Tomas Machac and Jozef Kovalik will clash against each other in the qualifications of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 3:00 pm on Court 16. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tomas Machac who should win in 4 sets.

As per the initial odds, Tomas Machac is the pick to win this match.
Tomas Machac -> 1.26
Jozef Kovalik -> 3.7

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Prediction and head to head Tomas Machac vs. Jozef Kovalik

There is no head to head record between Tomas Machac and Jozef Kovalik since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Tomas Machac

Tomas Machac

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
32
High
20
LLLWLLWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 23-19 15-9 2-5 3-3 3-2 0-0
2024 37-24 22-11 9-5 5-6 1-2 0-0
2023 52-27 15-10 16-11 18-5 3-1 0-0
2022 47-19 24-6 5-2 18-10 0-0 0-1
2021 28-19 5-4 5-4 12-6 2-3 4-2

Ranked no. 126, Tomas got to the qualifications after beating Zdenek Kolar 7-5 4-6 6-1.

In the qualifications, The Czech defeated Kolar (7-5 4-6 6-1). During the match, Machac scored 90 points vs Kolar’s 75. The Czech was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Regarding the service games, Machac recorded 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Tomas Machac lost the serve 4 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Machac put 60% of his first serves in, winning 70% (37/53) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (16/35) on the 2nd serve. Tomas broke Kolar 6 times after converting 75% of his break points (6/8).

Machac has a solid win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 68% of his matches (150-70). 19-4 on hard in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Machac has a composed30-10 record in the last 6 years on hard.

Tomas’s best result of the season was reaching the final in the Traralgon Challenger and the Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger.

The Czech has a composed 29-9 win-loss record in 2022, 19-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
Machac's Record

Jozef Kovalik

Jozef Kovalik

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
591
High
80
LLWWLWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 14-23 2-5 11-14 0-3 1-1 0-0
2024 36-25 3-5 30-15 3-4 0-1 0-0
2023 23-34 1-3 21-28 1-2 0-1 0-0
2022 33-23 3-6 29-13 1-3 0-1 0-0
2021 31-27 0-1 26-20 5-5 0-1 0-0

Ranked no. 187, Jozef reached the qualifications after defeating Gerald Melzer 7-5 6-2.

In the qualifications, Jozef had a good straight sets win against Melzer (7-5 6-2). During the match Kovalik scored 66 points vs Melzer’s 50. The Slovakian was extremely aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Talking about serving, Kovalik managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Jozef Kovalik was pretty effective on serve to win 81% (25/31) of his 1st serve and 76% (16/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Kovalik broke Melzer 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

The Slovakian’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Oeiras 2 Challenger and the Luedenscheid Challenger.

The Slovakian has a composed 23-18 win-loss record in 2022, 3-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2016, 2019 and 2020. See his history.

U.S. Open
Kovalik's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

T.Machac
J.Kovalik
!
2h:00
2h:00
Time on court​
1h:19
1h:19
2h:00
2h:00
Last match​
1h:19
1h:19
1
1
Match played
1
1
29
29
Games Played​
20
20
3
3
Set played​​
2
2
90
90
Total points​
66
66
90
90
Avg point​
66
66
37
37
Winners
25
25
37
37
Avg Winners​
25
25
41%
41%
Ratio winners
38%
38%
-- Serve --
3
3
Aces
4
4
3
3
Avg Aces
4
4
1
1
Double Faults
3
3
1
1
Avg Double Faults
3
3
37/53
37/53
1st won total​
25/31
25/31
70%
70%
1st won %
!
81%
81%
16/35
16/35
2nd won total​
16/21
16/21
46%
46%
2nd won %
!
76%
76%
-- Break Points --
6/8
6/8
BP won
3/7
3/7
6/8
6/8
Avg BP won
3/7
3/7
!
75%
75%
Won
43%
43%
10
10
Conceded
1
1
10
10
Avg Conceded
1
1
4
4
Broken
0
0
4
4
Avg Broken
!
0
0
6
6
Saved
1
1

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Machac Kovalik
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 2
Tot Games 29 20
Pts 90-75 66-50
Total Points 165 116
Winners 37 25
%Winners 41% 38%

Both Machac and Kovalik played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Tomas Machac dropped 1 set while Jozef Kovalik hasn’t conceded a set so far. Machac has played 1 set more than Kovalik (3 vs 2). Therefore, Machac played 9 games more than Kovalik. The Czech scored 37 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Jozef bagged 25 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve Machac Kovalik
Aces 3 4
Avg per match 3 4
1st in 53/88 31/52
%1st in 60% 60%
1st pts 37/53 25/31
%1st pts 70% 81%
2nd pts 16/35 16/21
%2nd pts 46% 76%

Machac fired 3 aces . Kovalik blasted 4 aces . Machac won 70% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Kovalik won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 76% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Machac Kovalik
Won 6 3
Converted 6/8 3/7
% Converted 75% 43%
Conceded 10 1
Saved 6 1
% Saved 60% 100%
Times Broken 4 0

Tomas broke his opponent 6 times with a 75% conversion rate. Tomas conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. The Slovakian broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Jozef was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points.

Machac
Q1
Kolar
Total
Score 7-5 4-6 6-1
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 29 29
pts 90-75 90-75
Total points 165 165
Winners 37 37
%Winners 41% 41%
SERVE
Aces 3 3
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 53/88 53/88
% 1st in 60% 60%
1st pts 37/53 37/53
% 1st pts 70% 70%
2nd pts 16/35 16/35
% 2nd pts 46% 46%
Breaks
Won 6 6
Converted 6/8 6/8
Converted % 75% 75%
Conceded 10 10
Saved 6/10 6
Saved % 60% 60%
Times Broken 4 4
Kovalik
Q1
Melzer
Total
Score 7-5 6-2
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 20 20
pts 66-50 66-50
Total points 116 116
Winners 25 25
%Winners 38% 38%
SERVE
Aces 4 4
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 31/52 31/52
% 1st in 60% 60%
1st pts 25/31 25/31
% 1st pts 81% 81%
2nd pts 16/21 16/21
% 2nd pts 76% 76%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/7 3/7
Converted % 43% 43%
Conceded 1 1
Saved 1/1 1
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

Upcoming matches in the draw