Madison Keys and Petra Kvitova will play each other in the semifinal of the Western & Southern Open for the 9th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 11:00 am on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Madison Keys is the pick to win this match.
Madison Keys -> 1.85
Petra Kvitova -> 2

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Petra Kvitova

This will be the 9th time that Madison Keys and Petra Kvitova fight against each other. The head to head is 4-4 (see full H2H stats), 4-3 on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Kvitova won 7-5 6-4 in the 1st round in Cincinnati back in 2021.

Madison Keys

Madison Keys

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
7
High
5
LLLLWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 37-15 24-6 9-4 0-2 4-3 0-0
2024 24-12 7-6 13-4 0-0 4-2 0-0
2023 33-15 19-9 5-3 0-2 9-1 0-0
2022 30-20 25-12 4-4 0-3 1-1 0-0
2021 11-15 3-9 3-4 0-0 5-2 0-0

Ranked no. 24, Keys reached the semifinal after defeating Yulia Putintseva 7-5 6-3, Jelena Ostapenko 6-4 7-5, Iga Swiatek 6-3 6-4 and Elena Rybakina 6-2 6-4.

In the quarter, The American had a good straight sets win against Rybakina (6-2 6-4). During the match, Keys scored 76 points vs Rybakina ‘s 60. Keys was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Regarding the service games, Keys blasted 2 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Madison Keys lost the serve twice and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Keys put 72% of her first serves in, winning 67% (26/39) of the points behind her 1st serve and 60% (9/15) on the 2nd serve. Keys broke Rybakina 5 times after converting 38% of her break points (5/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Keys hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to conquer 55% of the points she played.

Keys has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 63% of her matches (260-151). 19-8 on hard in 2022. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Keys has an overall 154-90 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the current year was winning the title in in Adelaide where she beat Alison Riske in the final 6-1 6-2.

Madison has an aggregate 24-13 win-loss record in 2022, 19-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Cincinnati
Keys's Record

Petra Kvitova

Petra Kvitova

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
515
High
2
LLLLWLLLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 1-8 0-4 1-2 0-0 0-2 0-0
2024 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 30-13 22-10 0-2 0-0 8-1 0-0
2022 27-19 16-11 1-4 3-2 7-2 0-0
2021 29-17 16-10 8-4 2-1 3-2 0-0

Ranked no. 28, the Czech reached the semifinal after beating Jil Teichmann 6-72 7-66 6-3, Sorana Cirstea 6-2 6-3, Ons Jabeur 6-1 4-6 6-0 and Ajla Tomljanovic 6-2 6-3.

In the quarter, Petra had a good straight sets win against Tomljanovic (6-2 6-3). During the match Kvitova scored 64 points vs Tomljanovic’s 45. Kvitova was extremely aggressive to blast 25 winners.

About the serving games, Kvitova bagged 12 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Petra Kvitova lost the serve twice and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Kvitova put 61% of her first serves in, winning 74% (25/34) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (11/22) on the 2nd serve. Kvitova broke Tomljanovic 5 times after converting 83% of her break points (5/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Petra has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.

Her best result of the current year was winning the title in in Eastbourne where she overcame Jelena Ostapenko in the final 6-3 6-2.

Kvitova has an aggregate 21-15 win-loss record in 2022, 12-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2012 and 2018. See her history.

Cincinnati
Kvitova's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

M.Keys
P.Kvitova
5h:52
5h:52
Time on court​
6h:52
6h:52
1h:31
1h:31
Last match​
1h:13
1h:13
4
4
Match played
4
4
80
80
Games Played​
92
92
8
8
Set played​​
10
10
296
296
Total points​
338
338
74
74
Avg point​
84.5
84.5
109
109
Winners
147
147
27.3
27.3
Avg Winners​
36.8
36.8
37%
37%
Ratio winners
43%
43%
-- Serve --
15
15
Aces
28
28
3.8
3.8
Avg Aces
7
7
5
5
Double Faults
18
18
1.3
1.3
Avg Double Faults
4.5
4.5
109/154
109/154
1st won total​
147/191
147/191
!
71%
71%
1st won %
!
77%
77%
48/84
48/84
2nd won total​
49/108
49/108
57%
57%
2nd won %
45%
45%
-- Break Points --
17/47
17/47
BP won
19/37
19/37
4.3/11.8
4.3/11.8
Avg BP won
4.8/9.3
4.8/9.3
36%
36%
Won
!
51%
51%
14
14
Conceded
24
24
3.5
3.5
Avg Conceded
6
6
6
6
Broken
7
7
1.5
1.5
Avg Broken
1.8
1.8
8
8
Saved
17
17

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Keys Kvitova
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 8 10
Tot Games 80 92
Pts 296-246 338-273
Total Points 542 611
Winners 109 147
%Winners 37% 43%

Both Keys and Kvitova played 4 matches. At the moment, Petra Kvitova surrendered 2 sets while Madison Keys hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Keys has played 2 set(s) less than Kvitova (8 vs 10). Therefore, Keys played 12 games less than Kvitova. Keys scored 109 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Petra recorded 147 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve Keys Kvitova
Aces 15 28
Avg per match 3.8 7
1st in 154/238 191/299
%1st in 65% 64%
1st pts 109/154 147/191
%1st pts 71% 77%
2nd pts 48/84 49/108
%2nd pts 57% 45%

Keys recorded 15 aces (3.8 per match). Kvitova fired 28 aces (7 per match). Keys won 71% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Kvitova won 77% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 45% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Keys Kvitova
Won 17 19
Converted 17/47 19/37
% Converted 36% 51%
Conceded 14 24
Saved 8 17
% Saved 57% 71%
Times Broken 6 7

Madison broke her opponents 17 times with a 36% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded. Kvitova broke her opponents 19 times with a 51% conversion rate. Kvitova conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded.

Keys
R1
Putintseva
R2
Ostapenko
R3
Swiatek
1/4
Rybakina
Total
Score 7-5 6-3 6-4 7-5 6-3 6-4 6-2 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 2 2 8
Tot Games 21 22 19 18 80
pts 67-57 87-76 66-53 76-60 296-246
Total points 124 163 119 136 542
Winners 27 33 23 26 109
%Winners 40% 38% 35% 34% 37%
SERVE
Aces 6 5 2 2 15
Double Faults 1 2 1 1 5
1st in 31/56 49/72 35/56 39/54 154/238
% 1st in 55% 68% 63% 72% 65%
1st pts 27/31 33/49 23/35 26/39 109/154
% 1st pts 87% 67% 66% 67% 71%
2nd pts 14/25 13/23 12/21 9/15 48/84
% 2nd pts 56% 57% 57% 60% 57%
Breaks
Won 3 4 5 5 17
Converted 3/4 4/16 5/14 5/13 17/47
Converted % 75% 25% 36% 38% 36%
Conceded 1 5 3 5 14
Saved 1/1 3/5 1/3 3/5 8
Saved % 100% 60% 33% 60% 63%
Times Broken 0 2 2 2 6
Kvitova
R1
Belen Teichmann
R2
Cirstea
R3
Jabeur
1/4
Tomljanovic
Total
Score 6-72 7-66 6-3 6-2 6-3 6-1 4-6 6-0 6-2 6-3
Tot Set 3 2 3 2 10
Tot Games 35 17 23 17 92
pts 123-119 56-39 95-70 64-45 338-273
Total points 242 95 165 109 611
Winners 53 27 42 25 147
%Winners 43% 48% 44% 39% 43%
SERVE
Aces 8 3 5 12 28
Double Faults 11 0 3 4 18
1st in 64/108 34/49 59/86 34/56 191/299
% 1st in 59% 69% 69% 61% 64%
1st pts 53/64 27/34 42/59 25/34 147/191
% 1st pts 83% 79% 71% 74% 77%
2nd pts 16/44 10/15 12/27 11/22 49/108
% 2nd pts 36% 67% 44% 50% 45%
Breaks
Won 5 3 6 5 19
Converted 5/15 3/5 6/11 5/6 19/37
Converted % 33% 60% 55% 83% 51%
Conceded 7 2 7 8 24
Saved 4/7 2/2 5/7 6/8 17
Saved % 57% 100% 71% 75% 76%
Times Broken 3 0 2 2 7

Tennis Scores in Cincinnati

Upcoming matches in the draw