Daniil Medvedev and Yibing Wu will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 9:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 3 sets.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.07
Yibing Wu -> 9.3
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Yibing Wu
There is no head to head record between Daniil Medvedev and Yibing Wu since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-23 | 20-12 | 6-4 | 10-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 the Russian got to the 3rd round after defeating Stefan Kozlov 6-2 6-4 6-0 and Arthur Rinderknech 6-2 7-5 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Daniil had a good straight sets win against Rinderknech (6-2 7-5 6-3). During the match, Medvedev and Rinderknech scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 1 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The Russian was not very aggressive to strike just winners.
Talking about the service games, Medvedev was unable to score even 1 ace in the match and he was exceptionally steady in conceding no double faults. Daniil Medvedev conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of his first serves in, win 0% (0) of the points behind his 1st serve and 0% (0) on the 2nd serve.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Daniil hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to win 63% of the points he played.
Medvedev has a marvellous match record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (415-173). 25-7 on hard in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Medvedev has an overall 180-61 match record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in in Los Cabos where he beat Cameron Norrie in the final 7-5 6-0.
The Russian has a composed 36-12 win-loss record in 2022, 25-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Yibing Wu
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-10 | 23-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 9-5 | 7-4 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 18-17 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 9-1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-7 | 20-5 | 10-2 | 10-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 174, the Chinese got to the 3rd round after beating Ricardas Berankis 6-4 6-3, Stefano Travaglia 6-74 7-64 6-3, Corentin Moutet 7-65 6-2, Nikoloz Basilashvili 6-3 6-4 6-0 and Nuno Borges 6-73 7-64 4-6 6-4 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The Chinese had a tough win against Borges to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (6-73 7-64 4-6 6-4 6-4). During the match Wu scored 188 points vs Borges’s 180. Wu was very aggressive to blast 77 winners.
Talking about serving, Wu managed to score 11 aces and he was not very solid on his 2nd serve to score 11 double faults. Yibing Wu lost the serve 4 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Wu put 60% of his first serves in, winning 69% (77/111) of the points behind his 1st serve and 55% (41/74) on the 2nd serve. Yibing broke Borges 5 times after converting 31% of his break points (5/16).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Wu started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
The Chinese’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M15 Orange Park,the Orlando Challenger,the Rome Challenger and the Indianapolis Challenger.
Wu has a compiled 35-4 win-loss record in 2022, 15-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Yibing has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 15 |
| Tot Games | 53 | 156 |
| Pts | 92-53 | 545-468 |
| Total Points | 145 | 1013 |
| Winners | 28 | 231 |
| %Winners | 30% | 42% |
Medvedev played 2 matches while Wu competed in 5 matches. Wu started his run from the qualifications while Medvedev had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Yibing Wu dropped 3 sets while Daniil Medvedev hasn’t lost a set so far. Medvedev has played 9 set(s) less than Wu (6 vs 15). Therefore, Medvedev played 103 games less than Wu. The Russian scored 28 winners (30% of the total points). On the other side, Yibing blasted 231 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 30 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 6 |
| 1st in | 37/68 | 330/528 |
| %1st in | 54% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 28/37 | 231/330 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 19/31 | 111/198 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 56% |
Medvedev bagged 10 aces (5 per match). Wu bagged 30 aces (6 per match). Medvedev won 76% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Wu won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 23 |
| Converted | 8/16 | 23/45 |
| % Converted | 50% | 51% |
| Conceded | 5 | 40 |
| Saved | 3 | 28 |
| % Saved | 60% | 70% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 12 |
Medvedev broke his opponents 8 times with a 50% conversion rate. Daniil surrendered his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Yibing broke his opponents 23 times with a 51% conversion rate. Wu conceded his serve 12 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | ||||
| R1 Kozlov | R2 Rinderknech | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 6-0 | 6-2 7-5 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 29 | 53 | |
| pts | 92-53 | – | 92-53 | |
| Total points | 145 | 0 | 145 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | ||
| %Winners | 30% | 0% | 30% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 10 | 0 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | ||
| 1st in | 37/68 | / | 37/68 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 0% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 28/37 | / | 28/37 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 0% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/31 | / | 19/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 0% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 8 | 8 | ||
| Converted | 8/16 | / | 8/16 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 0% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | ||
| Saved | 3/5 | 0/ | 3 | |
| Saved % | 60% | – | 30% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | ||
| Wu | |||||||
| Q1 Berankis | Q2 Travaglia | Q3 Moutet | R1 Basilashvili | R2 Borges | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 6-74 7-64 6-3 | 7-65 6-2 | 6-3 6-4 6-0 | 6-73 7-64 4-6 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 15 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 35 | 21 | 25 | 56 | 156 | |
| pts | 62-52 | 117-109 | 84-67 | 94-60 | 188-180 | 545-468 | |
| Total points | 114 | 226 | 151 | 154 | 368 | 1013 | |
| Winners | 28 | 51 | 33 | 42 | 77 | 231 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 44% | 39% | 45% | 41% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 30 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 22 | |
| 1st in | 38/63 | 78/120 | 50/78 | 53/82 | 111/185 | 330/528 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 65% | 64% | 65% | 60% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 28/38 | 51/78 | 33/50 | 42/53 | 77/111 | 231/330 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 65% | 66% | 79% | 69% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/25 | 25/42 | 13/28 | 18/29 | 41/74 | 111/198 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 60% | 46% | 62% | 55% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 23 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 5/6 | 5/10 | 5/9 | 5/16 | 23/45 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 83% | 50% | 56% | 31% | 51% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 40 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 5/9 | 5/8 | 6/6 | 6/10 | 28 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 56% | 63% | 100% | 60% | 183% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | |
Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Marin CilicCilic – Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas (6-3 7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Daniel EvansEvans – James DuckworthDuckworth (6-3 6-2 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Borna CoricCoric (6-4 7-610 6-1) – See score progression
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – John IsnerIsner (w/o) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Cristian GarinGarin (6-3 6-0 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Jeff WolfWolf – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (4-6 7-5 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Pedro CachinCachin – Brandon HoltHolt (1-6 2-6 6-1 7-61 7-66) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (6-3 6-3 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Tim Van RijthovenVan Rijthoven (6-74 6-4 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Hugo GrenierGrenier (2-6 6-1 7-64 7-67) – See score progression
- Andy MurrayMurray – Emilio NavaNava (5-7 6-3 6-1 6-0) – See score progression
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Jordan ThompsonThompson (6-3 2-6 3-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Nick KyrgiosKyrgios – Benjamin BonziBonzi (7-63 6-4 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-4 1-6 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (6-4 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-0 3-6 4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (7-63 5-7 3-6 6-0 7-63) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-2 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Alexander BublikBublik (4-6 6-4 6-3 7-65) – See score progression
- Yibing WuWu – Nuno BorgesBorges (6-73 7-64 4-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Marin CilicCilic – Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas (6-3 7-6(4) 6-3) – See score progression
- Daniel EvansEvans – James DuckworthDuckworth (6-3 6-2 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Borna CoricCoric (6-4 7-6(10) 6-1) – See score progression
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – John IsnerIsner (w/o) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Ilya IvashkaIvashka (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Gijs BrouwerBrouwer – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Christopher EubanksEubanks – Jannik SinnerSinner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Federico CoriaCoria – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Joao SousaSousa (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Soon-Woo KwonKwon – Andrey RublevRublev (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Richard GasquetGasquet (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Rafael NadalNadal (4-13) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Yibing WuWu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nick KyrgiosKyrgios – Jeff WolfWolf (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Jack DraperDraper (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andy MurrayMurray – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Pedro CachinCachin – Corentin MoutetMoutet (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Casper RuudRuud (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Marin CilicCilic – Daniel EvansEvans (0-1) – H2H and prediction