Casper Ruud and Tommy Paul will play each other in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 1:00 pm on Louis Armstrong Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Casper Ruud who should win in 5 sets.

As per the initial odds, Casper Ruud is the pick to win this match.
Casper Ruud -> 1.58
Tommy Paul -> 2.45

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Prediction and head to head Casper Ruud vs. Tommy Paul

This will be the 4th time that Casper Ruud and Tommy Paul square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Ruud (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.

The last time that they played, Ruud won 3-6 6-2 6-4 7-5 in the 2nd round in at the Australian Open back in 2021.

Highlights Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul – Australian Open 11-February-2021

Casper Ruud

Casper Ruud

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
8
High
2
WWWLWLWWWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 47-14 21-6 24-7 1-0 1-1 0-0
2023 37-23 12-12 22-8 2-2 1-1 0-0
2022 51-22 18-8 25-7 7-5 1-2 0-0
2021 57-17 16-6 28-5 11-4 2-2 0-0
2020 22-13 4-5 17-6 1-2 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 7, Ruud got to the 3rd round after beating Kyle Edmund 6-3 7-5 6-2 and Tim Van Rijthoven 6-74 6-4 6-4 6-4.

In the 2nd round against Van Rijthoven, The Norwegian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-74 6-4 6-4 6-4). During the match, Ruud scored 124 points vs Van Rijthoven’s 113. Ruud was quite aggressive to blast 68 winners.

Talking about the service games, Ruud managed to score 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Casper Ruud was extremely efficient on serve to win 82% (68/83) of his 1st serve and 60% (21/35) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Norwegian broke Van Rijthoven 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Norwegian has lost 1 set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points he played.

Ruud has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 65% of his matches (305-163). 13-5 on hard in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Ruud has a compiled68-46 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.

His best result of the season was conquering the title in in Buenos Aires where he defeated Diego Sebastian Schwartzman in the final 5-7 6-2 6-3 and in in Geneva where he defeated Joao Sousa in the final 7-6(3) 4-6 7-6(1) and in in Gstaad where he defeated Matteo Berrettini in the final 4-6 7-6(4) 6-2.

Casper has an aggregate 40-15 win-loss record in 2022, 13-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
Ruud's Record

Tommy Paul

Tommy Paul

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
14
High
12
WWLLWLWWWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 37-14 13-8 10-4 4-0 10-2 0-0
2023 46-29 29-13 5-6 3-5 9-5 0-0
2022 39-27 21-12 2-6 9-5 7-4 0-0
2021 33-23 12-12 9-7 12-4 0-0 0-0
2020 21-14 12-6 5-4 4-4 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 34, Tommy got to the 3rd round after beating Bernabe Zapata Miralles 4-6 6-3 2-6 6-0 7-5 and Sebastian Korda 6-0 3-6 4-6 6-3 6-4.

In the 2nd round, Paul had a tough win against Korda to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (6-0 3-6 4-6 6-3 6-4). During the match Paul scored 148 points vs Korda’s 136. Paul was exceptionally aggressive to blast 68 winners.

About the serving games, Paul fired 3 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Tommy Paul was pretty effective on serve to win 72% (68/94) of his 1st serve and 54% (33/61) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The American broke Korda 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Tommy has conceded 4 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Tommy’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Delray Beach.

Tommy has a composed 31-21 win-loss record in 2022, 21-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2015, 2017, 2020 and 2021. See his history.

U.S. Open
Paul's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

C.Ruud
T.Paul
5h:09
5h:09
Time on court​
6h:28
6h:28
!
2h:48
2h:48
Last match​
!
3h:18
3h:18
2
2
Match played
2
2
72
72
Games Played​
89
89
7
7
Set played​​
10
10
226
226
Total points​
287
287
113
113
Avg point​
143.5
143.5
108
108
Winners
135
135
54
54
Avg Winners​
67.5
67.5
48%
48%
Ratio winners
47%
47%
-- Serve --
17
17
Aces
10
10
8.5
8.5
Avg Aces
5
5
10
10
Double Faults
10
10
5
5
Avg Double Faults
5
5
108/132
108/132
1st won total​
135/182
135/182
!
82%
82%
1st won %
!
74%
74%
41/74
41/74
2nd won total​
51/104
51/104
55%
55%
2nd won %
49%
49%
-- Break Points --
10/22
10/22
BP won
12/24
12/24
5/11
5/11
Avg BP won
6/12
6/12
45%
45%
Won
50%
50%
15
15
Conceded
24
24
7.5
7.5
Avg Conceded
12
12
3
3
Broken
7
7
1.5
1.5
Avg Broken
3.5
3.5
12
12
Saved
17
17
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Ruud Paul
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 7 10
Tot Games 72 89
Pts 226-188 287-259
Total Points 414 546
Winners 108 135
%Winners 48% 47%

Both Ruud and Paul played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Casper Ruud lost 1 set, while Tommy Paul conceded 4 sets. Ruud has played 3 set(s) less than Paul (7 vs 10). Therefore, Ruud played 17 games less than Paul. Casper scored 108 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Tommy fired 135 winners (47%).

Serve Performance

Serve Ruud Paul
Aces 17 10
Avg per match 8.5 5
1st in 132/206 182/286
%1st in 64% 64%
1st pts 108/132 135/182
%1st pts 82% 74%
2nd pts 41/74 51/104
%2nd pts 55% 49%

Ruud bagged 17 aces (8.5 per match). Paul blasted 10 aces (5 per match). Ruud won 82% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Paul won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Ruud Paul
Won 10 12
Converted 10/22 12/24
% Converted 45% 50%
Conceded 15 24
Saved 12 17
% Saved 80% 71%
Times Broken 3 7

The Norwegian broke his opponents 10 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Norwegian surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 12 times with a 50% conversion rate. Tommy conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.

Ruud
R1
Edmund		 R2
Van Rijthoven		 Total
Score 6-3 7-5 6-2 6-74 6-4 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 3 4 7
Tot Games 29 43 72
pts 102-75 124-113 226-188
Total points 177 237 414
Winners 40 68 108
%Winners 39% 55% 48%
SERVE
Aces 10 7 17
Double Faults 7 3 10
1st in 49/88 83/118 132/206
% 1st in 56% 70% 64%
1st pts 40/49 68/83 108/132
% 1st pts 82% 82% 82%
2nd pts 20/39 21/35 41/74
% 2nd pts 51% 60% 55%
Breaks
Won 6 4 10
Converted 6/14 4/8 10/22
Converted % 43% 50% 45%
Conceded 8 7 15
Saved 6/8 6/7 12
Saved % 75% 86% 81%
Times Broken 2 1 3
Paul
R1
Zapata Miralles		 R2
Korda		 Total
Score 4-6 6-3 2-6 6-0 7-5 6-0 3-6 4-6 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 5 5 10
Tot Games 45 44 89
pts 139-123 148-136 287-259
Total points 262 284 546
Winners 67 68 135
%Winners 48% 46% 47%
SERVE
Aces 7 3 10
Double Faults 5 5 10
1st in 88/131 94/155 182/286
% 1st in 67% 61% 64%
1st pts 67/88 68/94 135/182
% 1st pts 76% 72% 74%
2nd pts 18/43 33/61 51/104
% 2nd pts 42% 54% 49%
Breaks
Won 7 5 12
Converted 7/13 5/11 12/24
Converted % 54% 45% 50%
Conceded 11 13 24
Saved 6/11 11/13 17
Saved % 55% 85% 70%
Times Broken 5 2 7

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

Upcoming matches in the draw

Ruud
More Stats
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Paul

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