Ajla Tomljanovic and Evgeniya Rodina will face off in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 7:00 pm on Court 12. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ajla Tomljanovic who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Ajla Tomljanovic is the pick to win this match.
Ajla Tomljanovic -> 1.185
Evgeniya Rodina -> 4.8
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Prediction and head to head Ajla Tomljanovic vs. Evgeniya Rodina
This will be the 3rd time that Ajla Tomljanovic and Evgeniya Rodina square off. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Tomljanovic won 7-6(4) 6-2 in the quarter in Pattaya City back in 2015.
Ajla Tomljanovic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 27-26 | 14-15 | 8-6 | 0-1 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 22-20 | 12-12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 7-3 | 2-2 | 5-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-27 | 19-14 | 7-6 | 5-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-24 | 11-12 | 10-6 | 3-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 46, Ajla got to the 2nd round after defeating Karolina Muchova 6-3 7-65.
In the 1st round, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Muchova (6-3 7-65). During the match, Tomljanovic scored 76 points vs Muchova’s 65. The Australian was quite aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about the service games, Tomljanovic struck 5 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Ajla Tomljanovic was very efficient on serve to win 73% (30/41) of her 1st serve and 54% (15/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. Ajla broke Muchova 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).
Tomljanovic has favorable record in the last 10 years having won 55% of her matches (255-206). 15-11 on hard in 2022. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Tomljanovic has a compiled 142-114 match record in the last years on hard.
Ajla has an aggregate 29-20 win-loss record in 2022, 15-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Evgeniya Rodina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 564, the Russian reached the 2nd round after defeating Martina Trevisan 7-5 6-1.
In the 1st round, Evgeniya had a good straight sets win against Trevisan (7-5 6-1). During the match Rodina scored 72 points vs Trevisan’s 64. Evgeniya was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.
About the serving games, Rodina was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 2 double faults. Evgeniya Rodina lost the serve twice and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Rodina put 76% of her first serves in, winning 57% (32/56) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (9/18) on the 2nd serve. Rodina broke Trevisan 6 times after converting 67% of her break points (6/9).
The Russian has a compiled 1-0 win-loss record in 2022, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2015, 2016 and 2017. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Tomljanovic | Rodina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 22 | 19 |
| Pts | 76-65 | 72-64 |
| Total Points | 141 | 136 |
| Winners | 30 | 32 |
| %Winners | 39% | 44% |
Both Tomljanovic and Rodina played 1 match. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Tomljanovic and Rodina have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Tomljanovic played 3 games more than Rodina. Ajla scored 30 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Evgeniya fired 32 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Tomljanovic | Rodina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 0 |
| 1st in | 41/69 | 56/74 |
| %1st in | 59% | 76% |
| 1st pts | 30/41 | 32/56 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 57% |
| 2nd pts | 15/28 | 9/18 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 50% |
Tomljanovic made 5 aces . Rodina didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Tomljanovic won 73% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Rodina won 57% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Tomljanovic | Rodina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 6 |
| Converted | 4/7 | 6/9 |
| % Converted | 57% | 67% |
| Conceded | 4 | 8 |
| Saved | 2 | 6 |
| % Saved | 50% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
The Australian broke her opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Tomljanovic conceded her serve twice and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. The Russian broke her opponent 6 times with a 67% conversion rate. Rodina conceded her serve twice and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded.
| Tomljanovic | |||
| R1 Muchova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 76-65 | 76-65 | |
| Total points | 141 | 141 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 41/69 | 41/69 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 30/41 | 30/41 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/28 | 15/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Rodina | |||
| R1 Trevisan |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 72-64 | 72-64 | |
| Total points | 136 | 136 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 56/74 | 56/74 | |
| % 1st in | 76% | 76% | |
| 1st pts | 32/56 | 32/56 | |
| % 1st pts | 57% | 57% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/18 | 9/18 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/9 | 6/9 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
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