Denis Shapovalov and Roberto Carballes Baena will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 5:00 pm on Court 17. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Denis Shapovalov who should win in 3 sets.
Denis Shapovalov -> 1.182
Roberto Carballes Baena -> 4.85
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Prediction and head to head Denis Shapovalov vs. Roberto Carballes Baena
This will be the 3rd time that Denis Shapovalov and Roberto Carballes Baena square off. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Shapovalov won 7-6(7) 6-3 6-0 in the 2nd round in at the U.S. Open back in 2021.
Highlights Denis Shapovalov vs Roberto Carballes Baena – U.S. Open 02-September-2021
Denis Shapovalov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-22 | 14-11 | 2-5 | 9-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-25 | 9-10 | 5-6 | 16-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 13-13 | 6-6 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-26 | 22-12 | 4-4 | 7-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-23 | 11-11 | 7-6 | 4-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 21, the Canadian reached the 2nd round after defeating Marc-Andrea Huesler 2-6 6-4 6-4 3-6 6-1.
In the 1st round, Denis had a tough win against Huesler to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (2-6 6-4 6-4 3-6 6-1).During the match, Shapovalov scored less points (3) than Huesler. In fact, the world no. 21 won 126 points vs Huesler’s. That means that Shapovalov was more focused during the important points. The Canadian was very aggressive to blast 59 winners.
Talking about the service games, Shapovalov managed to score 12 aces and he was not very consistent on his 2nd serve to score 11 double faults. Denis Shapovalov lost the serve 3 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Shapovalov put 57% of his first serves in, winning 80% (59/74) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (28/56) on the 2nd serve. Denis broke Huesler 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Shapovalov has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 61% of his matches (249-161). 15-9 on hard in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Shapovalov has an aggregate111-70 record in the last 8 years on hard.
The Canadian’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Dubai.
The Canadian has a compiled 20-18 win-loss record in 2022, 15-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Roberto Carballes Baena
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19-24 | 7-10 | 11-12 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-31 | 10-12 | 24-13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 25-29 | 3-8 | 19-14 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-33 | 3-8 | 41-23 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-30 | 3-5 | 33-20 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 80, Roberto got to the 2nd round after beating Jaume Antoni Munar Clar 6-1 6-3 4-6 6-2.
In the 1st round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Munar Clar (6-1 6-3 4-6 6-2). During the match Carballes Baena scored 129 points vs Munar Clar’s 98. Carballes Baena was very aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Talking about serving, Carballes Baena fired 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Roberto Carballes Baena lost the serve twice and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Carballes Baena put 55% of his first serves in, winning 68% (44/65) of the points behind his 1st serve and 60% (32/53) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Munar Clar 7 times after converting 64% of his break points (7/11).
The Spaniard’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in the Gran Canaria Challenger,the Tunis Challenger and the Amersfoort Challenger.
The Spaniard has an overall 33-27 win-loss record in 2022, 2-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2018, 2020 and 2021. See his history
.H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Shapovalov | Carballes Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 44 | 34 |
| Pts | 126-129 | 129-98 |
| Total Points | 255 | 227 |
| Winners | 59 | 44 |
| %Winners | 47% | 34% |
Both Shapovalov and Carballes Baena played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Denis Shapovalov surrendered 2 sets, while Roberto Carballes Baena conceded 1 set. Shapovalov has played 1 set more than Carballes Baena (5 vs 4). Therefore, Shapovalov played 10 games more than Carballes Baena. Shapovalov scored 59 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard struck 44 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Shapovalov | Carballes Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 12 | 6 |
| 1st in | 74/130 | 65/118 |
| %1st in | 57% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 59/74 | 44/65 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 28/56 | 32/53 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 60% |
Shapovalov fired 12 aces . Carballes Baena managed to score 6 aces . Shapovalov won 80% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Carballes Baena won 68% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Shapovalov | Carballes Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 7 |
| Converted | 4/9 | 7/11 |
| % Converted | 44% | 64% |
| Conceded | 8 | 10 |
| Saved | 5 | 8 |
| % Saved | 63% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 |
Denis broke his opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Canadian surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. Carballes Baena broke his opponent 7 times with a 64% conversion rate. Roberto conceded his serve twice and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Shapovalov | |||
| R1 Huesler | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-4 6-4 3-6 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 44 | 44 | |
| pts | 126-129 | 126-129 | |
| Total points | 255 | 255 | |
| Winners | 59 | 59 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 12 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 11 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 74/130 | 74/130 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 59/74 | 59/74 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 28/56 | 28/56 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/9 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 5/8 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 63% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Carballes Baena | |||
| R1 Munar Clar | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 4-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 34 | 34 | |
| pts | 129-98 | 129-98 | |
| Total points | 227 | 227 | |
| Winners | 44 | 44 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 65/118 | 65/118 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 44/65 | 44/65 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 32/53 | 32/53 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/11 | 7/11 | |
| Converted % | 64% | 64% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 | |
| Saved | 8/10 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Nick KyrgiosKyrgios – Benjamin BonziBonzi (7-63 6-4 4-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-4 1-6 6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (7-63 5-7 3-6 6-0 7-63) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jack DraperDraper – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (6-4 6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Yibing WuWu – Nuno BorgesBorges (6-73 7-64 4-6 6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Jordan ThompsonThompson (6-3 2-6 3-6 6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (6-3 6-3 5-7 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tommy PaulPaul – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-0 3-6 4-6 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-2 7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Casper RuudRuud – Tim Van RijthovenVan Rijthoven (6-74 6-4 6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jeff WolfWolf – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (4-6 7-5 6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Cristian GarinGarin (6-3 6-0 4-6 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Alexander BublikBublik (4-6 6-4 6-3 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Pedro CachinCachin – Brandon HoltHolt (1-6 2-6 6-1 7-61 7-66) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Andy MurrayMurray – Emilio NavaNava (5-7 6-3 6-1 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Hugo GrenierGrenier (2-6 6-1 7-64 7-67) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andy MurrayMurray – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Rafael NadalNadal (4-13) – H2H and prediction
- John IsnerIsner – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marin CilicCilic – Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas (7-3) – H2H and prediction
- James DuckworthDuckworth – Daniel EvansEvans (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Federico CoriaCoria – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nick KyrgiosKyrgios – Jeff WolfWolf (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Yibing WuWu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pedro CachinCachin – Corentin MoutetMoutet (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Borna CoricCoric – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Jack DraperDraper (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Christopher EubanksEubanks – Jannik SinnerSinner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Ilya IvashkaIvashka (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Joao SousaSousa (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Soon-Woo KwonKwon – Andrey RublevRublev (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Casper RuudRuud (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Gijs BrouwerBrouwer – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Richard GasquetGasquet (1-0) – H2H and prediction