H2H, PREDICTION Daniel Elahi Galan vs Matteo Arnaldi | U.S. Open odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. New York. Elahi Galan Riveros and Arnaldi will fight against each other in the qualifications of the U.S. Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

Prediction and head to head Daniel Elahi Galan vs. Matteo Arnaldi

Daniel Elahi Galan and Matteo Arnaldi will play each other in the qualifications of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:00 pm on Court 6. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniel Elahi Galan who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Daniel Elahi Galan is the pick to win this match.
Daniel Elahi Galan -> 1.51
Matteo Arnaldi -> 2.49

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Prediction and head to head Daniel Elahi Galan vs. Matteo Arnaldi

There is no head to head record between Daniel Elahi Galan and Matteo Arnaldi since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Daniel Elahi Galan

Daniel Elahi Galan
Daniel Elahi Galan

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
153
High
56
LLLWLLWWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 32-27 6-6 26-19 0-0 0-2 0-0
2024 32-33 5-7 25-24 0-0 2-2 0-0
2023 32-34 4-12 23-19 0-1 5-2 0-0
2022 48-28 14-7 33-17 0-3 1-1 0-0
2021 28-32 6-9 19-16 1-4 2-3 0-0

Ranked no. 94 (career-high), Daniel reached the qualifications after defeating Luciano Darderi 6-3 6-2 and Max Purcell 7-66 6-4.

In the qualifications, The Colombian had a good straight sets win against Purcell (7-66 6-4). During the match, Elahi Galan Riveros scored 70 points vs Purcell’s 62. The Colombian was very aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Talking about the service games, Elahi Galan Riveros made 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Daniel Elahi Galan was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 85% (34/40) of his 1st serve and 70% (16/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Daniel broke Purcell once after converting 50% of his break points (1/2).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Elahi Galan Riveros started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to win 57% of the points he played.

Elahi Galan Riveros has a favorable win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (314-241). 7-4 on hard in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Elahi Galan Riveros has a composed 89-75 match record in the last years on hard.

The Colombian’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Concepcion Challenger and the Sarasota Challenger.

The Colombian has a composed 40-22 win-loss record in 2022, 7-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Elahi Galan Riveros
U.S. Open
Elahi Galan Riveros's Record

Matteo Arnaldi

Matteo Arnaldi
Matteo Arnaldi

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
61
High
30
LLWWWLLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 23-26 11-14 7-6 5-4 0-2 0-0
2024 29-26 17-13 10-9 1-2 1-2 0-0
2023 51-26 21-15 23-7 4-3 3-1 0-0
2022 50-35 9-3 37-20 4-11 0-1 0-0
2021 56-24 2-1 51-18 3-5 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 188, Arnaldi got to the qualifications after beating Ryan Peniston 6-2 2-6 6-2 and Gilles Simon 6-1 3-6 6-4.

In the qualifications, Arnaldi defeated Simon (6-1 3-6 6-4). During the match Arnaldi scored 107 points vs Simon’s 90. Matteo was very aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Talking about serving, Arnaldi fired 3 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Matteo Arnaldi lost the serve 5 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Arnaldi put 54% of his first serves in, winning 69% (34/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 40% (17/42) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Simon 7 times after converting 41% of his break points (7/17).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Arnaldi’s best result of the season was reaching the final in the Francavilla Challenger and the San Marino Challenger.

Matteo has an aggregate 34-23 win-loss record in 2022, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Arnaldi has never competed in this tournament before.

Arnaldi
U.S. Open
Arnaldi's Record
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H2H Performance in the tournament

D.Elahi Riveros
M.Arnaldi
2h:27
2h:27
Time on court​
!
4h:23
4h:23
1h:29
1h:29
Last match​
!
2h:23
2h:23
2
2
Match played
2
2
40
40
Games Played​
50
50
4
4
Set played​​
6
6
128
128
Total points​
187
187
64
64
Avg point​
93.5
93.5
63
63
Winners
62
62
31.5
31.5
Avg Winners​
31
31
49%
49%
Ratio winners
33%
33%
-- Serve --
15
15
Aces
6
6
7.5
7.5
Avg Aces
3
3
3
3
Double Faults
14
14
1.5
1.5
Avg Double Faults
!
7
7
63/73
63/73
1st won total​
62/93
62/93
!
86%
86%
1st won %
67%
67%
23/32
23/32
2nd won total​
27/75
27/75
!
72%
72%
2nd won %
!
36%
36%
-- Break Points --
4/7
4/7
BP won
14/29
14/29
2/3.5
2/3.5
Avg BP won
7/14.5
7/14.5
!
57%
57%
Won
48%
48%
0
0
Conceded
24
24
0
0
Avg Conceded
12
12
0
0
Broken
10
10
!
0
0
Avg Broken
!
5
5
0
0
Saved
14
14

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Elahi Galan Riveros Arnaldi
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 6
Tot Games 40 50
Pts 128-96 187-169
Total Points 224 356
Winners 63 62
%Winners 49% 33%

Both Elahi Galan Riveros and Arnaldi played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Matteo Arnaldi conceded 2 sets while Daniel Elahi Galan hasn’t conceded a set so far. Elahi Galan Riveros has played 2 set(s) less than Arnaldi (4 vs 6). Therefore, Elahi Galan Riveros played 10 games less than Arnaldi. The Colombian scored 63 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian blasted 62 winners (33%).

Serve Performance

Serve Elahi Galan Riveros Arnaldi
Aces 15 6
Avg per match 7.5 3
1st in 73/105 93/168
%1st in 70% 55%
1st pts 63/73 62/93
%1st pts 86% 67%
2nd pts 23/32 27/75
%2nd pts 72% 36%

Elahi Galan Riveros struck 15 aces (7.5 per match). Arnaldi scored 6 aces (3 per match). Elahi Galan Riveros won 86% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 72% of the points. On the other side, Arnaldi won 67% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 36% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Elahi Galan Riveros Arnaldi
Won 4 14
Converted 4/7 14/29
% Converted 57% 48%
Conceded 0 24
Saved 0 14
% Saved 0% 58%
Times Broken 0 10

Elahi Galan Riveros broke his opponents 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Elahi Galan Riveros quite strong on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 0 break points. Arnaldi broke his opponents 14 times with a 48% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 10 times and he saved 58% of the break points that he conceded.

Elahi Galan Riveros
Q1
Darderi
Q2
Purcell
Total
Score 6-3 6-2 7-66 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 17 23 40
pts 58-34 70-62 128-96
Total points 92 132 224
Winners 29 34 63
%Winners 50% 49% 49%
SERVE
Aces 10 5 15
Double Faults 0 3 3
1st in 33/42 40/63 73/105
% 1st in 79% 63% 70%
1st pts 29/33 34/40 63/73
% 1st pts 88% 85% 86%
2nd pts 7/9 16/23 23/32
% 2nd pts 78% 70% 72%
Breaks
Won 3 1 4
Converted 3/5 1/2 4/7
Converted % 60% 50% 57%
Conceded 0 0 0
Saved 0/0 0/0 0
Saved % 0%
Times Broken 0 0 0
Arnaldi
Q1
Peniston
Q2
Simon
Total
Score 6-2 2-6 6-2 6-1 3-6 6-4
Tot Set 3 3 6
Tot Games 24 26 50
pts 80-79 107-90 187-169
Total points 159 197 356
Winners 28 34 62
%Winners 35% 32% 33%
SERVE
Aces 3 3 6
Double Faults 7 7 14
1st in 44/77 49/91 93/168
% 1st in 57% 54% 55%
1st pts 28/44 34/49 62/93
% 1st pts 64% 69% 67%
2nd pts 10/33 17/42 27/75
% 2nd pts 30% 40% 36%
Breaks
Won 7 7 14
Converted 7/12 7/17 14/29
Converted % 58% 41% 48%
Conceded 11 13 24
Saved 6/11 8/13 14
Saved % 55% 62% 59%
Times Broken 5 5 10

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Elahi Galan
LLLWLLWWLL
Arnaldi
LLWWWLLWLW
2025 2024 2023
32 - 27
23 - 26
6-6
Hard
11-14
0-0
I Hard
5-4
26-19
Clay
7-6

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

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