Daria Kasatkina and Daria Saville will fight against each other in the final of the Championnats Banque Nationale for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 3:00 pm on Court Central. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daria Kasatkina who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daria Kasatkina is the pick to win this match.
Daria Kasatkina -> 1.37
Daria Saville -> 3.2
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Prediction and head to head Daria Kasatkina vs. Daria Saville
This will be the 3rd time that Daria Kasatkina and Daria Saville clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Kasatkina (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Kasatkina won 6-3 4-6 6-0 in the 3rd round in Charleston back in 2017.
Daria Kasatkina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 40-23 | 24-16 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-25 | 19-15 | 12-6 | 2-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-22 | 24-14 | 12-5 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-19 | 19-10 | 5-5 | 7-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-14 | 7-8 | 5-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 10, Darya got to the final after beating Greetje Minnen 6-74 6-4 6-2, Magdalena Frech 6-3 6-2, Nuria Parrizas-Diaz 6-3 6-2 and Diane Parry 6-2 6-0.
In the semifinal, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Parry (6-2 6-0). During the match, Kasatkina scored 58 points vs Parry’s 28. Darya was extremely aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Regarding the service games, Kasatkina scored just 1 ace in the course of the match and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Daria Kasatkina was exceptionally effective on serve to win 88% (22/25) of her 1st serve and 56% (5/9) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Darya broke Parry 6 times after converting 55% of her break points (6/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kasatkina has dropped 1 set in this tournament to win 57% of the points she played.
Kasatkina has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 65% of her matches (301-163). 20-9 on hard in 2022. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Kasatkina has an overall 125-86 record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in in San Jose where she defeated Shelby Rogers in the final 6-7(2) 6-1 6-2.
Kasatkina has an aggregate 36-16 win-loss record in 2022, 20-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Granby
Kasatkina has never competed in this tournament before.
Daria Saville
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-22 | 11-9 | 8-8 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 12-13 | 6-8 | 5-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 25-20 | 20-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 3-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 73, the Australian reached the final after beating Anna Schmiedlova 6-3 6-3, Katherine Sebov 6-1 6-0, Xiyu Wang 6-3 6-0 and Marta Kostyuk w/o.
In the semifinal, Gavrilova defeated Kostyuk (w/o). During the match Gavrilova and Kostyuk scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 10 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Gavrilova was not very aggressive do strike just winners.
Talking about serving, Gavrilova couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Daria Saville conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of her first serves in, win 0% (/) of the points behind her 1st serve and 0% (/) on the 2nd serve.
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Australian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 61% of the points she played.
Daria’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Washington and Granby.
Gavrilova has a composed 25-17 win-loss record in 2022, 20-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kasatkina | Gavrilova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 79 | 46 |
| Pts | 301-227 | 181-118 |
| Total Points | 528 | 299 |
| Winners | 127 | 70 |
| %Winners | 42% | 39% |
Kasatkina played 4 matches while Gavrilova competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Daria Kasatkina conceded 1 set while Daria Saville hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Kasatkina has played 3 sets more than Gavrilova (9 vs 6). Therefore, Kasatkina played 33 games more than Gavrilova. The Russian scored 127 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The Australian bagged 70 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kasatkina | Gavrilova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 2 |
| 1st in | 186/264 | 99/149 |
| %1st in | 70% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 127/186 | 70/99 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 31/78 | 27/50 |
| %2nd pts | 40% | 54% |
Kasatkina scored 4 aces (1 per match). Gavrilova struck 6 aces (2 per match). Kasatkina won 68% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 40% of the points. On the other side, Gavrilova won 71% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kasatkina | Gavrilova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 25 | 16 |
| Converted | 25/40 | 16/28 |
| % Converted | 63% | 57% |
| Conceded | 24 | 13 |
| Saved | 15 | 10 |
| % Saved | 63% | 77% |
| Times Broken | 9 | 3 |
The Russian broke her opponents 25 times with a 63% conversion rate. The Russian dropped her serve 9 times and she saved 63% of the break points that she conceded. Daria broke her opponents 16 times with a 57% conversion rate. Gavrilova conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 77% of the break points that she conceded.
| Kasatkina | ||||||
| R1 Minnen |
R2 Frech |
1/4 Parrizas-Diaz |
1/2 Parry |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-74 6-4 6-2 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-2 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 79 | |
| pts | 119-116 | 58-35 | 66-48 | 58-28 | 301-227 | |
| Total points | 235 | 93 | 114 | 86 | 528 | |
| Winners | 53 | 21 | 31 | 22 | 127 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 36% | 47% | 38% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 12 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 25 | |
| 1st in | 86/121 | 31/45 | 44/64 | 25/34 | 186/264 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 69% | 69% | 74% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 53/86 | 21/31 | 31/44 | 22/25 | 127/186 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 68% | 70% | 88% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/35 | 7/14 | 6/20 | 5/9 | 31/78 | |
| % 2nd pts | 37% | 50% | 30% | 56% | 40% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | |
| Converted | 7/14 | 6/7 | 6/8 | 6/11 | 25/40 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 86% | 75% | 55% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 24 | |
| Saved | 6/10 | 0/2 | 8/10 | 1/2 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 0% | 80% | 50% | 48% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | |
| Gavrilova | ||||||
| R1 Anna Schmiedlova |
R2 Sebov |
1/4 Wang |
1/2 Kostyuk |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 6-1 6-0 | 6-3 6-0 | w/o | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | – | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 13 | 15 | – | 46 | |
| pts | 71-52 | 52-27 | 58-39 | – | 181-118 | |
| Total points | 123 | 79 | 97 | – | 299 | |
| Winners | 29 | 15 | 26 | – | 70 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 29% | 45% | – | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 0 | 3 | – | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 1 | – | 5 | |
| 1st in | 43/64 | 21/36 | 35/49 | – | 99/149 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 58% | 71% | – | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 29/43 | 15/21 | 26/35 | – | 70/99 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 71% | 74% | – | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/21 | 11/15 | 6/14 | – | 27/50 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 73% | 43% | – | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 5 | – | 16 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 6/9 | 5/10 | – | 16/28 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 67% | 50% | – | 57% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 1 | 2 | – | 13 | |
| Saved | 8/10 | 1/1 | 1/2 | – | 10 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 100% | 50% | – | 58% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 1 | – | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWWLWL
LWLLWLLWWL Tennis Scores in Granby
- Gleb SakharovSakharov – Geoffrey BlancaneauxBlancaneaux (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Daria GavrilovaGavrilova (2-0) – H2H and prediction
