Grigor Dimitrov and Brandon Nakashima will face off in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 3:00 pm on Court 17. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Grigor Dimitrov who should win in 5 sets.

As per the initial odds, Grigor Dimitrov is the pick to win this match.
Grigor Dimitrov -> 1.69
Brandon Nakashima -> 2.17

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Prediction and head to head Grigor Dimitrov vs. Brandon Nakashima

This will be the 2nd time that Grigor Dimitrov and Brandon Nakashima play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Dimitrov (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Dimitrov won 6-3 6-4 in the 1st round in Rome back in May 2022.

Grigor Dimitrov

Grigor Dimitrov

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
44
High
3
WLWWWLLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 18-11 9-6 5-4 1-0 3-1 0-0
2024 46-18 21-7 8-4 13-5 4-2 0-0
2023 43-21 16-10 10-5 10-4 7-2 0-0
2022 26-22 10-11 10-5 5-4 1-2 0-0
2021 24-18 18-10 3-5 2-2 1-1 0-0

Ranked no. 19, the Bulgarian got to the 2nd round after defeating Steve Johnson 6-3 6-2 6-2.

In the 1st round, Dimitrov had a good straight sets win against Johnson (6-3 6-2 6-2). During the match, Dimitrov scored 91 points vs Johnson’s 59. Dimitrov was quite aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Talking about the service games, Dimitrov overpowered his opponent with 23 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Grigor Dimitrov was extremely efficient on serve to win 95% (36/38) of his 1st serve and 65% (17/26) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Dimitrov broke Johnson 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).

Dimitrov has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (320-194). 10-10 on hard in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Dimitrov has an aggregate 157-97 record in the last years on hard.

Grigor’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Melbourne and Carlo.

Grigor has a composed 21-17 win-loss record in 2022, 10-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
Dimitrov's Record

Brandon Nakashima

Brandon Nakashima

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
33
High
29
LLLWLWLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 33-30 19-14 6-8 2-5 6-3 0-0
2024 61-32 24-12 13-7 15-8 9-5 0-0
2023 21-26 9-15 3-4 8-3 1-4 0-0
2022 41-26 17-13 5-5 9-4 10-4 0-0
2021 45-25 17-10 4-7 20-5 4-3 0-0

Ranked no. 69, the American reached the 2nd round after defeating Pavel Kotov 7-64 6-2 6-2.

In the 1st round, The American had a good straight sets win against Kotov (7-64 6-2 6-2). During the match Nakashima scored 112 points vs Kotov’s 80. Brandon was very aggressive to blast 45 winners.

Talking about serving, Nakashima struck 13 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Brandon Nakashima was very effective on serve to win 79% (45/57) of his 1st serve and 56% (20/36) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The American broke Kotov 5 times after converting 33% of his break points (5/15).

Nakashima has a composed 26-21 win-loss record in 2022, 10-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2020 and 2021. See his history.

U.S. Open
Nakashima's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

G.Dimitrov
B.Nakashima
1h:34
1h:34
Time on court​
!
2h:33
2h:33
1h:34
1h:34
Last match​
!
2h:33
2h:33
1
1
Match played
1
1
25
25
Games Played​
29
29
3
3
Set played​​
3
3
91
91
Total points​
112
112
91
91
Avg point​
112
112
36
36
Winners
45
45
36
36
Avg Winners​
45
45
40%
40%
Ratio winners
40%
40%
-- Serve --
23
23
Aces
13
13
!
23
23
Avg Aces
!
13
13
4
4
Double Faults
3
3
4
4
Avg Double Faults
3
3
36/38
36/38
1st won total​
45/57
45/57
!
95%
95%
1st won %
!
79%
79%
17/26
17/26
2nd won total​
20/36
20/36
!
65%
65%
2nd won %
56%
56%
-- Break Points --
5/13
5/13
BP won
5/15
5/15
5/13
5/13
Avg BP won
5/15
5/15
38%
38%
Won
33%
33%
0
0
Conceded
3
3
0
0
Avg Conceded
3
3
0
0
Broken
1
1
!
0
0
Avg Broken
1
1
0
0
Saved
2
2

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Dimitrov Nakashima
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 25 29
Pts 91-59 112-80
Total Points 150 192
Winners 36 45
%Winners 40% 40%

Both Dimitrov and Nakashima played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Dimitrov and Nakashima have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Dimitrov played 4 games less than Nakashima. The Bulgarian scored 36 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Nakashima bagged 45 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve Dimitrov Nakashima
Aces 23 13
Avg per match 23 13
1st in 38/64 57/93
%1st in 59% 61%
1st pts 36/38 45/57
%1st pts 95% 79%
2nd pts 17/26 20/36
%2nd pts 65% 56%

Dimitrov made 23 aces . Nakashima made 13 aces . Dimitrov won 95% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Nakashima won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Dimitrov Nakashima
Won 5 5
Converted 5/13 5/15
% Converted 38% 33%
Conceded 0 3
Saved 0 2
% Saved 0% 67%
Times Broken 0 1

Grigor broke his opponent 5 times with a 38% conversion rate. Dimitrov had a solid display on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 0 break points. Brandon broke his opponent 5 times with a 33% conversion rate. Nakashima conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Dimitrov
R1
Johnson
Total
Score 6-3 6-2 6-2
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 25 25
pts 91-59 91-59
Total points 150 150
Winners 36 36
%Winners 40% 40%
SERVE
Aces 23 23
Double Faults 4 4
1st in 38/64 38/64
% 1st in 59% 59%
1st pts 36/38 36/38
% 1st pts 95% 95%
2nd pts 17/26 17/26
% 2nd pts 65% 65%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/13 5/13
Converted % 38% 38%
Conceded 0 0
Saved 0/0 0
Saved % 0%
Times Broken 0 0
Nakashima
R1
Kotov
Total
Score 7-64 6-2 6-2
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 29 29
pts 112-80 112-80
Total points 192 192
Winners 45 45
%Winners 40% 40%
SERVE
Aces 13 13
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 57/93 57/93
% 1st in 61% 61%
1st pts 45/57 45/57
% 1st pts 79% 79%
2nd pts 20/36 20/36
% 2nd pts 56% 56%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/15 5/15
Converted % 33% 33%
Conceded 3 3
Saved 2/3 2
Saved % 67% 67%
Times Broken 1 1

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

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