Grigor Dimitrov and Brandon Nakashima will face off in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 3:00 pm on Court 17. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Grigor Dimitrov who should win in 5 sets.
Grigor Dimitrov -> 1.69
Brandon Nakashima -> 2.17
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Grigor Dimitrov vs. Brandon Nakashima
This will be the 2nd time that Grigor Dimitrov and Brandon Nakashima play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Dimitrov (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Dimitrov won 6-3 6-4 in the 1st round in Rome back in May 2022.
Grigor Dimitrov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18-11 | 9-6 | 5-4 | 1-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-18 | 21-7 | 8-4 | 13-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-21 | 16-10 | 10-5 | 10-4 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-22 | 10-11 | 10-5 | 5-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-18 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 19, the Bulgarian got to the 2nd round after defeating Steve Johnson 6-3 6-2 6-2.
In the 1st round, Dimitrov had a good straight sets win against Johnson (6-3 6-2 6-2). During the match, Dimitrov scored 91 points vs Johnson’s 59. Dimitrov was quite aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about the service games, Dimitrov overpowered his opponent with 23 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Grigor Dimitrov was extremely efficient on serve to win 95% (36/38) of his 1st serve and 65% (17/26) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Dimitrov broke Johnson 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).
Dimitrov has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (320-194). 10-10 on hard in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Dimitrov has an aggregate 157-97 record in the last years on hard.
Grigor’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Melbourne and Carlo.
Grigor has a composed 21-17 win-loss record in 2022, 10-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Brandon Nakashima
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 33-30 | 19-14 | 6-8 | 2-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 61-32 | 24-12 | 13-7 | 15-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-26 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 8-3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-26 | 17-13 | 5-5 | 9-4 | 10-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-25 | 17-10 | 4-7 | 20-5 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 69, the American reached the 2nd round after defeating Pavel Kotov 7-64 6-2 6-2.
In the 1st round, The American had a good straight sets win against Kotov (7-64 6-2 6-2). During the match Nakashima scored 112 points vs Kotov’s 80. Brandon was very aggressive to blast 45 winners.
Talking about serving, Nakashima struck 13 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Brandon Nakashima was very effective on serve to win 79% (45/57) of his 1st serve and 56% (20/36) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The American broke Kotov 5 times after converting 33% of his break points (5/15).
Nakashima has a composed 26-21 win-loss record in 2022, 10-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2020 and 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Dimitrov | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 25 | 29 |
| Pts | 91-59 | 112-80 |
| Total Points | 150 | 192 |
| Winners | 36 | 45 |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% |
Both Dimitrov and Nakashima played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Dimitrov and Nakashima have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Dimitrov played 4 games less than Nakashima. The Bulgarian scored 36 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Nakashima bagged 45 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Dimitrov | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 23 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 23 | 13 |
| 1st in | 38/64 | 57/93 |
| %1st in | 59% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 36/38 | 45/57 |
| %1st pts | 95% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 17/26 | 20/36 |
| %2nd pts | 65% | 56% |
Dimitrov made 23 aces . Nakashima made 13 aces . Dimitrov won 95% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Nakashima won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Dimitrov | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 5 |
| Converted | 5/13 | 5/15 |
| % Converted | 38% | 33% |
| Conceded | 0 | 3 |
| Saved | 0 | 2 |
| % Saved | 0% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
Grigor broke his opponent 5 times with a 38% conversion rate. Dimitrov had a solid display on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 0 break points. Brandon broke his opponent 5 times with a 33% conversion rate. Nakashima conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Dimitrov | |||
| R1 Johnson | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 25 | |
| pts | 91-59 | 91-59 | |
| Total points | 150 | 150 | |
| Winners | 36 | 36 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 23 | 23 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 38/64 | 38/64 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 36/38 | 36/38 | |
| % 1st pts | 95% | 95% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/26 | 17/26 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 65% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 5/13 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Nakashima | |||
| R1 Kotov | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 112-80 | 112-80 | |
| Total points | 192 | 192 | |
| Winners | 45 | 45 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 13 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 57/93 | 57/93 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 45/57 | 45/57 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/36 | 20/36 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/15 | 5/15 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Yibing WuWu – Nuno BorgesBorges (6-73 7-64 4-6 6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Jordan ThompsonThompson (6-3 2-6 3-6 6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (6-3 6-3 5-7 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tommy PaulPaul – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-0 3-6 4-6 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-2 7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Casper RuudRuud – Tim Van RijthovenVan Rijthoven (6-74 6-4 6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jeff WolfWolf – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (4-6 7-5 6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Cristian GarinGarin (6-3 6-0 4-6 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Alexander BublikBublik (4-6 6-4 6-3 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Pedro CachinCachin – Brandon HoltHolt (1-6 2-6 6-1 7-61 7-66) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Andy MurrayMurray – Emilio NavaNava (5-7 6-3 6-1 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Hugo GrenierGrenier (2-6 6-1 7-64 7-67) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Nick KyrgiosKyrgios – Benjamin BonziBonzi (7-63 6-4 4-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-4 1-6 6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (7-63 5-7 3-6 6-0 7-63) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jack DraperDraper – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (6-4 6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andy MurrayMurray – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Rafael NadalNadal (4-13) – H2H and prediction
- John IsnerIsner – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marin CilicCilic – Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas (7-3) – H2H and prediction
- James DuckworthDuckworth – Daniel EvansEvans (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Federico CoriaCoria – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nick KyrgiosKyrgios – Jeff WolfWolf (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Yibing WuWu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pedro CachinCachin – Corentin MoutetMoutet (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Borna CoricCoric – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Jack DraperDraper (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Christopher EubanksEubanks – Jannik SinnerSinner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Ilya IvashkaIvashka (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Joao SousaSousa (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Soon-Woo KwonKwon – Andrey RublevRublev (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Casper RuudRuud (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Gijs BrouwerBrouwer – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Richard GasquetGasquet (1-0) – H2H and prediction