Facundo Bagnis and Kaichi Uchida will square off in the qualifications of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 7:00 pm on Court 13. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Kaichi Uchida who should win in 5 sets.

As per the initial odds, Kaichi Uchida is the pick to win this match.
Kaichi Uchida -> 1.88
Facundo Bagnis -> 1.88

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Prediction and head to head Facundo Bagnis vs. Kaichi Uchida

This will be the 2nd time that Facundo Bagnis and Kaichi Uchida face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Uchida (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Uchida won 7-5 7-6(4) in the semifinal in the Oeiras 3 Challenger back in June 2022.

Facundo Bagnis

Facundo Bagnis

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
394
High
55
WLWLWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 16-13 5-3 11-9 0-0 0-1 0-0
2024 30-15 1-3 29-11 0-0 0-1 0-0
2023 27-27 4-6 23-20 0-1 0-0 0-0
2022 46-29 9-9 37-19 0-0 0-1 0-0
2021 38-23 2-5 35-16 1-1 0-1 0-0

Ranked no. 106, Bagnis reached the qualifications after defeating Tung-Lin Wu 4-6 6-1 6-4.

In the qualifications against Wu, The Argentine recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-1 6-4). During the match, Bagnis scored 95 points vs Wu’s 82. Facundo was quite aggressive to blast 41 winners.

Talking about the service games, Bagnis fired 10 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Facundo Bagnis lost the serve 3 times and he saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Bagnis put 61% of his first serves in, winning 75% (41/55) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (16/35) on the 2nd serve. Bagnis broke Wu 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).

Bagnis has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (373-245). 5-7 on hard in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Bagnis has an overall 22-34 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

The Argentine’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the Pereira Challenger.

Bagnis has a composed 24-22 win-loss record in 2022, 5-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
Bagnis's Record

Kaichi Uchida

Kaichi Uchida

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
288
High
147
WLWWWLWWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 44-30 36-20 0-3 7-6 0-0 1-1
2024 42-30 18-22 16-6 8-2 0-0 0-0
2023 17-33 4-18 3-10 9-4 1-1 0-0
2022 35-34 24-23 8-5 3-6 0-0 0-0
2021 35-26 27-13 6-11 1-2 1-0 0-0

Ranked no. 169, Kaichi got to the qualifications after beating Dudi Sela 6-3 6-3.

In the qualifications, Uchida had a good straight sets win against Sela (6-3 6-3). During the match Uchida scored 60 points vs Sela’s 45. Kaichi was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Talking about serving, Uchida blasted 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Kaichi Uchida was extremely effective on serve to win 80% (24/30) of his 1st serve and 59% (13/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Kaichi broke Sela 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Uchida’s best result of the year was getting to the final in the Oeiras 3 Challenger.

Kaichi has a composed 25-23 win-loss record in 2022, 14-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2019. See his history.

U.S. Open
Uchida's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

F.Bagnis
K.Uchida
!
2h:03
2h:03
Time on court​
1h:09
1h:09
!
2h:03
2h:03
Last match​
1h:09
1h:09
1
1
Match played
1
1
27
27
Games Played​
18
18
3
3
Set played​​
2
2
95
95
Total points​
60
60
95
95
Avg point​
60
60
41
41
Winners
24
24
41
41
Avg Winners​
24
24
43%
43%
Ratio winners
40%
40%
-- Serve --
10
10
Aces
4
4
10
10
Avg Aces
4
4
6
6
Double Faults
1
1
!
6
6
Avg Double Faults
1
1
41/55
41/55
1st won total​
24/30
24/30
!
75%
75%
1st won %
!
80%
80%
16/35
16/35
2nd won total​
13/22
13/22
46%
46%
2nd won %
59%
59%
-- Break Points --
5/10
5/10
BP won
4/9
4/9
5/10
5/10
Avg BP won
4/9
4/9
50%
50%
Won
44%
44%
14
14
Conceded
2
2
14
14
Avg Conceded
2
2
3
3
Broken
1
1
3
3
Avg Broken
1
1
11
11
Saved
1
1

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Bagnis Uchida
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 2
Tot Games 27 18
Pts 95-82 60-45
Total Points 177 105
Winners 41 24
%Winners 43% 40%

Both Bagnis and Uchida played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Facundo Bagnis surrendered 1 set while Kaichi Uchida hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Bagnis has played 1 set more than Uchida (3 vs 2). Therefore, Bagnis played 9 games more than Uchida. The Argentine scored 41 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese fired 24 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve Bagnis Uchida
Aces 10 4
Avg per match 10 4
1st in 55/90 30/52
%1st in 61% 58%
1st pts 41/55 24/30
%1st pts 75% 80%
2nd pts 16/35 13/22
%2nd pts 46% 59%

Bagnis recorded 10 aces . Uchida struck 4 aces . Bagnis won 75% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Uchida won 80% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Bagnis Uchida
Won 5 4
Converted 5/10 4/9
% Converted 50% 44%
Conceded 14 2
Saved 11 1
% Saved 79% 50%
Times Broken 3 1

The Argentine broke his opponent 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. Facundo conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 79% of the break points that he conceded. Uchida broke his opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Bagnis
Q1
Wu
Total
Score 4-6 6-1 6-4
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 27 27
pts 95-82 95-82
Total points 177 177
Winners 41 41
%Winners 43% 43%
SERVE
Aces 10 10
Double Faults 6 6
1st in 55/90 55/90
% 1st in 61% 61%
1st pts 41/55 41/55
% 1st pts 75% 75%
2nd pts 16/35 16/35
% 2nd pts 46% 46%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/10 5/10
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 14 14
Saved 11/14 11
Saved % 79% 79%
Times Broken 3 3
Uchida
Q1
Sela
Total
Score 6-3 6-3
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 18 18
pts 60-45 60-45
Total points 105 105
Winners 24 24
%Winners 40% 40%
SERVE
Aces 4 4
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 30/52 30/52
% 1st in 58% 58%
1st pts 24/30 24/30
% 1st pts 80% 80%
2nd pts 13/22 13/22
% 2nd pts 59% 59%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/9 4/9
Converted % 44% 44%
Conceded 2 2
Saved 1/2 1
Saved % 50% 50%
Times Broken 1 1

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

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