Matteo Berrettini and Andy Murray will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 12:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Berrettini who should win in 5 sets.

As per the initial odds, Matteo Berrettini is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Berrettini -> 1.5
Andy Murray -> 2.66

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Matteo Berrettini vs. Andy Murray

This will be the 4th time that Matteo Berrettini and Andy Murray clash against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Berrettini (see full H2H stats), but Murray leads 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Berrettini won 6-4 5-7 6-3 in the final in Stuttgart back in June 2022.

Highlights Matteo Berrettini vs Andy Murray – Stuttgart 12-June-2022

Matteo Berrettini

Matteo Berrettini

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
56
High
6
LWWLWWLWLL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 19-17 10-9 4-3 5-4 0-1 0-0
2024 36-13 7-6 15-1 8-3 6-3 0-0
2023 14-12 9-10 2-0 0-0 3-2 0-0
2022 32-12 15-9 4-2 4-1 9-0 0-0
2021 41-12 14-5 13-4 3-2 11-1 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 14, Matteo got to the 3rd round after beating Nicolas Jarry 6-2 6-3 6-3 and Hugo Grenier 2-6 6-1 7-64 7-67.

In the 2nd round against Grenier, Berrettini recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-1 7-64 7-67). During the match, Berrettini scored 139 points vs Grenier’s 120. Berrettini was very aggressive to blast 49 winners.

Regarding the service games, Berrettini blasted 17 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Matteo Berrettini was quite effective on serve to win 88% (49/56) of his 1st serve and 67% (41/61) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Berrettini broke Grenier twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Matteo has conceded 1 set in this competition to conquer 55% of the points he played.

Berrettini has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 67% of his matches (271-133). 10-7 on hard in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Berrettini has an aggregate116-57 record in the last 9 years on hard.

His best result of the year was conquering the title in in Stuttgart where he defeated Andy Murray in the final 6-4 5-7 6-3 and in in London where he defeated Filip Krajinovic in the final 7-5 6-4.

Berrettini has a composed 23-9 win-loss record in 2022, 10-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
Berrettini's Record

Andy Murray

Andy Murray

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
160
High
1
LWLLLLWLWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 7-13 5-6 1-3 0-2 1-2 0-0
2023 31-18 13-10 5-4 2-2 11-2 0-0
2022 29-20 12-11 2-0 5-5 10-4 0-0
2021 20-16 5-5 0-0 12-9 3-2 0-0
2020 3-4 3-2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 51, Murray reached the 3rd round after beating Francisco Cerundolo 7-5 6-3 6-3 and Emilio Nava 5-7 6-3 6-1 6-0.

In the 2nd round against Nava, Andy recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-3 6-1 6-0). During the match Murray scored 131 points vs Nava’s 93. The Brit was extremely aggressive to blast 46 winners.

About the serving games, Murray blasted 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Andy Murray was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 79% (46/58) of his 1st serve and 57% (24/42) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Andy broke Nava 8 times after converting 47% of his break points (8/17).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Brit has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

Andy’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Sydney and Stuttgart.

The Brit has a compiled 25-15 win-loss record in 2022, 12-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, he won this tournament once in 2012. See his history.

U.S. Open
Murray's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

M.Berrettini
A.Murray
5h:29
5h:29
Time on court​
5h:42
5h:42
!
3h:25
3h:25
Last match​
!
3h:00
3h:00
2
2
Match played
2
2
67
67
Games Played​
64
64
7
7
Set played​​
7
7
226
226
Total points​
234
234
113
113
Avg point​
117
117
88
88
Winners
85
85
44
44
Avg Winners​
42.5
42.5
39%
39%
Ratio winners
36%
36%
-- Serve --
27
27
Aces
14
14
!
13.5
13.5
Avg Aces
7
7
4
4
Double Faults
7
7
2
2
Avg Double Faults
3.5
3.5
88/101
88/101
1st won total​
85/110
85/110
!
87%
87%
1st won %
!
77%
77%
56/86
56/86
2nd won total​
39/77
39/77
!
65%
65%
2nd won %
51%
51%
-- Break Points --
7/18
7/18
BP won
16/31
16/31
3.5/9
3.5/9
Avg BP won
8/15.5
8/15.5
39%
39%
Won
!
52%
52%
4
4
Conceded
8
8
2
2
Avg Conceded
4
4
2
2
Broken
6
6
1
1
Avg Broken
3
3
2
2
Saved
2
2
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Berrettini Murray
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 7 7
Tot Games 67 64
Pts 226-182 234-175
Total Points 408 409
Winners 88 85
%Winners 39% 36%

Both Berrettini and Murray played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Matteo Berrettini lost 1 set, while Andy Murray surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Berrettini and Murray have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Berrettini played 3 games more than Murray. Matteo scored 88 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Murray blasted 85 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Serve Berrettini Murray
Aces 27 14
Avg per match 13.5 7
1st in 101/187 110/187
%1st in 54% 59%
1st pts 88/101 85/110
%1st pts 87% 77%
2nd pts 56/86 39/77
%2nd pts 65% 51%

Berrettini struck 27 aces (13.5 per match). Murray blasted 14 aces (7 per match). Berrettini won 87% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Murray won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Berrettini Murray
Won 7 16
Converted 7/18 16/31
% Converted 39% 52%
Conceded 4 8
Saved 2 2
% Saved 50% 25%
Times Broken 2 6

Matteo broke his opponents 7 times with a 39% conversion rate. Berrettini conceded his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Andy broke his opponents 16 times with a 52% conversion rate. The Brit conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 25% of the break points that he conceded.

Berrettini
R1
Jarry		 R2
Grenier		 Total
Score 6-2 6-3 6-3 2-6 6-1 7-64 7-67
Tot Set 3 4 7
Tot Games 26 41 67
pts 87-62 139-120 226-182
Total points 149 259 408
Winners 39 49 88
%Winners 45% 35% 39%
SERVE
Aces 10 17 27
Double Faults 1 3 4
1st in 45/70 56/117 101/187
% 1st in 64% 48% 54%
1st pts 39/45 49/56 88/101
% 1st pts 87% 88% 87%
2nd pts 15/25 41/61 56/86
% 2nd pts 60% 67% 65%
Breaks
Won 5 2 7
Converted 5/10 2/8 7/18
Converted % 50% 25% 39%
Conceded 0 4 4
Saved 0/0 2/4 2
Saved % – 50% 25%
Times Broken 0 2 2
Murray
R1
Cerundolo		 R2
Nava		 Total
Score 7-5 6-3 6-3 5-7 6-3 6-1 6-0
Tot Set 3 4 7
Tot Games 30 34 64
pts 103-82 131-93 234-175
Total points 185 224 409
Winners 39 46 85
%Winners 38% 35% 36%
SERVE
Aces 6 8 14
Double Faults 5 2 7
1st in 52/87 58/100 110/187
% 1st in 60% 58% 59%
1st pts 39/52 46/58 85/110
% 1st pts 75% 79% 77%
2nd pts 15/35 24/42 39/77
% 2nd pts 43% 57% 51%
Breaks
Won 8 8 16
Converted 8/14 8/17 16/31
Converted % 57% 47% 52%
Conceded 5 3 8
Saved 1/5 1/3 2
Saved % 20% 33% 27%
Times Broken 4 2 6

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

Upcoming matches in the draw

Berrettini
More Stats
Click here
Murray

Click for FULL STATS