​
39
39
4
4
Set played​​
4
4
138
138
Total points​
146
146
69
69
Avg point​
73
73
60
60
Winners
58
58
30
30
Avg Winners​
29
29
43%
43%
Ratio winners
40%
40%
-- Serve --
6
6
Aces
14
14
3
3
Avg Aces
7
7
2
2
Double Faults
5
5
1
1
Avg Double Faults
2.5
2.5
60/84
60/84
1st won total​
58/80
58/80
!
71%
71%
1st won %
!
73%
73%
18/37
18/37
2nd won total​
29/52
29/52
49%
49%
2nd won %
56%
56%
-- Break Points --
10/14
10/14
BP won
7/15
7/15
5/7
5/7
Avg BP won
3.5/7.5
3.5/7.5
!
71%
71%
Won
47%
47%
11
11
Conceded
9
9
5.5
5.5
Avg Conceded
4.5
4.5
4
4
Broken
3
3
2
2
Avg Broken
1.5
1.5
7
7
Saved
6
6

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Zhang Marino
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 4
Tot Games 37 39
Pts 138-97 146-114
Total Points 235 260
Winners 60 58
%Winners 43% 40%

Both Zhang and Marino played 2 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Zhang and Marino have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Zhang played 2 games less than Marino. Zhang scored 60 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Rebecca made 58 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve Zhang Marino
Aces 6 14
Avg per match 3 7
1st in 84/121 80/132
%1st in 69% 61%
1st pts 60/84 58/80
%1st pts 71% 73%
2nd pts 18/37 29/52
%2nd pts 49% 56%

Zhang bagged 6 aces (3 per match). Marino fired 14 aces (7 per match). Zhang won 71% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Marino won 73% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Zhang Marino
Won 10 7
Converted 10/14 7/15
% Converted 71% 47%
Conceded 11 9
Saved 7 6
% Saved 64% 67%
Times Broken 4 3

Shuai broke her opponents 10 times with a 71% conversion rate. Shuai conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded. Marino broke her opponents 7 times with a 47% conversion rate. Marino conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.

Zhang
R1
Belen Teichmann
R2
Anna Schmiedlova
Total
Score 6-4 6-2 7-5 6-1
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 18 19 37
pts 66-45 72-52 138-97
Total points 111 124 235
Winners 28 32 60
%Winners 42% 44% 43%
SERVE
Aces 2 4 6
Double Faults 1 1 2
1st in 37/52 47/69 84/121
% 1st in 71% 68% 69%
1st pts 28/37 32/47 60/84
% 1st pts 76% 68% 71%
2nd pts 9/15 9/22 18/37
% 2nd pts 60% 41% 49%
Breaks
Won 4 6 10
Converted 4/7 6/7 10/14
Converted % 57% 86% 71%
Conceded 3 8 11
Saved 2/3 5/8 7
Saved % 67% 63% 65%
Times Broken 1 3 4
Marino
R1
Frech
R2
Snigur
Total
Score 6-2 6-3 6-3 7-65
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 17 22 39
pts 63-43 83-71 146-114
Total points 106 154 260
Winners 21 37 58
%Winners 33% 45% 40%
SERVE
Aces 1 13 14
Double Faults 2 3 5
1st in 30/53 50/79 80/132
% 1st in 57% 63% 61%
1st pts 21/30 37/50 58/80
% 1st pts 70% 74% 73%
2nd pts 15/23 14/29 29/52
% 2nd pts 65% 48% 56%
Breaks
Won 4 3 7
Converted 4/7 3/8 7/15
Converted % 57% 38% 47%
Conceded 2 7 9
Saved 1/2 5/7 6
Saved % 50% 71% 61%
Times Broken 1 2 3

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

Upcoming matches in the draw