Alex De Minaur and Cristian Garin will face off in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 11:00 am on Court 5. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.131
Cristian Garin -> 5.9

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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Cristian Garin

This will be the 5th time that Alex De Minaur and Cristian Garin face off. The head to head is 3-1 for De Minaur (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Garin won 2-6 5-7 7-6(3) 6-4 7-6(6) in the 4th round in at the Wimbledon back in July 2022.

Highlights Cristian Garin vs Alex De Minaur – Wimbledon 04-July-2022

Alex De Minaur

Alex De Minaur

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
7
High
6
LWLLLWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 56-24 30-11 10-5 13-6 3-2 0-0
2024 47-21 19-6 10-5 11-9 7-1 0-0
2023 46-26 26-12 4-5 10-6 6-3 0-0
2022 47-25 19-10 9-6 12-5 7-4 0-0
2021 25-25 10-10 4-5 3-7 8-3 0-0

Ranked no. 20, Alex reached the 2nd round after defeating Filip Krajinovic 7-5 6-2 6-3.

In the 1st round, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Krajinovic (7-5 6-2 6-3). During the match, De Minaur scored 92 points vs Krajinovic’s 71. Alex was exceptionally aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Regarding the service games, De Minaur fired 6 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Alex De Minaur was extremely effective on serve to win 71% (25/35) of his 1st serve and 52% (23/44) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 4 times. The Australian broke Krajinovic 8 times after converting 57% of his break points (8/14).

De Minaur has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 63% of his matches (261-155). 18-8 on hard in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, De Minaur has a composed125-66 match record in the last 8 years on hard.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title in in Atlanta where he defeated Jenson Brooksby in the final 6-3 6-3.

Alex has a composed 36-19 win-loss record in 2022, 18-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
De Minaur's Record

Cristian Garin

Cristian Garin

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
80
High
17
WWWWWLWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 49-22 6-6 39-13 1-1 3-2 0-0
2024 21-24 3-6 13-14 1-1 4-3 0-0
2023 41-25 22-12 18-12 1-1 0-0 0-0
2022 18-23 4-5 9-11 1-4 4-3 0-0
2021 21-18 2-6 15-9 1-2 3-1 0-0

Ranked no. 82, Christian got to the 2nd round after defeating Jiri Lehecka 3-6 7-63 7-5 6-1.

In the 1st round against Lehecka, The Chilean recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-63 7-5 6-1). During the match Garin scored 133 points vs Lehecka’s 121. Christian was pretty aggressive to blast 50 winners.

About the serving games, Garin recorded 6 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Cristian Garin lost the serve 5 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Garin put 52% of his first serves in, winning 70% (50/71) of the points behind his 1st serve and 57% (37/65) on the 2nd serve. Christian broke Lehecka 6 times after converting 38% of his break points (6/16).

Christian’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Houston.

Garin has an overall 17-18 win-loss record in 2022, 4-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2019, 2020 and 2021. See his history.

U.S. Open
Garin's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

A.De Minaur
C.Garin
2h:00
2h:00
Time on court​
!
3h:07
3h:07
2h:00
2h:00
Last match​
!
3h:07
3h:07
1
1
Match played
1
1
29
29
Games Played​
41
41
3
3
Set played​​
4
4
92
92
Total points​
133
133
92
92
Avg point​
133
133
25
25
Winners
50
50
25
25
Avg Winners​
50
50
27%
27%
Ratio winners
38%
38%
-- Serve --
6
6
Aces
6
6
6
6
Avg Aces
6
6
6
6
Double Faults
5
5
!
6
6
Avg Double Faults
5
5
25/35
25/35
1st won total​
50/71
50/71
!
71%
71%
1st won %
70%
70%
23/44
23/44
2nd won total​
37/65
37/65
52%
52%
2nd won %
57%
57%
-- Break Points --
8/14
8/14
BP won
6/16
6/16
8/14
8/14
Avg BP won
6/16
6/16
!
57%
57%
Won
38%
38%
8
8
Conceded
14
14
8
8
Avg Conceded
14
14
4
4
Broken
5
5
4
4
Avg Broken
!
5
5
4
4
Saved
9
9

Matches, sets, games and points

Points De Minaur Garin
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 4
Tot Games 29 41
Pts 92-71 133-121
Total Points 163 254
Winners 25 50
%Winners 27% 38%

Both De Minaur and Garin played 1 match. At the moment, Cristian Garin surrendered 1 set while Alex De Minaur hasn’t lost a set so far. De Minaur has played 1 set(s) less than Garin (3 vs 4). Therefore, De Minaur played 12 games less than Garin. The Australian scored 25 winners (27% of the total points). On the other side, The Chilean scored 50 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve De Minaur Garin
Aces 6 6
Avg per match 6 6
1st in 35/79 71/136
%1st in 44% 52%
1st pts 25/35 50/71
%1st pts 71% 70%
2nd pts 23/44 37/65
%2nd pts 52% 57%

De Minaur struck 6 aces . Garin managed to score 6 aces . De Minaur won 71% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Garin won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks De Minaur Garin
Won 8 6
Converted 8/14 6/16
% Converted 57% 38%
Conceded 8 14
Saved 4 9
% Saved 50% 64%
Times Broken 4 5

Alex broke his opponent 8 times with a 57% conversion rate. Alex conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The Chilean broke his opponent 6 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Chilean conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.

De Minaur
R1
Krajinovic
Total
Score 7-5 6-2 6-3
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 29 29
pts 92-71 92-71
Total points 163 163
Winners 25 25
%Winners 27% 27%
SERVE
Aces 6 6
Double Faults 6 6
1st in 35/79 35/79
% 1st in 44% 44%
1st pts 25/35 25/35
% 1st pts 71% 71%
2nd pts 23/44 23/44
% 2nd pts 52% 52%
Breaks
Won 8 8
Converted 8/14 8/14
Converted % 57% 57%
Conceded 8 8
Saved 4/8 4
Saved % 50% 50%
Times Broken 4 4
Garin
R1
Lehecka
Total
Score 3-6 7-63 7-5 6-1
Tot Set 4 4
Tot Games 41 41
pts 133-121 133-121
Total points 254 254
Winners 50 50
%Winners 38% 38%
SERVE
Aces 6 6
Double Faults 5 5
1st in 71/136 71/136
% 1st in 52% 52%
1st pts 50/71 50/71
% 1st pts 70% 70%
2nd pts 37/65 37/65
% 2nd pts 57% 57%
Breaks
Won 6 6
Converted 6/16 6/16
Converted % 38% 38%
Conceded 14 14
Saved 9/14 9
Saved % 64% 64%
Times Broken 5 5

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

Upcoming matches in the draw