Cedrik-Marcel Stebe and Lucas Gerch will square off in the 2nd round of the Como Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 10:00 am on COURT 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cedrik-Marcel Stebe who should win in 3 sets.
Cedrik-Marcel Stebe -> 1.63
Lucas Gerch -> 2.22
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Prediction and head to head Cedrik-Marcel Stebe vs. Lucas Gerch
There is no head to head record between Cedrik-Marcel Stebe and Lucas Gerch since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Cedrik-Marcel Stebe
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 28-15 | 0-1 | 18-9 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2024 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 28-25 | 2-6 | 10-13 | 15-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 14-20 | 4-7 | 9-9 | 1-1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 233, the German reached the 2nd round after defeating Mirza Basic 6-4 6-0.
In the 1st round, Cedrik-Marcel had a good straight sets win against Basic (6-4 6-0). During the match, Stebe scored 63 points vs Basic’s 42. The German was very aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Regarding the service games, Stebe scored 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Cedrik-Marcel Stebe lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Stebe put 62% of his first serves in, winning 82% (23/28) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (8/17) on the 2nd serve. The German broke Basic 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).
Stebe has favorable win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (190-130). 6-11 on clay in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Stebe has a compiled 97-63 match record in the last years on clay.
Cedrik-Marcel’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Forli 1 Challenger,the Forli 3 Challenger and the Lugano Challenger.
The German has a composed 23-22 win-loss record in 2022, 6-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Como Challenger
Lucas Gerch
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-17 | 6-4 | 20-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-23 | 0-2 | 35-16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2023 | 32-20 | 2-2 | 26-14 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-29 | 11-3 | 36-20 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-27 | 8-8 | 20-18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 316 (career-high), Lucas got to the 2nd round after beating Nikola Milojevic 7-62 7-5.
In the 1st round, Gerch had a good straight sets win against Milojevic (7-62 7-5). During the match Gerch scored 79 points vs Milojevic’s 76. Lucas was quite aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about serving, Gerch blasted 5 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Lucas Gerch lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Gerch put 60% of his first serves in, winning 70% (33/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (14/31) on the 2nd serve. The German broke Milojevic 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Lucas’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M25 Cancun,M15 Ueberlingen and the Prague 3 Challenger.
Gerch has a compiled 43-19 win-loss record in 2022, 30-14 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Stebe | Gerch |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 16 | 25 |
| Pts | 63-42 | 79-76 |
| Total Points | 105 | 155 |
| Winners | 23 | 33 |
| %Winners | 37% | 42% |
Both Stebe and Gerch played 1 match. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Stebe and Gerch have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Stebe played 9 games less than Gerch. Cedrik-Marcel scored 23 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Lucas bagged 33 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Stebe | Gerch |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 5 |
| 1st in | 28/45 | 47/78 |
| %1st in | 62% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 23/28 | 33/47 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 8/17 | 14/31 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 45% |
Stebe recorded 3 aces . Gerch recorded 5 aces . Stebe won 82% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Gerch won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 45% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Stebe | Gerch |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 4 |
| Converted | 5/12 | 4/8 |
| % Converted | 42% | 50% |
| Conceded | 2 | 7 |
| Saved | 1 | 4 |
| % Saved | 50% | 57% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 |
Stebe broke his opponent 5 times with a 42% conversion rate. The German lost his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Lucas broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Lucas conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded.
| Stebe | |||
| R1 Basic | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 63-42 | 63-42 | |
| Total points | 105 | 105 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 28/45 | 28/45 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 23/28 | 23/28 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/17 | 8/17 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 5/12 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Gerch | |||
| R1 Milojevic | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-62 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 25 | |
| pts | 79-76 | 79-76 | |
| Total points | 155 | 155 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 47/78 | 47/78 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 33/47 | 33/47 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/31 | 14/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 57% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Tennis Scores in Como Challenger
- Riccardo BonadioBonadio – Federico ArnaboldiArnaboldi (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Nerman FaticFatic – Lucas MiedlerMiedler (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Giovanni OradiniOradini (2-6 7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Lukas KleinKlein – Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri (7-65 2-6 7-68) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Kenny de Schepperde Schepper – Marius CopilCopil (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Miljan ZekicZekic – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Damir DzumhurDzumhur – Francesco PassaroPassaro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Riccardo BonadioBonadio – Lukas KleinKlein (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Nerman FaticFatic – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lucas GerchGerch – Cedrik-Marcel StebeStebe (0-0) – H2H and prediction