H2H, PREDICTION Aryna Sabalenka vs Kaia Kanepi | U.S. Open odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. New York. Sabalenka and Kanepi will face off in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

By
Mark Hall
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Kaia Kanepi

Aryna Sabalenka and Kaia Kanepi will play each other in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 6:00 pm on Court 5. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.5
Kaia Kanepi -> 2.59

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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Kaia Kanepi

This will be the 3rd time that Aryna Sabalenka and Kaia Kanepi square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Kanepi (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Kanepi won 5-7 6-2 7-6(7) in the 4th round in at the Australian Open back in January 2022.

Highlights Kaia Kanepi vs Aryna Sabalenka – Australian Open 24-January-2022

Aryna Sabalenka

Aryna Sabalenka
Aryna Sabalenka

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
1
High
1
LLWWWWWWWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 6, Aryna got to the 2nd round after defeating Catherine Harrison 6-1 6-3.

In the 1st round, The Belarussian had a good straight sets win against Harrison (6-1 6-3). During the match, Sabalenka scored 62 points vs Harrison’s 47. Aryna was pretty aggressive to blast 22 winners.

Talking about the service games, Sabalenka blasted 3 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve twice and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 64% of her first serves in, winning 63% (22/35) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (9/20) on the 2nd serve. Sabalenka broke Harrison 6 times after converting 46% of her break points (6/13).

Sabalenka has a solid match record in the last 7 years having won 65% of her matches (255-135). 12-10 on hard in 2022. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sabalenka has an overall146-71 match record in the last 7 years on hard.

The Belarussian’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Stuttgart and Hertogenbosch.

Aryna has an aggregate 25-17 win-loss record in 2022, 12-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Sabalenka
U.S. Open
Sabalenka's Record

Kaia Kanepi

Kaia Kanepi
Kaia Kanepi

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
578
High
15
LLL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 0-3 0-1 0-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 17-22 6-10 11-9 0-2 0-1 0-0
2022 29-19 15-11 10-4 3-1 1-3 0-0
2021 23-14 16-8 6-4 1-1 0-1 0-0
2020 17-5 1-3 6-1 10-1 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 34, Kaia reached the 2nd round after beating Tereza Martincova 7-64 6-3.

In the 1st round, Kanepi had a good straight sets win against Martincova (7-64 6-3). During the match Kanepi scored 73 points vs Martincova’s 66. Kanepi was pretty aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Talking about serving, Kanepi made 3 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Kaia Kanepi was extremely efficient on serve to win 73% (36/49) of her 1st serve and 55% (16/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Kanepi broke Martincova twice after converting 50% of her break points (2/4).

The Estonian’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Washington.

Kanepi has a composed 26-14 win-loss record in 2022, 15-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2010 and 2017. See her history.

Kanepi
U.S. Open
Kanepi's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic

H2H Performance in the tournament

A.Sabalenka
K.Kanepi
1h:28
1h:28
Time on court​
1h:33
1h:33
1h:28
1h:28
Last match​
1h:33
1h:33
1
1
Match played
1
1
16
16
Games Played​
22
22
2
2
Set played​​
2
2
62
62
Total points​
73
73
62
62
Avg point​
73
73
22
22
Winners
36
36
22
22
Avg Winners​
36
36
35%
35%
Ratio winners
49%
49%
-- Serve --
3
3
Aces
3
3
3
3
Avg Aces
3
3
4
4
Double Faults
2
2
4
4
Avg Double Faults
2
2
22/35
22/35
1st won total​
36/49
36/49
63%
63%
1st won %
!
73%
73%
9/20
9/20
2nd won total​
16/29
16/29
45%
45%
2nd won %
55%
55%
-- Break Points --
6/13
6/13
BP won
2/4
2/4
6/13
6/13
Avg BP won
2/4
2/4
46%
46%
Won
50%
50%
4
4
Conceded
5
5
4
4
Avg Conceded
5
5
2
2
Broken
1
1
2
2
Avg Broken
1
1
2
2
Saved
4
4
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Sabalenka Kanepi
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 16 22
Pts 62-47 73-66
Total Points 109 139
Winners 22 36
%Winners 35% 49%

Both Sabalenka and Kanepi played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Sabalenka and Kanepi have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Sabalenka played 6 games less than Kanepi. The Belarussian scored 22 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Kanepi bagged 36 winners (49%).

Serve Performance

Serve Sabalenka Kanepi
Aces 3 3
Avg per match 3 3
1st in 35/55 49/78
%1st in 64% 63%
1st pts 22/35 36/49
%1st pts 63% 73%
2nd pts 9/20 16/29
%2nd pts 45% 55%

Sabalenka recorded 3 aces . Kanepi made 3 aces . Sabalenka won 63% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Kanepi won 73% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Sabalenka Kanepi
Won 6 2
Converted 6/13 2/4
% Converted 46% 50%
Conceded 4 5
Saved 2 4
% Saved 50% 80%
Times Broken 2 1

Aryna broke her opponent 6 times with a 46% conversion rate. Aryna dropped her serve twice and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. The Estonian broke her opponent twice with a 50% conversion rate. Kanepi conceded her serve once and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded.

Sabalenka
R1
Harrison		 Total
Score 6-1 6-3
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 16 16
pts 62-47 62-47
Total points 109 109
Winners 22 22
%Winners 35% 35%
SERVE
Aces 3 3
Double Faults 4 4
1st in 35/55 35/55
% 1st in 64% 64%
1st pts 22/35 22/35
% 1st pts 63% 63%
2nd pts 9/20 9/20
% 2nd pts 45% 45%
Breaks
Won 6 6
Converted 6/13 6/13
Converted % 46% 46%
Conceded 4 4
Saved 2/4 2
Saved % 50% 50%
Times Broken 2 2
Kanepi
R1
Martincova		 Total
Score 7-64 6-3
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 22 22
pts 73-66 73-66
Total points 139 139
Winners 36 36
%Winners 49% 49%
SERVE
Aces 3 3
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 49/78 49/78
% 1st in 63% 63%
1st pts 36/49 36/49
% 1st pts 73% 73%
2nd pts 16/29 16/29
% 2nd pts 55% 55%
Breaks
Won 2 2
Converted 2/4 2/4
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 5 5
Saved 4/5 4
Saved % 80% 80%
Times Broken 1 1

Head 2 Head

Aryna Sabalenka
  • 3Slam
  • 17Main
  • 4ITF
  • 2Minor
Kaia Kanepi
  • 0Slam
  • 4Main
  • 17ITF
  • 2Minor

Aryna
Sabalenka

1:2

Kaia
Kanepi

Rank

1

High

1

1Hard2

Rank

578

High

15

Win Loss
Sabalenka
LLWWWWWWWL
Kanepi
LLL
2024 2023 2022
56 - 14
0 - 3
38-7
Hard
0-1
2-2
I Hard
0-0
15-4
Clay
0-2
1-1
Grass
0-0

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

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Upcoming matches in the draw

Sabalenka Aryna Sabalenka
More Stats
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Kanepi Kaia Kanepi