Madison Keys and Petra Kvitova will play each other in the semifinal of the Western & Southern Open for the 9th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 11:00 am on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 3 sets.
Madison Keys -> 1.85
Petra Kvitova -> 2
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Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Petra Kvitova
This will be the 9th time that Madison Keys and Petra Kvitova fight against each other. The head to head is 4-4 (see full H2H stats), 4-3 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Kvitova won 7-5 6-4 in the 1st round in Cincinnati back in 2021.
Madison Keys
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 37-15 | 24-6 | 9-4 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-12 | 7-6 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-15 | 19-9 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-20 | 25-12 | 4-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-15 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 24, Keys reached the semifinal after defeating Yulia Putintseva 7-5 6-3, Jelena Ostapenko 6-4 7-5, Iga Swiatek 6-3 6-4 and Elena Rybakina 6-2 6-4.
In the quarter, The American had a good straight sets win against Rybakina (6-2 6-4). During the match, Keys scored 76 points vs Rybakina ‘s 60. Keys was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Regarding the service games, Keys blasted 2 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Madison Keys lost the serve twice and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Keys put 72% of her first serves in, winning 67% (26/39) of the points behind her 1st serve and 60% (9/15) on the 2nd serve. Keys broke Rybakina 5 times after converting 38% of her break points (5/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Keys hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to conquer 55% of the points she played.
Keys has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 63% of her matches (260-151). 19-8 on hard in 2022. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Keys has an overall 154-90 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in in Adelaide where she beat Alison Riske in the final 6-1 6-2.
Madison has an aggregate 24-13 win-loss record in 2022, 19-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Petra Kvitova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-13 | 22-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-19 | 16-11 | 1-4 | 3-2 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-17 | 16-10 | 8-4 | 2-1 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 28, the Czech reached the semifinal after beating Jil Teichmann 6-72 7-66 6-3, Sorana Cirstea 6-2 6-3, Ons Jabeur 6-1 4-6 6-0 and Ajla Tomljanovic 6-2 6-3.
In the quarter, Petra had a good straight sets win against Tomljanovic (6-2 6-3). During the match Kvitova scored 64 points vs Tomljanovic’s 45. Kvitova was extremely aggressive to blast 25 winners.
About the serving games, Kvitova bagged 12 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Petra Kvitova lost the serve twice and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Kvitova put 61% of her first serves in, winning 74% (25/34) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (11/22) on the 2nd serve. Kvitova broke Tomljanovic 5 times after converting 83% of her break points (5/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Petra has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in in Eastbourne where she overcame Jelena Ostapenko in the final 6-3 6-2.
Kvitova has an aggregate 21-15 win-loss record in 2022, 12-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2012 and 2018. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Keys | Kvitova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 80 | 92 |
| Pts | 296-246 | 338-273 |
| Total Points | 542 | 611 |
| Winners | 109 | 147 |
| %Winners | 37% | 43% |
Both Keys and Kvitova played 4 matches. At the moment, Petra Kvitova surrendered 2 sets while Madison Keys hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Keys has played 2 set(s) less than Kvitova (8 vs 10). Therefore, Keys played 12 games less than Kvitova. Keys scored 109 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Petra recorded 147 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Keys | Kvitova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 15 | 28 |
| Avg per match | 3.8 | 7 |
| 1st in | 154/238 | 191/299 |
| %1st in | 65% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 109/154 | 147/191 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 48/84 | 49/108 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 45% |
Keys recorded 15 aces (3.8 per match). Kvitova fired 28 aces (7 per match). Keys won 71% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Kvitova won 77% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 45% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Keys | Kvitova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 17 | 19 |
| Converted | 17/47 | 19/37 |
| % Converted | 36% | 51% |
| Conceded | 14 | 24 |
| Saved | 8 | 17 |
| % Saved | 57% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 7 |
Madison broke her opponents 17 times with a 36% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded. Kvitova broke her opponents 19 times with a 51% conversion rate. Kvitova conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded.
| Keys | ||||||
| R1 Putintseva | R2 Ostapenko | R3 Swiatek | 1/4 Rybakina | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 | 6-4 7-5 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 22 | 19 | 18 | 80 | |
| pts | 67-57 | 87-76 | 66-53 | 76-60 | 296-246 | |
| Total points | 124 | 163 | 119 | 136 | 542 | |
| Winners | 27 | 33 | 23 | 26 | 109 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 38% | 35% | 34% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 31/56 | 49/72 | 35/56 | 39/54 | 154/238 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 68% | 63% | 72% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 27/31 | 33/49 | 23/35 | 26/39 | 109/154 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 67% | 66% | 67% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/25 | 13/23 | 12/21 | 9/15 | 48/84 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 57% | 57% | 60% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 4/16 | 5/14 | 5/13 | 17/47 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 25% | 36% | 38% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 3/5 | 1/3 | 3/5 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 60% | 33% | 60% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Kvitova | ||||||
| R1 Belen Teichmann | R2 Cirstea | R3 Jabeur | 1/4 Tomljanovic | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-72 7-66 6-3 | 6-2 6-3 | 6-1 4-6 6-0 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 35 | 17 | 23 | 17 | 92 | |
| pts | 123-119 | 56-39 | 95-70 | 64-45 | 338-273 | |
| Total points | 242 | 95 | 165 | 109 | 611 | |
| Winners | 53 | 27 | 42 | 25 | 147 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 48% | 44% | 39% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 28 | |
| Double Faults | 11 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 18 | |
| 1st in | 64/108 | 34/49 | 59/86 | 34/56 | 191/299 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 69% | 69% | 61% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 53/64 | 27/34 | 42/59 | 25/34 | 147/191 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 79% | 71% | 74% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/44 | 10/15 | 12/27 | 11/22 | 49/108 | |
| % 2nd pts | 36% | 67% | 44% | 50% | 45% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | |
| Converted | 5/15 | 3/5 | 6/11 | 5/6 | 19/37 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 60% | 55% | 83% | 51% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 24 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 2/2 | 5/7 | 6/8 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 100% | 71% | 75% | 76% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
Tennis Scores in Cincinnati
- Nicole Melichar/Ellen PerezMelichar/Ellen Perez – Desirae Krawczyk/Demi SchuursKrawczyk/Demi Schuurs (7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Felipe MantillaMantilla – Evan KingKing (7-5 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Calvin HemeryHemery – Gianni RossRoss (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Madison KeysKeys – Petra KvitovaKvitova (4-4) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (1-2) – H2H and prediction