H2H, PREDICTION Madison Keys vs Camila Giorgi | U.S. Open odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. New York. Keys and Giorgi will face off in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match

By
Mark Hall
-
Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Camila Giorgi

Madison Keys and Camila Giorgi will play each other in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 1:00 pm on Louis Armstrong Stadium. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Madison Keys is the pick to win this match.
Madison Keys -> 1.44
Camila Giorgi -> 2.79

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Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Camila Giorgi

This will be the 7th time that Madison Keys and Camila Giorgi play each other. The head to head is 4-2 for Keys (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Keys won 6-2 6-2 in the 2nd round in Cincinnati back in 2018.

Madison Keys

Madison Keys
Madison Keys

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
7
High
5
LLLLWWLWWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 37-15 24-6 9-4 0-2 4-3 0-0
2024 24-12 7-6 13-4 0-0 4-2 0-0
2023 33-15 19-9 5-3 0-2 9-1 0-0
2022 30-20 25-12 4-4 0-3 1-1 0-0
2021 11-15 3-9 3-4 0-0 5-2 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 20, Keys reached the 2nd round after defeating Dayana Yastremska 7-63 6-3.

In the 1st round, The American had a good straight sets win against Yastremska (7-63 6-3). During the match, Keys scored 83 points vs Yastremska’s 73. The American was exceptionally aggressive to blast 44 winners.

Talking about the service games, Keys bagged 4 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Madison Keys lost the serve twice and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Keys put 72% of her first serves in, winning 68% (44/65) of the points behind her 1st serve and 40% (10/25) on the 2nd serve. Madison broke Yastremska 3 times after converting 50% of her break points (3/6).

Keys has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 63% of her matches (261-152). 20-9 on hard in 2022. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Keys has an overall 155-91 match record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the year was winning the title in in Adelaide where she defeated Alison Riske in the final 6-1 6-2.

Keys has an overall 25-14 win-loss record in 2022, 20-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Keys
U.S. Open
Keys's Record

Camila Giorgi

Camila Giorgi
Camila Giorgi

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
116
High
26
LWLWLLLLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 3-6 3-5 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0
2023 23-18 14-9 3-3 2-2 4-4 0-0
2022 16-16 7-6 3-4 0-2 6-4 0-0
2021 26-17 14-9 3-4 2-1 7-3 0-0
2020 17-13 8-6 4-4 5-3 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 67, the Italian got to the 2nd round after beating Anna Bondar 4-6 6-3 6-1.

In the 1st round against Bondar, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-1). During the match Giorgi scored 89 points vs Bondar’s 66. Giorgi was very aggressive to blast 34 winners.

About the serving games, Giorgi scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 8 double faults. Camila Giorgi lost the serve 3 times. Furthermore, Giorgi put 61% of her first serves in, winning 79% (34/43) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (13/28) on the 2nd serve. Camila broke Bondar 6 times after converting 50% of her break points (6/12).

Giorgi’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Eastbourne.

Camila has a composed 16-15 win-loss record in 2022, 7-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the 4th round in 2013. See her history.

Giorgi
U.S. Open
Giorgi's Record
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Soccer Tonic

H2H Performance in the tournament

M.Keys
C.Giorgi
1h:43
1h:43
Time on court​
1h:42
1h:42
1h:43
1h:43
Last match​
1h:42
1h:42
1
1
Match played
1
1
22
22
Games Played​
26
26
2
2
Set played​​
3
3
83
83
Total points​
89
89
83
83
Avg point​
89
89
44
44
Winners
34
34
44
44
Avg Winners​
34
34
53%
53%
Ratio winners
38%
38%
-- Serve --
4
4
Aces
1
1
4
4
Avg Aces
1
1
4
4
Double Faults
8
8
4
4
Avg Double Faults
!
8
8
44/65
44/65
1st won total​
34/43
34/43
68%
68%
1st won %
!
79%
79%
10/25
10/25
2nd won total​
13/28
13/28
40%
40%
2nd won %
46%
46%
-- Break Points --
3/6
3/6
BP won
6/12
6/12
3/6
3/6
Avg BP won
6/12
6/12
50%
50%
Won
50%
50%
6
6
Conceded
3
3
6
6
Avg Conceded
3
3
2
2
Broken
3
3
2
2
Avg Broken
3
3
4
4
Saved
0
0
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Keys Giorgi
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 3
Tot Games 22 26
Pts 83-73 89-66
Total Points 156 155
Winners 44 34
%Winners 53% 38%

Both Keys and Giorgi played 1 match. At the moment, Camila Giorgi dropped 1 set while Madison Keys hasn’t lost a set so far. Keys has played 1 set(s) less than Giorgi (2 vs 3). Therefore, Keys played 4 games less than Giorgi. Keys scored 44 winners (53% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian bagged 34 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve Keys Giorgi
Aces 4 1
Avg per match 4 1
1st in 65/90 43/71
%1st in 72% 61%
1st pts 44/65 34/43
%1st pts 68% 79%
2nd pts 10/25 13/28
%2nd pts 40% 46%

Keys scored 4 aces . Giorgi bagged 1 ace . Keys won 68% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 40% of the points. On the other side, Giorgi won 79% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 46% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Keys Giorgi
Won 3 6
Converted 3/6 6/12
% Converted 50% 50%
Conceded 6 3
Saved 4 0
% Saved 67% 0%
Times Broken 2 3

The American broke her opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. The American dropped her serve twice and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. The Italian broke her opponent 6 times with a 50% conversion rate. Giorgi conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 0% of the break points that she conceded.

Keys
R1
Yastremska		 Total
Score 7-63 6-3
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 22 22
pts 83-73 83-73
Total points 156 156
Winners 44 44
%Winners 53% 53%
SERVE
Aces 4 4
Double Faults 4 4
1st in 65/90 65/90
% 1st in 72% 72%
1st pts 44/65 44/65
% 1st pts 68% 68%
2nd pts 10/25 10/25
% 2nd pts 40% 40%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/6 3/6
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 6 6
Saved 4/6 4
Saved % 67% 67%
Times Broken 2 2
Giorgi
R1
Bondar		 Total
Score 4-6 6-3 6-1
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 26 26
pts 89-66 89-66
Total points 155 155
Winners 34 34
%Winners 38% 38%
SERVE
Aces 1 1
Double Faults 8 8
1st in 43/71 43/71
% 1st in 61% 61%
1st pts 34/43 34/43
% 1st pts 79% 79%
2nd pts 13/28 13/28
% 2nd pts 46% 46%
Breaks
Won 6 6
Converted 6/12 6/12
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 3 3
Saved 0/3 0
Saved % 0% 0%
Times Broken 3 3

Head 2 Head

Madison Keys
  • 1Slam
  • 11Main
  • 2ITF
  • 1Minor
Camila Giorgi
  • 0Slam
  • 4Main
  • 5ITF
  • 0Minor

Madison
Keys

5:2

Camila
Giorgi

Rank

7

High

5

3Hard0

1Clay0

1I.hard1

0Grass1

Rank

116

High

26

Win Loss
Keys
LLLLWWLWWW
Giorgi
2025 2024 2023
37 - 15
0 - 0
24-6
Hard
0-0
9-4
Clay
0-0
4-3
Grass
0-0

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

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Upcoming matches in the draw

Keys Madison Keys
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Giorgi Camila Giorgi