Aryna Sabalenka and Caroline Garcia will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Western & Southern Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 1:00 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.68
Caroline Garcia -> 2.24
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Caroline Garcia
This will be the 4th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Caroline Garcia clash against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard.
The last time that they played, Garcia won 6-4 6-4 in the R in Zhuhai back in 2018.
Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 15-5 | 14-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 14-7 | 6-3 | 9-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, Sabalenka got to the semifinal after defeating Anna Kalinskaya 6-3 4-1 ret., Shelby Rogers 6-4 6-72 6-4 and Shuai Zhang 6-4 7-61.
In the quarter, Aryna had a good straight sets win against Zhang (6-4 7-61). During the match, Sabalenka scored 93 points vs Zhang’s 79. Sabalenka was pretty aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sabalenka made 7 aces and she was not very steady on her 2nd serve to score 12 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve 5 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 59% of her first serves in, winning 69% (38/55) of the points behind her 1st serve and 29% (11/38) on the 2nd serve. Aryna broke Zhang 6 times after converting 50% of her break points (6/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Belarussian has dropped 1 set in this tournament to win 52% of the points she played.
Sabalenka has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 65% of her matches (254-134). 11-9 on hard in 2022. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Sabalenka has a composed145-70 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.
Aryna’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Stuttgart and Hertogenbosch.
Aryna has an aggregate 24-16 win-loss record in 2022, 11-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Caroline Garcia
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12-9 | 9-8 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-27 | 23-17 | 4-4 | 7-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-21 | 21-13 | 11-4 | 4-1 | 10-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-26 | 15-14 | 8-6 | 3-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 11-11 | 5-6 | 4-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 35, Caroline reached the semifinal after defeating Diane Parry 4-6 6-3 6-2, Andrea Petkovic 6-2 6-75 6-2, Petra Martic 6-3 6-3, Maria Sakkari 7-62 6-76 6-1, Elise Mertens 6-4 7-5 and Jessica Pegula 6-1 7-5.
In the quarter, Caroline had a good straight sets win against Pegula (6-1 7-5). During the match Garcia scored 64 points vs Pegula’s 47. Garcia was exceptionally aggressive to blast 32 winners.
About the serving games, Garcia recorded 4 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Caroline Garcia was exceptionally effective on serve to win 80% (32/40) of her 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The French player broke Pegula 3 times after converting 75% of her break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The French player started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
Her best result of the season was conquering the title in in Bad Homburg where she defeated Bianca Vanessa Andreescu in the final 6-7(5) 6-4 6-4 and in in Warsaw where she overcame Ana Bogdan in the final 6-4 6-1.
Garcia has an aggregate 33-16 win-loss record in 2022, 9-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2015 and 2018. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 6 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 15 |
| Tot Games | 70 | 148 |
| Pts | 259-222 | 509-418 |
| Total Points | 481 | 927 |
| Winners | 109 | 223 |
| %Winners | 42% | 44% |
Sabalenka played 3 matches while Garcia competed in 6 matches. Garcia started her run from the qualifications while Sabalenka had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Aryna Sabalenka conceded 1 set, while Caroline Garcia surrendered 3 sets. Sabalenka has played 7 set(s) less than Garcia (8 vs 15). Therefore, Sabalenka played 78 games less than Garcia. Aryna scored 109 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The French player scored 223 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 19 | 48 |
| Avg per match | 6.3 | 8 |
| 1st in | 145/243 | 283/472 |
| %1st in | 60% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 109/145 | 223/283 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 38/98 | 107/189 |
| %2nd pts | 39% | 57% |
Sabalenka made 19 aces (6.3 per match). Garcia fired 48 aces (8 per match). Sabalenka won 75% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 39% of the points. On the other side, Garcia won 79% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 20 |
| Converted | 14/29 | 20/43 |
| % Converted | 48% | 47% |
| Conceded | 24 | 24 |
| Saved | 16 | 20 |
| % Saved | 67% | 83% |
| Times Broken | 8 | 4 |
Aryna broke her opponents 14 times with a 48% conversion rate. Aryna dropped her serve 8 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. Caroline broke her opponents 20 times with a 47% conversion rate. Caroline conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 83% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | |||||
| R2 Kalinskaya |
R3 Rogers |
1/4 Zhang |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 4-1 ret. | 6-4 6-72 6-4 | 6-4 7-61 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 33 | 23 | 70 | |
| pts | 57-39 | 109-104 | 93-79 | 259-222 | |
| Total points | 96 | 213 | 172 | 481 | |
| Winners | 25 | 46 | 38 | 109 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 42% | 41% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 10 | 7 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | |
| 1st in | 27/43 | 63/107 | 55/93 | 145/243 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 59% | 59% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 25/27 | 46/63 | 38/55 | 109/145 | |
| % 1st pts | 93% | 73% | 69% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/16 | 20/44 | 11/38 | 38/98 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 45% | 29% | 39% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 5/9 | 6/12 | 14/29 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 56% | 50% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 10 | 11 | 24 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 7/10 | 6/11 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 70% | 55% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Garcia | ||||||||
| Q1 Parry |
Q3 Petkovic |
R1 Martic |
R2 Sakkari |
R3 Mertens |
1/4 Pegula |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | 6-2 6-75 6-2 | 6-3 6-3 | 7-62 6-76 6-1 | 6-4 7-5 | 6-1 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 29 | 18 | 33 | 22 | 19 | 148 | |
| pts | 88-72 | 102-86 | 64-52 | 114-93 | 77-68 | 64-47 | 509-418 | |
| Total points | 160 | 188 | 116 | 207 | 145 | 111 | 927 | |
| Winners | 33 | 50 | 30 | 46 | 32 | 32 | 223 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 49% | 47% | 40% | 42% | 50% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 6 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 48 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | |
| 1st in | 39/76 | 62/98 | 40/65 | 55/94 | 47/75 | 40/64 | 283/472 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 63% | 62% | 59% | 63% | 63% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 33/39 | 50/62 | 30/40 | 46/55 | 32/47 | 32/40 | 223/283 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 81% | 75% | 84% | 68% | 80% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/37 | 19/36 | 14/25 | 25/39 | 14/28 | 13/24 | 107/189 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 53% | 56% | 64% | 50% | 54% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 20 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 4/11 | 3/5 | 3/9 | 4/9 | 3/4 | 20/43 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 36% | 60% | 33% | 44% | 75% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 24 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 3/3 | 4/4 | 2/3 | 7/9 | 2/2 | 20 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 100% | 100% | 67% | 78% | 100% | 171% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWLWWLWW
WWWLLWWWLW Tennis Scores in Cincinnati
- Nicole Melichar/Ellen PerezMelichar/Ellen Perez – Desirae Krawczyk/Demi SchuursKrawczyk/Demi Schuurs (7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Felipe MantillaMantilla – Evan KingKing (7-5 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Calvin HemeryHemery – Gianni RossRoss (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Madison KeysKeys – Petra KvitovaKvitova (4-4) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (1-2) – H2H and prediction
