Cori Gauff and Madison Keys will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 3:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cori Gauff who should win in 3 sets.
Cori Gauff -> 1.69
Madison Keys -> 2.22
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Prediction and head to head Cori Gauff vs. Madison Keys
This will be the 2nd time that Cori Gauff and Madison Keys play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Keys (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Keys won 3-6 6-2 7-5 in the semifinal in Adelaide back in January 2022.
Highlights Madison Keys vs Cori Gauff – Adelaide 14-January-2022
Cori Gauff
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 48-16 | 29-9 | 18-3 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-18 | 31-10 | 14-5 | 4-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-16 | 40-9 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-23 | 23-16 | 10-4 | 0-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-16 | 16-10 | 16-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 12, the American reached the 3rd round after defeating Leolia Jeanjean 6-2 6-3 and Elena Gabriela Ruse 6-2 7-64.
In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Gabriela Ruse (6-2 7-64). During the match, Gauff scored 76 points vs Gabriela Ruse’s 59. Gauff was pretty aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Regarding the service games, Gauff made 6 aces and she committed only 8 double faults. Cori Gauff lost the serve twice and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Gauff put 67% of her first serves in, winning 77% (36/47) of the points behind her 1st serve and 35% (8/23) on the 2nd serve. Gauff broke Gabriela Ruse 4 times after converting 80% of her break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Gauff hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to conquer 57% of the points she played.
Gauff has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 67% of her matches (118-59). 17-10 on hard in 2022. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Gauff has an aggregate53-33 win-loss record in the last 6 years on hard.
The American’s best result of the current year was reaching the final at the French Open .
The American has a compiled 32-16 win-loss record in 2022, 17-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Madison Keys
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 37-15 | 24-6 | 9-4 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-12 | 7-6 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-15 | 19-9 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-20 | 25-12 | 4-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-15 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 20, Keys got to the 3rd round after beating Dayana Yastremska 7-63 6-3 and Camila Giorgi 6-4 5-7 7-66.
In the 2nd round, Madison defeated Giorgi (6-4 5-7 7-66). During the match Keys scored 115 points vs Giorgi’s 104. The American was very aggressive to blast 51 winners.
Talking about serving, Keys scored 8 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Madison Keys lost the serve 4 times and she saved 12 break points. Furthermore, Keys put 71% of her first serves in, winning 65% (51/79) of the points behind her 1st serve and 63% (20/32) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Giorgi 4 times after converting 67% of her break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in in Adelaide where she beat Alison Riske in the final 6-1 6-2.
Keys has an overall 26-14 win-loss record in 2022, 21-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2017. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gauff | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 38 | 57 |
| Pts | 141-105 | 198-177 |
| Total Points | 246 | 375 |
| Winners | 57 | 95 |
| %Winners | 40% | 48% |
Both Gauff and Keys played 2 matches. At the moment, Madison Keys surrendered 1 set while Cori Gauff hasn’t dropped a set so far. Gauff has played 1 set(s) less than Keys (4 vs 5). Therefore, Gauff played 19 games less than Keys. Cori scored 57 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The American recorded 95 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gauff | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 14 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 6 |
| 1st in | 70/109 | 144/201 |
| %1st in | 64% | 72% |
| 1st pts | 57/70 | 95/144 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 66% |
| 2nd pts | 19/39 | 30/57 |
| %2nd pts | 49% | 53% |
Gauff managed to score 14 aces (7 per match). Keys scored 12 aces (6 per match). Gauff won 81% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Keys won 66% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gauff | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 7 |
| Converted | 8/17 | 7/12 |
| % Converted | 47% | 58% |
| Conceded | 6 | 22 |
| Saved | 4 | 16 |
| % Saved | 67% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 6 |
Cori broke her opponents 8 times with a 47% conversion rate. Cori lost her serve twice and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. Keys broke her opponents 7 times with a 58% conversion rate. Keys conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 73% of the break points that she conceded.
| Gauff | ||||
| R1 Jeanjean | R2 Gabriela Ruse | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 6-2 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 21 | 38 | |
| pts | 65-46 | 76-59 | 141-105 | |
| Total points | 111 | 135 | 246 | |
| Winners | 21 | 36 | 57 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 47% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 8 | 6 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 8 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 23/39 | 47/70 | 70/109 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 67% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 21/23 | 36/47 | 57/70 | |
| % 1st pts | 91% | 77% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/16 | 8/23 | 19/39 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 35% | 49% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 4/5 | 8/17 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 80% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 4/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | – | 67% | 34% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Keys | ||||
| R1 Yastremska | R2 Giorgi | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 6-3 | 6-4 5-7 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 35 | 57 | |
| pts | 83-73 | 115-104 | 198-177 | |
| Total points | 156 | 219 | 375 | |
| Winners | 44 | 51 | 95 | |
| %Winners | 53% | 44% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 8 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 65/90 | 79/111 | 144/201 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 71% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 44/65 | 51/79 | 95/144 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 65% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/25 | 20/32 | 30/57 | |
| % 2nd pts | 40% | 63% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 4/6 | 7/12 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 67% | 58% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 16 | 22 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 12/16 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 75% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Petra MarticMartic – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (6-75 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Belinda BencicBencic – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (3-6 7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Jule NiemeierNiemeier – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Sloane StephensStephens (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Lauren DavisDavis – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (0-6 6-4 7-65) – See score progression
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Marta KostyukKostyuk (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Elena Gabriela RuseGabriela Ruse (6-2 7-64) – See score progression
- Alison RiskeRiske – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (6-4 6-75 7-65) – See score progression
- Serena WilliamsWilliams – Anett KontaveitKontaveit (7-64 2-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Maryna ZanevskaZanevska (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Madison KeysKeys – Camila GiorgiGiorgi (6-4 5-7 7-66) – See score progression
- Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic – Evgeniya RodinaRodina (1-6 6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Aleksandra KrunicKrunic – Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova (2-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Elizabeth MandlikMandlik (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Rebecca MarinoMarino – Daria SnigurSnigur (6-3 7-65) – See score progression
- Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (6-3 7-63) – See score progression
- Shuai ZhangZhang – Anna SchmiedlovaSchmiedlova (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Shelby RogersRogers – Viktoria KuzmovaKuzmova (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Dalma GalfiGalfi – Harriet DartDart (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Xiyu WangWang – Maria SakkariSakkari (3-6 7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Temur IsmailovIsmailov – Evgenii TiurnevTiurnev (6-1 6-75 6-3) – See score progression
- Djurabeck KarimovKarimov – Bogdan BobrovBobrov (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Sanjar FayzievFayziev – Sergey BetovBetov (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Dmitry PopkoPopko – Markos KalovelonisKalovelonis (6-74 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Vishnu VardhanVardhan – Daniiar DuldaevDuldaev (2-6 7-63 6-3) – See score progression
- Egor GerasimovGerasimov – Alexander LobkovLobkov (5-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Sloane StephensStephens (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Lauren DavisDavis – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (0-6 6-4 7-6(5)) – See score progression
- Jule NiemeierNiemeier – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Petra MarticMartic – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (6-7(5) 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Marta KostyukKostyuk (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Belinda BencicBencic – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (3-6 7-5 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Qinwen ZhengZheng (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Petra KvitovaKvitova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Irina-Camelia BeguBegu – Yue YuanYuan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alize CornetCornet – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Cristina BucsaBucsa – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Clara BurelBurel – Alison Van UytvanckVan Uytvanck (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Kaia KanepiKanepi – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Lauren DavisDavis (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Petra MarticMartic – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Rebecca MarinoMarino – Shuai ZhangZhang (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Cori GauffGauff (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu – Caroline GarciaGarcia (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alison RiskeRiske – Xiyu WangWang (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Shelby RogersRogers (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Dalma GalfiGalfi (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Aleksandra KrunicKrunic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic – Serena WilliamsWilliams (0-0) – H2H and prediction