Alex De Minaur and Cristian Garin will face off in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 11:00 am on Court 5. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 3 sets.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.131
Cristian Garin -> 5.9
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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Cristian Garin
This will be the 5th time that Alex De Minaur and Cristian Garin face off. The head to head is 3-1 for De Minaur (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Garin won 2-6 5-7 7-6(3) 6-4 7-6(6) in the 4th round in at the Wimbledon back in July 2022.
Highlights Cristian Garin vs Alex De Minaur – Wimbledon 04-July-2022
Alex De Minaur
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 56-24 | 30-11 | 10-5 | 13-6 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 47-21 | 19-6 | 10-5 | 11-9 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 26-12 | 4-5 | 10-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-25 | 19-10 | 9-6 | 12-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-25 | 10-10 | 4-5 | 3-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 20, Alex reached the 2nd round after defeating Filip Krajinovic 7-5 6-2 6-3.
In the 1st round, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Krajinovic (7-5 6-2 6-3). During the match, De Minaur scored 92 points vs Krajinovic’s 71. Alex was exceptionally aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Regarding the service games, De Minaur fired 6 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Alex De Minaur was extremely effective on serve to win 71% (25/35) of his 1st serve and 52% (23/44) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 4 times. The Australian broke Krajinovic 8 times after converting 57% of his break points (8/14).
De Minaur has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 63% of his matches (261-155). 18-8 on hard in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, De Minaur has a composed125-66 match record in the last 8 years on hard.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in in Atlanta where he defeated Jenson Brooksby in the final 6-3 6-3.
Alex has a composed 36-19 win-loss record in 2022, 18-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Cristian Garin
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 49-22 | 6-6 | 39-13 | 1-1 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 21-24 | 3-6 | 13-14 | 1-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-25 | 22-12 | 18-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-23 | 4-5 | 9-11 | 1-4 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 21-18 | 2-6 | 15-9 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 82, Christian got to the 2nd round after defeating Jiri Lehecka 3-6 7-63 7-5 6-1.
In the 1st round against Lehecka, The Chilean recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-63 7-5 6-1). During the match Garin scored 133 points vs Lehecka’s 121. Christian was pretty aggressive to blast 50 winners.
About the serving games, Garin recorded 6 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Cristian Garin lost the serve 5 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Garin put 52% of his first serves in, winning 70% (50/71) of the points behind his 1st serve and 57% (37/65) on the 2nd serve. Christian broke Lehecka 6 times after converting 38% of his break points (6/16).
Christian’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Houston.
Garin has an overall 17-18 win-loss record in 2022, 4-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2019, 2020 and 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | De Minaur | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 29 | 41 |
| Pts | 92-71 | 133-121 |
| Total Points | 163 | 254 |
| Winners | 25 | 50 |
| %Winners | 27% | 38% |
Both De Minaur and Garin played 1 match. At the moment, Cristian Garin surrendered 1 set while Alex De Minaur hasn’t lost a set so far. De Minaur has played 1 set(s) less than Garin (3 vs 4). Therefore, De Minaur played 12 games less than Garin. The Australian scored 25 winners (27% of the total points). On the other side, The Chilean scored 50 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | De Minaur | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 6 |
| 1st in | 35/79 | 71/136 |
| %1st in | 44% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 25/35 | 50/71 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 23/44 | 37/65 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 57% |
De Minaur struck 6 aces . Garin managed to score 6 aces . De Minaur won 71% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Garin won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | De Minaur | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 6 |
| Converted | 8/14 | 6/16 |
| % Converted | 57% | 38% |
| Conceded | 8 | 14 |
| Saved | 4 | 9 |
| % Saved | 50% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 5 |
Alex broke his opponent 8 times with a 57% conversion rate. Alex conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The Chilean broke his opponent 6 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Chilean conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.
| De Minaur | |||
| R1 Krajinovic | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 92-71 | 92-71 | |
| Total points | 163 | 163 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 27% | 27% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 35/79 | 35/79 | |
| % 1st in | 44% | 44% | |
| 1st pts | 25/35 | 25/35 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/44 | 23/44 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 8 | 8 | |
| Converted | 8/14 | 8/14 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 4/8 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Garin | |||
| R1 Lehecka | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 7-63 7-5 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 41 | 41 | |
| pts | 133-121 | 133-121 | |
| Total points | 254 | 254 | |
| Winners | 50 | 50 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 71/136 | 71/136 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 50/71 | 50/71 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 37/65 | 37/65 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/16 | 6/16 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 14 | 14 | |
| Saved | 9/14 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 64% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | |
Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- John IsnerIsner – Federico DelbonisDelbonis (6-3 6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Peter GojowczykGojowczyk (6-2 6-4 7-65) – See score progression
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Pavel KotovKotov (7-64 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Joao SousaSousa – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (1-6 7-64 7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Daniel EvansEvans – Jiri VeselyVesely (6-4 6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- James DuckworthDuckworth – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (4-6 7-60 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Steve JohnsonJohnson (6-3 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Sebastian BaezBaez (7-5 7-5 2-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Benoit PairePaire (6-0 7-61 6-0) – See score progression
- Richard GasquetGasquet – Taro DanielDaniel (6-4 6-71 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (6-0 6-1 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Yibing WuWu – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (6-3 6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Kyle EdmundEdmund (6-3 7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Dominic ThiemThiem (7-5 6-1 5-7 6-3) – See score progression
- Tim Van RijthovenVan Rijthoven – Zhizhen ZhangZhang (3-6 6-74 7-69 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Hugo GrenierGrenier – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (4-6 6-2 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Maxime CressyCressy (6-74 7-5 5-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Alexander RitschardRitschard (6-3 6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Denis KudlaKudla (3-6 6-1 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (6-4 7-67 ret.) – See score progression
- Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Tomas MachacMachac (3-6 7-63 6-1 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Ben SheltonShelton (7-66 3-6 7-65 6-78 6-3) – See score progression
- Emilio NavaNava – John MillmanMillman (7-67 4-6 7-64 1-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (6-4 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Benjamin BonziBonzi – Ugo HumbertHumbert (7-61 6-1 5-7 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Andy MurrayMurray – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (7-5 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (6-3 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Jeff WolfWolf – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (6-4 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (6-1 6-4 6-73 6-1) – See score progression
- Cristian GarinGarin – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (3-6 7-63 7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Stefan KozlovKozlov (6-2 6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – Alex MolcanMolcan (6-4 4-6 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Quentin HalysHalys (4-6 7-64 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Brandon HoltHolt – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (6-73 7-61 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Facundo BagnisBagnis (5-7 7-63 7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles (4-6 6-3 2-6 6-0 7-5) – See score progression
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (2-6 1-6 6-2 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Nicolas JarryJarry (6-2 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Pedro CachinCachin – Aljaz BedeneBedene (6-4 6-3 5-7 1-6 7-66) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Filip KrajinovicKrajinovic (7-5 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Nick KyrgiosKyrgios – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (6-3 6-4 7-64) – See score progression
- Alexander BublikBublik – Hugo GastonGaston (6-4 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Steve JohnsonJohnson (6-3 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Pavel KotovKotov (7-6(4) 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- James DuckworthDuckworth – Christopher O’ConnellO’Connell (4-6 7-6(0) 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Daniel EvansEvans – Jiri VeselyVesely (6-4 6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Federico CoriaCoria – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (7-5 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Sebastian BaezBaez (7-5 7-5 2-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Benoit PairePaire (6-0 7-6(1) 6-0) – See score progression
- Joao SousaSousa – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (1-6 7-6(4) 7-6(4) 6-3) – See score progression
- John IsnerIsner – Federico DelbonisDelbonis (6-3 6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Peter GojowczykGojowczyk (6-2 6-4 7-6(5)) – See score progression
- Richard GasquetGasquet – Taro DanielDaniel (6-4 6-7(1) 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Fernando VerdascoVerdasco – Soon-Woo KwonKwon (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andy MurrayMurray – Emilio NavaNava (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sam QuerreyQuerrey – Ilya IvashkaIvashka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- John IsnerIsner – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marin CilicCilic – Maximilian MartererMarterer (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Gijs BrouwerBrouwer (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- David GoffinGoffin – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- James DuckworthDuckworth – Daniel EvansEvans (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Alexander BublikBublik (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler – Mikael YmerYmer (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Jack SockSock (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Norbert GombosGombos – Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Federico CoriaCoria – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marcos GironGiron – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Nick KyrgiosKyrgios – Benjamin BonziBonzi (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Laslo DjereDjere – Andrey RublevRublev (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Christian GarinGarin – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Borna CoricCoric – Enzo CouacaudCouacaud (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Oscar OtteOtte (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Jordan ThompsonThompson (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero – Christopher EubanksEubanks (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Joao SousaSousa (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hugo GrenierGrenier – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Jannik SinnerSinner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Sebastian KordaKorda (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Tim Van RijthovenVan Rijthoven – Casper RuudRuud (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Jeff WolfWolf (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Yibing WuWu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Dusan LajovicLajovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon HoltHolt – Pedro CachinCachin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Rinky HijikataHijikata – Rafael NadalNadal (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-0) – H2H and prediction