Daniil Medvedev and Yibing Wu will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 9:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.07
Yibing Wu -> 9.3

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Yibing Wu

There is no head to head record between Daniil Medvedev and Yibing Wu since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Daniil Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
13
High
1
LWWLWWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 41-23 20-12 6-4 10-4 5-3 0-0
2024 46-21 28-9 11-5 1-5 6-2 0-0
2023 66-18 38-8 10-3 11-4 7-3 0-0
2022 45-19 26-8 3-2 8-6 8-3 0-0
2021 63-13 33-5 5-3 18-3 7-2 0-0

Currently world no. 1 the Russian got to the 3rd round after defeating Stefan Kozlov 6-2 6-4 6-0 and Arthur Rinderknech 6-2 7-5 6-3.

In the 2nd round, Daniil had a good straight sets win against Rinderknech (6-2 7-5 6-3). During the match, Medvedev and Rinderknech scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 1 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The Russian was not very aggressive to strike just winners.

Talking about the service games, Medvedev was unable to score even 1 ace in the match and he was exceptionally steady in conceding no double faults. Daniil Medvedev conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of his first serves in, win 0% (0) of the points behind his 1st serve and 0% (0) on the 2nd serve.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Daniil hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to win 63% of the points he played.

Medvedev has a marvellous match record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (415-173). 25-7 on hard in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Medvedev has an overall 180-61 match record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in in Los Cabos where he beat Cameron Norrie in the final 7-5 6-0.

The Russian has a composed 36-12 win-loss record in 2022, 25-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
Medvedev's Record

Yibing Wu

Yibing Wu

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
181
High
54
LLWWWLWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 25-10 23-8 2-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 9-5 7-4 2-1 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 18-17 5-7 3-5 9-1 1-4 0-0
2022 40-7 20-5 10-2 10-0 0-0 0-0
2021 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 174, the Chinese got to the 3rd round after beating Ricardas Berankis 6-4 6-3, Stefano Travaglia 6-74 7-64 6-3, Corentin Moutet 7-65 6-2, Nikoloz Basilashvili 6-3 6-4 6-0 and Nuno Borges 6-73 7-64 4-6 6-4 6-4.

In the 2nd round, The Chinese had a tough win against Borges to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (6-73 7-64 4-6 6-4 6-4). During the match Wu scored 188 points vs Borges’s 180. Wu was very aggressive to blast 77 winners.

Talking about serving, Wu managed to score 11 aces and he was not very solid on his 2nd serve to score 11 double faults. Yibing Wu lost the serve 4 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Wu put 60% of his first serves in, winning 69% (77/111) of the points behind his 1st serve and 55% (41/74) on the 2nd serve. Yibing broke Borges 5 times after converting 31% of his break points (5/16).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Wu started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

The Chinese’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M15 Orange Park,the Orlando Challenger,the Rome Challenger and the Indianapolis Challenger.

Wu has a compiled 35-4 win-loss record in 2022, 15-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Yibing has never competed in this tournament before.

U.S. Open
Wu's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

D.Medvedev
Y.Wu
4h:12
4h:12
Time on court​
!
11h:15
11h:15
!
2h:11
2h:11
Last match​
!
3h:46
3h:46
2
2
Match played
!
5
5
53
53
Games Played​
156
156
6
6
Set played​​
15
15
200
200
Total points​
545
545
100
100
Avg point​
109
109
67
67
Winners
231
231
33.5
33.5
Avg Winners​
46.2
46.2
34%
34%
Ratio winners
42%
42%
-- Serve --
18
18
Aces
30
30
9
9
Avg Aces
6
6
4
4
Double Faults
22
22
2
2
Avg Double Faults
4.4
4.4
67/88
67/88
1st won total​
231/330
231/330
!
76%
76%
1st won %
70%
70%
40/62
40/62
2nd won total​
111/198
111/198
!
65%
65%
2nd won %
56%
56%
-- Break Points --
13/33
13/33
BP won
23/45
23/45
6.5/16.5
6.5/16.5
Avg BP won
4.6/9
4.6/9
39%
39%
Won
!
51%
51%
8
8
Conceded
40
40
4
4
Avg Conceded
8
8
2
2
Broken
12
12
1
1
Avg Broken
2.4
2.4
6
6
Saved
28
28

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Medvedev Wu
Match played 2 5
Tot Set 6 15
Tot Games 53 156
Pts 92-53 545-468
Total Points 145 1013
Winners 28 231
%Winners 30% 42%

Medvedev played 2 matches while Wu competed in 5 matches. Wu started his run from the qualifications while Medvedev had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Yibing Wu dropped 3 sets while Daniil Medvedev hasn’t lost a set so far. Medvedev has played 9 set(s) less than Wu (6 vs 15). Therefore, Medvedev played 103 games less than Wu. The Russian scored 28 winners (30% of the total points). On the other side, Yibing blasted 231 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve Medvedev Wu
Aces 10 30
Avg per match 5 6
1st in 37/68 330/528
%1st in 54% 63%
1st pts 28/37 231/330
%1st pts 76% 70%
2nd pts 19/31 111/198
%2nd pts 61% 56%

Medvedev bagged 10 aces (5 per match). Wu bagged 30 aces (6 per match). Medvedev won 76% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Wu won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Medvedev Wu
Won 8 23
Converted 8/16 23/45
% Converted 50% 51%
Conceded 5 40
Saved 3 28
% Saved 60% 70%
Times Broken 2 12

Medvedev broke his opponents 8 times with a 50% conversion rate. Daniil surrendered his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Yibing broke his opponents 23 times with a 51% conversion rate. Wu conceded his serve 12 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.

Medvedev
R1
Kozlov
R2
Rinderknech
Total
Score 6-2 6-4 6-0 6-2 7-5 6-3
Tot Set 3 3 6
Tot Games 24 29 53
pts 92-53 92-53
Total points 145 0 145
Winners 28 28
%Winners 30% 0% 30%
SERVE
Aces 10 0 10
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 37/68 / 37/68
% 1st in 54% 0% 54%
1st pts 28/37 / 28/37
% 1st pts 76% 0% 76%
2nd pts 19/31 / 19/31
% 2nd pts 61% 0% 61%
Breaks
Won 8 8
Converted 8/16 / 8/16
Converted % 50% 0% 50%
Conceded 5 5
Saved 3/5 0/ 3
Saved % 60% 30%
Times Broken 2 2
Wu
Q1
Berankis
Q2
Travaglia
Q3
Moutet
R1
Basilashvili
R2
Borges
Total
Score 6-4 6-3 6-74 7-64 6-3 7-65 6-2 6-3 6-4 6-0 6-73 7-64 4-6 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 2 3 2 3 5 15
Tot Games 19 35 21 25 56 156
pts 62-52 117-109 84-67 94-60 188-180 545-468
Total points 114 226 151 154 368 1013
Winners 28 51 33 42 77 231
%Winners 45% 44% 39% 45% 41% 42%
SERVE
Aces 3 5 2 9 11 30
Double Faults 4 4 1 2 11 22
1st in 38/63 78/120 50/78 53/82 111/185 330/528
% 1st in 60% 65% 64% 65% 60% 63%
1st pts 28/38 51/78 33/50 42/53 77/111 231/330
% 1st pts 74% 65% 66% 79% 69% 70%
2nd pts 14/25 25/42 13/28 18/29 41/74 111/198
% 2nd pts 56% 60% 46% 62% 55% 56%
Breaks
Won 3 5 5 5 5 23
Converted 3/4 5/6 5/10 5/9 5/16 23/45
Converted % 75% 83% 50% 56% 31% 51%
Conceded 7 9 8 6 10 40
Saved 6/7 5/9 5/8 6/6 6/10 28
Saved % 86% 56% 63% 100% 60% 183%
Times Broken 1 4 3 0 4 12

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

Upcoming matches in the draw