
Daniel Elahi Galan and Matteo Arnaldi will play each other in the qualifications of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:00 pm on Court 6. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniel Elahi Galan who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniel Elahi Galan is the pick to win this match.
Daniel Elahi Galan -> 1.51
Matteo Arnaldi -> 2.49
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Prediction and head to head Daniel Elahi Galan vs. Matteo Arnaldi
There is no head to head record between Daniel Elahi Galan and Matteo Arnaldi since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Daniel Elahi Galan
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 32-27 | 6-6 | 26-19 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 32-33 | 5-7 | 25-24 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-34 | 4-12 | 23-19 | 0-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 48-28 | 14-7 | 33-17 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 28-32 | 6-9 | 19-16 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 94 (career-high), Daniel reached the qualifications after defeating Luciano Darderi 6-3 6-2 and Max Purcell 7-66 6-4.
In the qualifications, The Colombian had a good straight sets win against Purcell (7-66 6-4). During the match, Elahi Galan Riveros scored 70 points vs Purcell’s 62. The Colombian was very aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about the service games, Elahi Galan Riveros made 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Daniel Elahi Galan was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 85% (34/40) of his 1st serve and 70% (16/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Daniel broke Purcell once after converting 50% of his break points (1/2).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Elahi Galan Riveros started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to win 57% of the points he played.
Elahi Galan Riveros has a favorable win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (314-241). 7-4 on hard in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Elahi Galan Riveros has a composed 89-75 match record in the last years on hard.
The Colombian’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Concepcion Challenger and the Sarasota Challenger.
The Colombian has a composed 40-22 win-loss record in 2022, 7-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Matteo Arnaldi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23-26 | 11-14 | 7-6 | 5-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-26 | 17-13 | 10-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-26 | 21-15 | 23-7 | 4-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-35 | 9-3 | 37-20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-24 | 2-1 | 51-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 188, Arnaldi got to the qualifications after beating Ryan Peniston 6-2 2-6 6-2 and Gilles Simon 6-1 3-6 6-4.
In the qualifications, Arnaldi defeated Simon (6-1 3-6 6-4). During the match Arnaldi scored 107 points vs Simon’s 90. Matteo was very aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about serving, Arnaldi fired 3 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Matteo Arnaldi lost the serve 5 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Arnaldi put 54% of his first serves in, winning 69% (34/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 40% (17/42) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Simon 7 times after converting 41% of his break points (7/17).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Arnaldi’s best result of the season was reaching the final in the Francavilla Challenger and the San Marino Challenger.
Matteo has an aggregate 34-23 win-loss record in 2022, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Arnaldi has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Elahi Galan Riveros | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 40 | 50 |
| Pts | 128-96 | 187-169 |
| Total Points | 224 | 356 |
| Winners | 63 | 62 |
| %Winners | 49% | 33% |
Both Elahi Galan Riveros and Arnaldi played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Matteo Arnaldi conceded 2 sets while Daniel Elahi Galan hasn’t conceded a set so far. Elahi Galan Riveros has played 2 set(s) less than Arnaldi (4 vs 6). Therefore, Elahi Galan Riveros played 10 games less than Arnaldi. The Colombian scored 63 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian blasted 62 winners (33%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Elahi Galan Riveros | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 15 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 7.5 | 3 |
| 1st in | 73/105 | 93/168 |
| %1st in | 70% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 63/73 | 62/93 |
| %1st pts | 86% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 23/32 | 27/75 |
| %2nd pts | 72% | 36% |
Elahi Galan Riveros struck 15 aces (7.5 per match). Arnaldi scored 6 aces (3 per match). Elahi Galan Riveros won 86% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 72% of the points. On the other side, Arnaldi won 67% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 36% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Elahi Galan Riveros | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 14 |
| Converted | 4/7 | 14/29 |
| % Converted | 57% | 48% |
| Conceded | 0 | 24 |
| Saved | 0 | 14 |
| % Saved | 0% | 58% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 10 |
Elahi Galan Riveros broke his opponents 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Elahi Galan Riveros quite strong on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 0 break points. Arnaldi broke his opponents 14 times with a 48% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 10 times and he saved 58% of the break points that he conceded.
| Elahi Galan Riveros | ||||
| Q1 Darderi |
Q2 Purcell |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 7-66 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 23 | 40 | |
| pts | 58-34 | 70-62 | 128-96 | |
| Total points | 92 | 132 | 224 | |
| Winners | 29 | 34 | 63 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 49% | 49% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 10 | 5 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 33/42 | 40/63 | 73/105 | |
| % 1st in | 79% | 63% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 29/33 | 34/40 | 63/73 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 85% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/9 | 16/23 | 23/32 | |
| % 2nd pts | 78% | 70% | 72% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 1/2 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 50% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Arnaldi | ||||
| Q1 Peniston |
Q2 Simon |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 2-6 6-2 | 6-1 3-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 26 | 50 | |
| pts | 80-79 | 107-90 | 187-169 | |
| Total points | 159 | 197 | 356 | |
| Winners | 28 | 34 | 62 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 32% | 33% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 7 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 44/77 | 49/91 | 93/168 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 54% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 28/44 | 34/49 | 62/93 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 69% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/33 | 17/42 | 27/75 | |
| % 2nd pts | 30% | 40% | 36% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 7 | 7 | 14 | |
| Converted | 7/12 | 7/17 | 14/29 | |
| Converted % | 58% | 41% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 13 | 24 | |
| Saved | 6/11 | 8/13 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 55% | 62% | 59% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWLLWWLL
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