Denis Shapovalov and Roberto Carballes Baena will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 5:00 pm on Court 17. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Denis Shapovalov who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Denis Shapovalov is the pick to win this match.
Denis Shapovalov -> 1.182
Roberto Carballes Baena -> 4.85

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Prediction and head to head Denis Shapovalov vs. Roberto Carballes Baena

This will be the 3rd time that Denis Shapovalov and Roberto Carballes Baena square off. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Shapovalov won 7-6(7) 6-3 6-0 in the 2nd round in at the U.S. Open back in 2021.

Highlights Denis Shapovalov vs Roberto Carballes Baena – U.S. Open 02-September-2021

Denis Shapovalov

Denis Shapovalov

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
23
High
10
LLWWLWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 26-22 14-11 2-5 9-3 1-3 0-0
2024 33-25 9-10 5-6 16-6 3-3 0-0
2023 13-13 6-6 3-3 0-1 4-3 0-0
2022 34-26 22-12 4-4 7-6 1-4 0-0
2021 30-23 11-11 7-6 4-3 8-3 0-0

Ranked no. 21, the Canadian reached the 2nd round after defeating Marc-Andrea Huesler 2-6 6-4 6-4 3-6 6-1.

In the 1st round, Denis had a tough win against Huesler to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (2-6 6-4 6-4 3-6 6-1).During the match, Shapovalov scored less points (3) than Huesler. In fact, the world no. 21 won 126 points vs Huesler’s. That means that Shapovalov was more focused during the important points. The Canadian was very aggressive to blast 59 winners.

Talking about the service games, Shapovalov managed to score 12 aces and he was not very consistent on his 2nd serve to score 11 double faults. Denis Shapovalov lost the serve 3 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Shapovalov put 57% of his first serves in, winning 80% (59/74) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (28/56) on the 2nd serve. Denis broke Huesler 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Shapovalov has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 61% of his matches (249-161). 15-9 on hard in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Shapovalov has an aggregate111-70 record in the last 8 years on hard.

The Canadian’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Dubai.

The Canadian has a compiled 20-18 win-loss record in 2022, 15-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
Shapovalov's Record

Roberto Carballes Baena

Roberto Carballes Baena

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
133
High
49
LLWLWLWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 19-24 7-10 11-12 1-1 0-1 0-0
2024 37-31 10-12 24-13 2-4 1-2 0-0
2023 25-29 3-8 19-14 1-4 2-3 0-0
2022 46-33 3-8 41-23 2-1 0-1 0-0
2021 41-30 3-5 33-20 3-3 2-2 0-0

Ranked no. 80, Roberto got to the 2nd round after beating Jaume Antoni Munar Clar 6-1 6-3 4-6 6-2.

In the 1st round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Munar Clar (6-1 6-3 4-6 6-2). During the match Carballes Baena scored 129 points vs Munar Clar’s 98. Carballes Baena was very aggressive to blast 44 winners.

Talking about serving, Carballes Baena fired 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Roberto Carballes Baena lost the serve twice and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Carballes Baena put 55% of his first serves in, winning 68% (44/65) of the points behind his 1st serve and 60% (32/53) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Munar Clar 7 times after converting 64% of his break points (7/11).

The Spaniard’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in the Gran Canaria Challenger,the Tunis Challenger and the Amersfoort Challenger.

The Spaniard has an overall 33-27 win-loss record in 2022, 2-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2018, 2020 and 2021. See his history

.
U.S. Open
Carballes Baena's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

D.Shapovalov
R.Carballes Baena
2h:57
2h:57
Time on court​
3h:15
3h:15
!
2h:57
2h:57
Last match​
!
3h:15
3h:15
1
1
Match played
1
1
44
44
Games Played​
34
34
5
5
Set played​​
4
4
126
126
Total points​
129
129
126
126
Avg point​
129
129
59
59
Winners
44
44
59
59
Avg Winners​
44
44
47%
47%
Ratio winners
34%
34%
-- Serve --
12
12
Aces
6
6
!
12
12
Avg Aces
6
6
11
11
Double Faults
2
2
!
11
11
Avg Double Faults
2
2
59/74
59/74
1st won total​
44/65
44/65
!
80%
80%
1st won %
68%
68%
28/56
28/56
2nd won total​
32/53
32/53
50%
50%
2nd won %
60%
60%
-- Break Points --
4/9
4/9
BP won
7/11
7/11
4/9
4/9
Avg BP won
7/11
7/11
44%
44%
Won
!
64%
64%
8
8
Conceded
10
10
8
8
Avg Conceded
10
10
3
3
Broken
2
2
3
3
Avg Broken
2
2
5
5
Saved
8
8

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Shapovalov Carballes Baena
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 5 4
Tot Games 44 34
Pts 126-129 129-98
Total Points 255 227
Winners 59 44
%Winners 47% 34%

Both Shapovalov and Carballes Baena played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Denis Shapovalov surrendered 2 sets, while Roberto Carballes Baena conceded 1 set. Shapovalov has played 1 set more than Carballes Baena (5 vs 4). Therefore, Shapovalov played 10 games more than Carballes Baena. Shapovalov scored 59 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard struck 44 winners (34%).

Serve Performance

Serve Shapovalov Carballes Baena
Aces 12 6
Avg per match 12 6
1st in 74/130 65/118
%1st in 57% 55%
1st pts 59/74 44/65
%1st pts 80% 68%
2nd pts 28/56 32/53
%2nd pts 50% 60%

Shapovalov fired 12 aces . Carballes Baena managed to score 6 aces . Shapovalov won 80% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Carballes Baena won 68% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Shapovalov Carballes Baena
Won 4 7
Converted 4/9 7/11
% Converted 44% 64%
Conceded 8 10
Saved 5 8
% Saved 63% 80%
Times Broken 3 2

Denis broke his opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Canadian surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. Carballes Baena broke his opponent 7 times with a 64% conversion rate. Roberto conceded his serve twice and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.

Shapovalov
R1
Huesler
Total
Score 2-6 6-4 6-4 3-6 6-1
Tot Set 5 5
Tot Games 44 44
pts 126-129 126-129
Total points 255 255
Winners 59 59
%Winners 47% 47%
SERVE
Aces 12 12
Double Faults 11 11
1st in 74/130 74/130
% 1st in 57% 57%
1st pts 59/74 59/74
% 1st pts 80% 80%
2nd pts 28/56 28/56
% 2nd pts 50% 50%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/9 4/9
Converted % 44% 44%
Conceded 8 8
Saved 5/8 5
Saved % 63% 63%
Times Broken 3 3
Carballes Baena
R1
Munar Clar
Total
Score 6-1 6-3 4-6 6-2
Tot Set 4 4
Tot Games 34 34
pts 129-98 129-98
Total points 227 227
Winners 44 44
%Winners 34% 34%
SERVE
Aces 6 6
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 65/118 65/118
% 1st in 55% 55%
1st pts 44/65 44/65
% 1st pts 68% 68%
2nd pts 32/53 32/53
% 2nd pts 60% 60%
Breaks
Won 7 7
Converted 7/11 7/11
Converted % 64% 64%
Conceded 10 10
Saved 8/10 8
Saved % 80% 80%
Times Broken 2 2

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

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