Iga Swiatek and Sloane Stephens will play each other in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 12:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.157
Sloane Stephens -> 5.3
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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Sloane Stephens
This will be the 2nd time that Iga Swiatek and Sloane Stephens fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Swiatek won 6-4 7-5 in the 2nd round in Cincinnati back in August 2022.
Highlights Iga Swiatek vs Sloane Stephens – Cincinnati 17-August-2022
Iga Swiatek
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-8 | 21-6 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 64-9 | 29-5 | 26-2 | 7-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Iga reached the 2nd round after beating Jasmine Paolini 6-3 6-0.
In the 1st round, The Pole had a good straight sets win against Paolini (6-3 6-0). During the match, Swiatek scored 57 points vs Paolini’s 34. Swiatek was extremely aggressive to blast 16 winners.
Talking about the service games, Swiatek scored just 1 ace in the course of the match and she was pretty solid in conceding no double faults. Iga Swiatek lost the serve twice and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Swiatek put 63% of her first serves in, winning 64% (16/25) of the points behind her 1st serve and 60% (9/15) on the 2nd serve. Swiatek broke Paolini 7 times after converting 78% of her break points (7/9).
Swiatek has a fantastic record in the last 7 years having won 79% of her matches (201-54). 29-5 on hard in 2022. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Swiatek has a composed78-28 record in the last 7 years on hard.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in in Doha where she beat Anett Kontaveit in the final 6-2 6-0 and in in Indian Wells where she overcame Maria Sakkari in the final 6-4 6-1 and in in Miami where she defeated Naomi Osaka in the final 6-4 6-0 and in in Stuttgart where she defeated Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-2 6-2 and in in Rome where she defeated Ons Jabeur in the final 6-2 6-2 and in at the French Open where she beat Cori Gauff in the final 6-1 6-3.
The Pole has a compiled 51-7 win-loss record in 2022, 29-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Sloane Stephens
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 19-22 | 8-13 | 9-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 25-20 | 11-14 | 13-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-17 | 13-9 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 20-19 | 6-11 | 11-6 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 51, Stephens reached the 2nd round after defeating Greetje Minnen 1-6 6-3 6-3.
In the 1st round against Minnen, The American recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-3 6-3). During the match Stephens scored 93 points vs Minnen’s 83. The American was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about serving, Stephens made 2 aces and she was very consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Sloane Stephens lost the serve 4 times and she saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Stephens put 62% of her first serves in, winning 58% (30/52) of the points behind her 1st serve and 59% (19/32) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Minnen 5 times after converting 29% of her break points (5/17).
Her best result of the year was winning the title in in Guadalajara where she overcame Marie Bouzkova in the final 7-5 1-6 6-2.
The American has a composed 13-13 win-loss record in 2022, 9-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, she won this tournament once in 2017. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Swiatek | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 15 | 25 |
| Pts | 57-34 | 93-83 |
| Total Points | 91 | 176 |
| Winners | 16 | 30 |
| %Winners | 28% | 32% |
Both Swiatek and Stephens played 1 match. At the moment, Sloane Stephens conceded 1 set while Iga Swiatek hasn’t dropped a set so far. Swiatek has played 1 set(s) less than Stephens (2 vs 3). Therefore, Swiatek played 10 games less than Stephens. The Pole scored 16 winners (28% of the total points). On the other side, Stephens fired 30 winners (32%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Swiatek | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 2 |
| 1st in | 25/40 | 52/84 |
| %1st in | 63% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 16/25 | 30/52 |
| %1st pts | 64% | 58% |
| 2nd pts | 9/15 | 19/32 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 59% |
Swiatek scored 1 ace . Stephens also blasted 2 aces . Swiatek won 64% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Stephens won 58% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Swiatek | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 5 |
| Converted | 7/9 | 5/17 |
| % Converted | 78% | 29% |
| Conceded | 3 | 15 |
| Saved | 1 | 11 |
| % Saved | 33% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 |
The Pole broke her opponent 7 times with a 78% conversion rate. Iga dropped her serve twice and she saved 33% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponent 5 times with a 29% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 73% of the break points that she conceded.
| Swiatek | |||
| R1 Paolini |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 57-34 | 57-34 | |
| Total points | 91 | 91 | |
| Winners | 16 | 16 | |
| %Winners | 28% | 28% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 25/40 | 25/40 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 16/25 | 16/25 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/15 | 9/15 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/9 | 7/9 | |
| Converted % | 78% | 78% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Stephens | |||
| R1 Minnen |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1-6 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 25 | |
| pts | 93-83 | 93-83 | |
| Total points | 176 | 176 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 32% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 52/84 | 52/84 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 30/52 | 30/52 | |
| % 1st pts | 58% | 58% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/32 | 19/32 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/17 | 5/17 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 15 | 15 | |
| Saved | 11/15 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 73% | 73% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWLWLWW
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Sloane StephensStephens (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lauren DavisDavis – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Jule NiemeierNiemeier (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Qinwen ZhengZheng (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Petra KvitovaKvitova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Irina-Camelia BeguBegu – Yue YuanYuan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Petra MarticMartic (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Belinda BencicBencic (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alize CornetCornet – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Cristina BucsaBucsa – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Clara BurelBurel – Alison Van UytvanckVan Uytvanck (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Kaia KanepiKanepi – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Camila GiorgiGiorgi (4-2) – H2H and prediction
- Elena Gabriela RuseGabriela Ruse – Cori GauffGauff (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Caroline GarciaGarcia (1-0) – H2H and prediction
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