Pablo Carreno-Busta and Dominic Thiem will play each other in the 1st round of the U.S. Open for the 10th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 4:00 pm on Court 17. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pablo Carreno-Busta who should win in 4 sets.

As per the initial odds, Pablo Carreno-Busta is the pick to win this match.
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 1.27
Dominic Thiem -> 3.76

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Prediction and head to head Pablo Carreno-Busta vs. Dominic Thiem

This will be the 10th time that Pablo Carreno-Busta and Dominic Thiem face off. The head to head is 8-1 for Thiem (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Thiem won 5-0 ret. in the quarter in Vienna back in 2019.

Pablo Carreno-Busta

Pablo Carreno-Busta

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
89
High
10
LLWWWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 40-27 25-10 14-14 1-3 0-0 0-0
2024 10-12 7-6 2-4 1-1 0-1 0-0
2023 2-5 2-4 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0
2022 37-25 19-8 11-9 5-5 2-3 0-0
2021 38-18 14-8 17-4 5-4 2-2 0-0

Ranked no. 14, Pablo will start his run at the U.S. Open after he played his last match in Cincinnati where he lost 1-6 7-5 7-6(4) to Kecmanovic in the 1st round on the 16th of August.

Carreno-Busta has an overall 28-18 win-loss record in 2022, 15-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

His best result of the year was conquering the title in in Montreal where he beat Hubert Hurkacz in the final 3-6 6-3 6-3.

Talking about his overall career, The Spaniard has an overall 550-303 record. He has a positive 160-84 record on hard.

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2017 and 2020. See his history.

U.S. Open
Carreno-Busta's Record

Dominic Thiem

Dominic Thiem

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
524
High
3
LLLLLLWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 7-14 2-3 4-9 1-1 0-1 0-0
2023 27-30 1-5 18-15 8-8 0-2 0-0
2022 23-19 2-2 8-11 13-6 0-0 0-0
2021 9-9 5-4 4-4 0-0 0-1 0-0
2020 25-9 14-4 6-2 5-3 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 231, Thiem will start his run at the New York after he played his last match in Winston Salem where he lost 6-1 6-4 to Draper in the 3rd round on the 24th of August.

Thiem has an overall 10-12 win-loss record in 2022, 2-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

The Austrian’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Gstaad.

In terms of his career, Thiem has an overall 436-230 record. He has a positive 122-76 record on hard.

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, he won this tournament once in 2020. See his history.

U.S. Open
Thiem's Record

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

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