Casper Ruud and Tommy Paul will play each other in the 3^rd round of the U.S. Open for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 1:00 pm on Louis Armstrong Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Casper Ruud who should win in 5 sets.

As per the initial odds, Casper Ruud is the pick to win this match.
Casper Ruud -> 1.58
Tommy Paul -> 2.45

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Prediction and head to head Casper Ruud vs. Tommy Paul

This will be the 4^th time that Casper Ruud and Tommy Paul square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Ruud (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.

The last time that they played, Ruud won 3-6 6-2 6-4 7-5 in the 2^nd round in at the Australian Open back in 2021.

Highlights Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul – Australian Open 11-February-2021

Casper Ruud

Casper Ruud

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
15

High
2

LWLWWWWWWW

See allSTATS

Year	Total	Hard	Clay	I.hard	Grass	Carpet
2025	25-8	6-3	13-4	6-1	0-0	0-0
2024	51-25	21-9	24-7	5-8	1-1	0-0
2023	37-23	12-12	22-8	2-2	1-1	0-0
2022	51-22	18-8	25-7	7-5	1-2	0-0
2021	57-17	16-6	28-5	11-4	2-2	0-0

See all years

Ranked no. 7, Ruud got to the 3^rd round after beating Kyle Edmund 6-3 7-5 6-2 and Tim Van Rijthoven 6-7⁴ 6-4 6-4 6-4.

In the 2^nd round against Van Rijthoven, The Norwegian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-7⁴ 6-4 6-4 6-4). During the match, Ruud scored 124 points vs Van Rijthoven’s 113. Ruud was quite aggressive to blast 68 winners.

Talking about the service games, Ruud managed to score 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Casper Ruud was extremely efficient on serve to win 82% (68/83) of his 1st serve and 60% (21/35) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Norwegian broke Van Rijthoven 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Norwegian has lost 1 set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points he played.

Ruud has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 65% of his matches (305-163). 13-5 on hard in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Ruud has a compiled68-46 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.

His best result of the season was conquering the title in in Buenos Aires where he defeated Diego Sebastian Schwartzman in the final 5-7 6-2 6-3 and in in Geneva where he defeated Joao Sousa in the final 7-6(3) 4-6 7-6(1) and in in Gstaad where he defeated Matteo Berrettini in the final 4-6 7-6(4) 6-2.

Casper has an aggregate 40-15 win-loss record in 2022, 13-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open

Ruud's Record

Tommy Paul

Tommy Paul

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
13

High
8

LWWWWLWWWW

See allSTATS

Year	Total	Hard	Clay	I.hard	Grass	Carpet
2025	25-9	10-4	12-4	3-1	0-0	0-0
2024	45-20	17-12	10-4	8-2	10-2	0-0
2023	46-29	29-13	5-6	3-5	9-5	0-0
2022	39-27	21-12	2-6	9-5	7-4	0-0
2021	33-23	12-12	9-7	12-4	0-0	0-0

See all years

Ranked no. 34, Tommy got to the 3^rd round after beating Bernabe Zapata Miralles 4-6 6-3 2-6 6-0 7-5 and Sebastian Korda 6-0 3-6 4-6 6-3 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, Paul had a tough win against Korda to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (6-0 3-6 4-6 6-3 6-4). During the match Paul scored 148 points vs Korda’s 136. Paul was exceptionally aggressive to blast 68 winners.

About the serving games, Paul fired 3 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Tommy Paul was pretty effective on serve to win 72% (68/94) of his 1st serve and 54% (33/61) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The American broke Korda 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Tommy has conceded 4 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Tommy’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Delray Beach.

Tommy has a composed 31-21 win-loss record in 2022, 21-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1^st round in 2015, 2017, 2020 and 2021. See his history.

U.S. Open

Paul's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Both Ruud and Paul played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Casper Ruud lost 1 set, while Tommy Paul conceded 4 sets. Ruud has played 3 set(s) less than Paul (7 vs 10). Therefore, Ruud played 17 games less than Paul. Casper scored 108 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Tommy fired 135 winners (47%).

Serve Performance

Ruud bagged 17 aces (8.5 per match). Paul blasted 10 aces (5 per match). Ruud won 82% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Paul won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.

How they played the important points

The Norwegian broke his opponents 10 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Norwegian surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 12 times with a 50% conversion rate. Tommy conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.

Head 2 Head

• 0Slam
• 13Main
• 1Chall
• 2Minor

• 0Slam
• 4Main
• 4Chall
• 6Minor

Casper
Ruud

4:2

Tommy
Paul

Rank

15

High

2

2Hard2

1Clay0

1I.hard0

Rank

13

High

8

Win Loss

Ruud

LWLWWWWWWW

Paul

LWWWWLWWWW

2025 2024 2023

23 - 8

25 - 9

6-3

Hard

10-4

4-1

I Hard

3-1

13-4

Clay

12-4

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Marin CilicCilic – Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas (6-3 7-6⁴ 6-3) – See score progression
• Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – John IsnerIsner (w/o) – See score progression
• Daniel EvansEvans – James DuckworthDuckworth (6-3 6-2 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Borna CoricCoric (6-4 7-6¹⁰ 6-1) – See score progression
• Jack DraperDraper – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (6-4 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Andy MurrayMurray – Emilio NavaNava (5-7 6-3 6-1 6-0) – See score progression
• Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Jordan ThompsonThompson (6-3 2-6 3-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Nick KyrgiosKyrgios – Benjamin BonziBonzi (7-6³ 6-4 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Casper RuudRuud – Tim Van RijthovenVan Rijthoven (6-7⁴ 6-4 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Hugo GrenierGrenier (2-6 6-1 7-6⁴ 7-6⁷) – See score progression
• Tommy PaulPaul – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-0 3-6 4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (7-6³ 5-7 3-6 6-0 7-6³) – See score progression
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-2 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Alexander BublikBublik (4-6 6-4 6-3 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Yibing WuWu – Nuno BorgesBorges (6-7³ 7-6⁴ 4-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Corentin MoutetMoutet – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-4 1-6 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Cristian GarinGarin (6-3 6-0 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
• Jeff WolfWolf – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (4-6 7-5 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Pedro CachinCachin – Brandon HoltHolt (1-6 2-6 6-1 7-6¹ 7-6⁶) – See score progression
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (6-3 6-3 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
• Marin CilicCilic – Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas (6-3 7-6(4) 6-3) – See score progression
• Daniel EvansEvans – James DuckworthDuckworth (6-3 6-2 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Borna CoricCoric (6-4 7-6(10) 6-1) – See score progression
• Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – John IsnerIsner (w/o) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Ilya IvashkaIvashka (3-2) – H2H and prediction
• Gijs BrouwerBrouwer – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Christopher EubanksEubanks – Jannik SinnerSinner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Federico CoriaCoria – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Cameron NorrieNorrie – Joao SousaSousa (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Soon-Woo KwonKwon – Andrey RublevRublev (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Richard GasquetGasquet (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Fabio FogniniFognini – Rafael NadalNadal (4-13) – H2H and prediction
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Yibing WuWu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Nick KyrgiosKyrgios – Jeff WolfWolf (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Jack DraperDraper (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Andy MurrayMurray – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Pedro CachinCachin – Corentin MoutetMoutet (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Tommy PaulPaul – Casper RuudRuud (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Marin CilicCilic – Daniel EvansEvans (0-1) – H2H and prediction

Ruud

More Stats

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Paul