Matteo Berrettini and Hugo Grenier will square off in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 1:00 pm on Grandstand. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Berrettini who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Matteo Berrettini is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Berrettini -> 1.138
Hugo Grenier -> 5.75

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Prediction and head to head Matteo Berrettini vs. Hugo Grenier

This will be the 2nd time that Matteo Berrettini and Hugo Grenier square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Berrettini (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Berrettini won 6-3 4-6 6-3 in the 1st round in the Segovia Challenger back in 2017.

Matteo Berrettini

Matteo Berrettini

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
56
High
6
WWWLWWLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 22-17 10-9 4-3 8-4 0-1 0-0
2024 36-13 7-6 15-1 8-3 6-3 0-0
2023 14-12 9-10 2-0 0-0 3-2 0-0
2022 32-12 15-9 4-2 4-1 9-0 0-0
2021 41-12 14-5 13-4 3-2 11-1 0-0

Ranked no. 14, the Italian reached the 2nd round after defeating Nicolas Jarry 6-2 6-3 6-3.

In the 1st round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Jarry (6-2 6-3 6-3). During the match, Berrettini scored 87 points vs Jarry’s 62. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 39 winners.

Regarding the service games, Berrettini bagged 10 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Matteo Berrettini was exceptionally effective on serve to win 87% (39/45) of his 1st serve and 60% (15/25) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Berrettini broke Jarry 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).

Berrettini has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 67% of his matches (270-133). 9-7 on hard in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Berrettini has an overall115-57 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in in Stuttgart where he defeated Andy Murray in the final 6-4 5-7 6-3 and in in London where he beat Filip Krajinovic in the final 7-5 6-4.

Berrettini has a compiled 22-9 win-loss record in 2022, 9-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
Berrettini's Record

Hugo Grenier

Hugo Grenier

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
173
High
95
LWWLWWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 41-34 30-18 0-2 9-9 2-5 0-0
2024 39-33 25-15 2-8 9-8 3-2 0-0
2023 27-33 15-8 7-10 4-11 1-4 0-0
2022 35-35 21-14 9-10 1-8 4-3 0-0
2021 43-28 22-9 9-8 12-11 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 119 (career-high), Hugo got to the 2nd round after beating Giulio Zeppieri 1-6 6-3 6-4, Francesco Passaro 7-612 6-1 and Tomas Martin Etcheverry 4-6 6-2 6-3 6-4.

In the 1st round against Martin Etcheverry, Grenier recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-2 6-3 6-4). During the match Grenier scored 112 points vs Martin Etcheverry’s 94. Hugo was pretty aggressive to blast 53 winners.

Talking about serving, Grenier managed to score 9 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Hugo Grenier was quite efficient on serve to win 83% (53/64) of his 1st serve and 59% (26/44) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The French player broke Martin Etcheverry 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Hugo’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Segovia Challenger.

Grenier has an aggregate 28-26 win-loss record in 2022, 15-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2021. See his history.

U.S. Open
Grenier's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

M.Berrettini
H.Grenier
2h:04
2h:04
Time on court​
!
9h:11
9h:11
!
2h:04
2h:04
Last match​
!
2h:58
2h:58
1
1
Match played
!
4
4
26
26
Games Played​
111
111
3
3
Set played​​
12
12
87
87
Total points​
363
363
87
87
Avg point​
90.8
90.8
39
39
Winners
163
163
39
39
Avg Winners​
40.8
40.8
45%
45%
Ratio winners
45%
45%
-- Serve --
10
10
Aces
34
34
10
10
Avg Aces
8.5
8.5
1
1
Double Faults
16
16
1
1
Avg Double Faults
4
4
39/45
39/45
1st won total​
163/209
163/209
!
87%
87%
1st won %
!
78%
78%
15/25
15/25
2nd won total​
74/142
74/142
60%
60%
2nd won %
52%
52%
-- Break Points --
5/10
5/10
BP won
12/26
12/26
5/10
5/10
Avg BP won
3/6.5
3/6.5
50%
50%
Won
46%
46%
0
0
Conceded
25
25
0
0
Avg Conceded
6.3
6.3
0
0
Broken
8
8
!
0
0
Avg Broken
2
2
0
0
Saved
17
17

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Berrettini Grenier
Match played 1 3
Tot Set 3 9
Tot Games 26 83
Pts 87-62 280-244
Total Points 149 524
Winners 39 129
%Winners 45% 46%

Berrettini played 1 match while Grenier competed in 3 matches. Grenier started his run from the qualifications while Berrettini had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Hugo Grenier lost 2 sets while Matteo Berrettini hasn’t dropped a set so far. Berrettini has played 6 set(s) less than Grenier (3 vs 9). Therefore, Berrettini played 57 games less than Grenier. Berrettini scored 39 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Hugo bagged 129 winners (46%).

Serve Performance

Serve Berrettini Grenier
Aces 10 27
Avg per match 10 9
1st in 45/70 158/268
%1st in 64% 59%
1st pts 39/45 129/158
%1st pts 87% 82%
2nd pts 15/25 60/110
%2nd pts 60% 55%

Berrettini made 10 aces . Grenier recorded 27 aces (9 per match). Berrettini won 87% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Grenier won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Berrettini Grenier
Won 5 8
Converted 5/10 8/20
% Converted 50% 40%
Conceded 0 15
Saved 0 12
% Saved 0% 80%
Times Broken 0 3

Matteo broke his opponent 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. Matteo very solid his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points. Grenier broke his opponents 8 times with a 40% conversion rate. Grenier conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.

Berrettini
R1
Jarry
Total
Score 6-2 6-3 6-3
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 26 26
pts 87-62 87-62
Total points 149 149
Winners 39 39
%Winners 45% 45%
SERVE
Aces 10 10
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 45/70 45/70
% 1st in 64% 64%
1st pts 39/45 39/45
% 1st pts 87% 87%
2nd pts 15/25 15/25
% 2nd pts 60% 60%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/10 5/10
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 0 0
Saved 0/0 0
Saved % 0%
Times Broken 0 0
Grenier
Q1
Zeppieri
Q2
Passaro
Q3
Gombos
R1
Martin
Total
Score 1-6 6-3 6-4 7-612 6-1 6-4 3-6 6-3 4-6 6-2 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 3 2 3 4 12
Tot Games 26 20 28 37 111
pts 91-90 77-60 112-94 280-244
Total points 181 137 0 206 524
Winners 39 37 53 129
%Winners 43% 48% 0% 47% 46%
SERVE
Aces 11 7 0 9 27
Double Faults 6 2 5 13
1st in 53/95 41/65 / 64/108 158/268
% 1st in 56% 63% 0% 59% 59%
1st pts 39/53 37/41 / 53/64 129/158
% 1st pts 74% 90% 0% 83% 82%
2nd pts 21/42 13/24 / 26/44 60/110
% 2nd pts 50% 54% 0% 59% 55%
Breaks
Won 2 2 4 8
Converted 2/8 2/6 / 4/6 8/20
Converted % 25% 33% 0% 67% 40%
Conceded 12 1 2 15
Saved 10/12 1/1 0/ 1/2 12
Saved % 83% 100% 50% 233%
Times Broken 2 0 1 3

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

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