Tomas Machac and Jozef Kovalik will clash against each other in the qualifications of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 3:00 pm on Court 16. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tomas Machac who should win in 4 sets.
Tomas Machac -> 1.26
Jozef Kovalik -> 3.7
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Prediction and head to head Tomas Machac vs. Jozef Kovalik
There is no head to head record between Tomas Machac and Jozef Kovalik since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Tomas Machac
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23-19 | 15-9 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-24 | 22-11 | 9-5 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 52-27 | 15-10 | 16-11 | 18-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-19 | 24-6 | 5-2 | 18-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2021 | 28-19 | 5-4 | 5-4 | 12-6 | 2-3 | 4-2 |
Ranked no. 126, Tomas got to the qualifications after beating Zdenek Kolar 7-5 4-6 6-1.
In the qualifications, The Czech defeated Kolar (7-5 4-6 6-1). During the match, Machac scored 90 points vs Kolar’s 75. The Czech was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Regarding the service games, Machac recorded 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Tomas Machac lost the serve 4 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Machac put 60% of his first serves in, winning 70% (37/53) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (16/35) on the 2nd serve. Tomas broke Kolar 6 times after converting 75% of his break points (6/8).
Machac has a solid win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 68% of his matches (150-70). 19-4 on hard in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Machac has a composed30-10 record in the last 6 years on hard.
Tomas’s best result of the season was reaching the final in the Traralgon Challenger and the Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger.
The Czech has a composed 29-9 win-loss record in 2022, 19-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Jozef Kovalik
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-23 | 2-5 | 11-14 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 36-25 | 3-5 | 30-15 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-34 | 1-3 | 21-28 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-23 | 3-6 | 29-13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 31-27 | 0-1 | 26-20 | 5-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 187, Jozef reached the qualifications after defeating Gerald Melzer 7-5 6-2.
In the qualifications, Jozef had a good straight sets win against Melzer (7-5 6-2). During the match Kovalik scored 66 points vs Melzer’s 50. The Slovakian was extremely aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about serving, Kovalik managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Jozef Kovalik was pretty effective on serve to win 81% (25/31) of his 1st serve and 76% (16/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Kovalik broke Melzer 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
The Slovakian’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Oeiras 2 Challenger and the Luedenscheid Challenger.
The Slovakian has a composed 23-18 win-loss record in 2022, 3-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2016, 2019 and 2020. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Machac | Kovalik |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 29 | 20 |
| Pts | 90-75 | 66-50 |
| Total Points | 165 | 116 |
| Winners | 37 | 25 |
| %Winners | 41% | 38% |
Both Machac and Kovalik played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Tomas Machac dropped 1 set while Jozef Kovalik hasn’t conceded a set so far. Machac has played 1 set more than Kovalik (3 vs 2). Therefore, Machac played 9 games more than Kovalik. The Czech scored 37 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Jozef bagged 25 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Machac | Kovalik |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 4 |
| 1st in | 53/88 | 31/52 |
| %1st in | 60% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 37/53 | 25/31 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 16/35 | 16/21 |
| %2nd pts | 46% | 76% |
Machac fired 3 aces . Kovalik blasted 4 aces . Machac won 70% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Kovalik won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 76% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Machac | Kovalik |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 3 |
| Converted | 6/8 | 3/7 |
| % Converted | 75% | 43% |
| Conceded | 10 | 1 |
| Saved | 6 | 1 |
| % Saved | 60% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 0 |
Tomas broke his opponent 6 times with a 75% conversion rate. Tomas conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. The Slovakian broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Jozef was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points.
| Machac | |||
| Q1 Kolar | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 4-6 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 90-75 | 90-75 | |
| Total points | 165 | 165 | |
| Winners | 37 | 37 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 53/88 | 53/88 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 37/53 | 37/53 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/35 | 16/35 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 46% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/8 | 6/8 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 75% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 | |
| Saved | 6/10 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Kovalik | |||
| Q1 Melzer | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 66-50 | 66-50 | |
| Total points | 116 | 116 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 31/52 | 31/52 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 25/31 | 25/31 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/21 | 16/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 76% | 76% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/7 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Constant LestienneLestienne – Andrea VavassoriVavassori (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Paul JubbJubb – Antoine BellierBellier (5-7 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Pavel KotovKotov – Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues AlvesMeligeni Rodrigues Alves (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Govind NandaNanda – Andrea ArnaboldiArnaboldi (4-6 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Tomas MachacMachac – Zdenek KolarKolar (7-5 4-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Max PurcellPurcell – Nikola MilojevicMilojevic (6-0 6-4) – See score progression
- Kaichi UchidaUchida – Dudi SelaSela (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Jozef KovalikKovalik – Gerald MelzerMelzer (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin – Nicolas KickerKicker (6-3 6-74 4-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Bruno KuzuharaKuzuhara – Ramkumar RamanathanRamanathan (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Yuki BhambriBhambri – Radu AlbotAlbot (7-64 6-4) – See score progression
- Fernando VerdascoVerdasco – Gianluca MagerMager (7-65 6-3) – See score progression
- Facundo BagnisBagnis – Tung-Lin WuWu (4-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Sebastian OfnerOfner – Yannick HanfmannHanfmann (7-67 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
- Gilles SimonSimon – Michael MmohMmoh (2-6 7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Vasek PospisilPospisil – Sumit NagalNagal (7-62 6-4) – See score progression
- Daniel MasurMasur – Elias YmerYmer (7-64 2-6 7-66) – See score progression
- Gijs BrouwerBrouwer – Gastao EliasElias (7-64 6-2) – See score progression
- Enzo CouacaudCouacaud – Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaPucinelli De Almeida (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Zizou BergsBergs – Renzo OlivoOlivo (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Bradley KlahnKlahn (6-4 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Pedro SousaSousa – Henri LaaksonenLaaksonen (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Andrea CollariniCollarini – Gian Marco MoroniMarco Moroni (7-64 6-4) – See score progression
- Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli – Manuel GuinardGuinard (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Alex RybakovRybakov (6-74 7-64 3-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Luciano DarderiDarderi (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Geoffrey BlancaneauxBlancaneaux – Oliver CrawfordCrawford (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Andreas SeppiSeppi – Filip HoranskyHoransky (6-4 5-7 6-2) – See score progression
- Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Ryan PenistonPeniston (6-2 2-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Facundo MenaMena – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Hugo GrenierGrenier – Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri (1-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Stefano TravagliaTravaglia – Michael GeertsGeerts (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Christopher EubanksEubanks – Santiago Fa Rodriguez TavernaFa Rodriguez Taverna (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexander RitschardRitschard – Evan FurnessFurness (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Brandon HoltHolt – Alexandre MullerMuller (3-6 6-4 7-65) – See score progression
- Dimitar KuzmanovKuzmanov – Luca NardiNardi (4-6 7-65 6-4) – See score progression
- Altug CelikbilekCelikbilek – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Liam BroadyBroady – Murphy CassoneCassone (3-6 7-63 6-1) – See score progression
- Dmitry PopkoPopko – Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino (4-6 7-63 6-2) – See score progression
- Gregoire BarrereBarrere – Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Dalibor SvrcinaSvrcina – Laurent LokoliLokoli (1-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Bjorn FratangeloFratangelo – Juan Bautista TorresBautista Torres (7-64 3-6 7-64) – See score progression
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Facundo Diaz AcostaDiaz Acosta (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Federico DelbonisDelbonis – Zsombor PirosPiros (7-610 6-0) – See score progression
- Jesper De JongDe Jong – Antoine EscoffierEscoffier (7-64 6-1) – See score progression
- Francesco PassaroPassaro – Marc PolmansPolmans (6-4 7-62) – See score progression
- Riccardo BonadioBonadio – Jonas ForejtekForejtek (6-4 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Carlos TabernerTaberner – Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Yibing WuWu – Ricardas BerankisBerankis (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Roberto MarcoraMarcora – Genaro Alberto OlivieriAlberto Olivieri (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Emilio GomezGomez – Mitchell KruegerKrueger (7-66 6-4) – See score progression
- Borna GojoGojo – Dominic Stephan StrickerStephan Stricker (6-73 7-63 6-3) – See score progression
- Mats MoraingMoraing – Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Maximilian MartererMarterer – Daniel Dutra Da SilvaDutra Da Silva (7-5 6-74 6-2) – See score progression
- Filip MisolicMisolic – Martin DammDamm (6-73 7-66 6-3) – See score progression
- Franco AgamenoneAgamenone – Francisco ComesanaComesana (4-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Zachary SvajdaSvajda – Aleksandar VukicVukic (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Nino SerdarusicSerdarusic (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Dennis NovakNovak – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (7-66 6-1) – See score progression
- Norbert GombosGombos – Jay ClarkeClarke (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Raul BrancaccioBrancaccio – Dominik KoepferKoepfer (7-64 6-4) – See score progression
- Ethan QuinnQuinn – Ernesto EscobedoEscobedo (5-7 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andreas SeppiSeppi – Vasek PospisilPospisil (3-3) – H2H and prediction
- Gilles SimonSimon – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pedro SousaSousa – Paul JubbJubb (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin – Fernando VerdascoVerdasco (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Emilio GomezGomez – Brandon HoltHolt (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Facundo BagnisBagnis – Kaichi UchidaUchida (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Stefano TravagliaTravaglia – Yibing WuWu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yuki BhambriBhambri – Zizou BergsBergs (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andrea CollariniCollarini – Zhizhen ZhangZhang (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jozef KovalikKovalik – Tomas MachacMachac (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Dimitar KuzmanovKuzmanov – Liam BroadyBroady (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Norbert GombosGombos – Dmitry PopkoPopko (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Franco AgamenoneAgamenone – Roberto MarcoraMarcora (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Riccardo BonadioBonadio – Borna GojoGojo (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Constant LestienneLestienne – Geoffrey BlancaneauxBlancaneaux (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Gregoire BarrereBarrere – Christopher EubanksEubanks (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander RitschardRitschard – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Enzo CouacaudCouacaud – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Altug CelikbilekCelikbilek – Jesper De JongDe Jong (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Max PurcellPurcell (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Bjorn FratangeloFratangelo (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos TabernerTaberner – Maximilian MartererMarterer (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Govind NandaNanda (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Gijs BrouwerBrouwer – Facundo MenaMena (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Raul BrancaccioBrancaccio – Mats MoraingMoraing (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Filip MisolicMisolic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pavel KotovKotov – Sebastian OfnerOfner (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Francesco PassaroPassaro – Hugo GrenierGrenier (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Dalibor SvrcinaSvrcina – Dennis NovakNovak (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli – Daniel MasurMasur (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – (0-0) – H2H and prediction