Aryna Sabalenka and Shuai Zhang will clash against each other in the quarter of the Western & Southern Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 3:30 pm on GRAND STAND. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.37
Shuai Zhang -> 3.2
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Shuai Zhang
This will be the 5th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Shuai Zhang square off. The head to head is 3-1 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Sabalenka won 6-2 6-0 in the 2nd round in Rome back in May 2022.
Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30-9 | 14-4 | 15-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 14-7 | 6-3 | 9-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, the Belarussian got to the quarter after beating Anna Kalinskaya 6-3 4-1 ret. and Shelby Rogers 6-4 6-72 6-4.
In the 3rd round, Sabalenka defeated Rogers (6-4 6-72 6-4). During the match, Sabalenka scored 109 points vs Rogers’s 104. Aryna was exceptionally aggressive to blast 46 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sabalenka made 10 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve 3 times and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 59% of her first serves in, winning 73% (46/63) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (20/44) on the 2nd serve. The Belarussian broke Rogers 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).
Sabalenka has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 65% of her matches (253-134). 10-9 on hard in 2022. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Sabalenka has an overall144-70 match record in the last 7 years on hard.
Sabalenka’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Stuttgart and Hertogenbosch.
The Belarussian has an overall 23-16 win-loss record in 2022, 10-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Shuai Zhang
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 4-19 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-31 | 17-14 | 4-7 | 10-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 23-28 | 8-11 | 4-8 | 5-5 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-11 | 10-7 | 6-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 44, Shuai reached the quarter after defeating Naomi Osaka 6-4 7-5, Ekaterina Alexandrova 6-3 6-4 and Anett Kontaveit 2-6 6-4 6-4.
In the 3rd round against Kontaveit, Zhang recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-4 6-4). During the match Zhang and Kontaveit scored the same amount of points (94). However, the world no. 7 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The Chinese was extremely aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about serving, Zhang scored 3 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Shuai Zhang lost the serve 5 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Zhang put 71% of her first serves in, winning 58% (36/62) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (11/25) on the 2nd serve. The Chinese broke Kontaveit 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Chinese has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in in Lyon where she overcame Dayana Yastremska in the final 3-6 6-3 6-4.
The Chinese has a compiled 27-20 win-loss record in 2022, 10-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2014. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 47 | 69 |
| Pts | 166-143 | 233-207 |
| Total Points | 309 | 440 |
| Winners | 71 | 104 |
| %Winners | 43% | 45% |
Sabalenka played 2 matches while Zhang competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Aryna Sabalenka surrendered 1 set, while Shuai Zhang surrendered 1 set. Sabalenka has played 1 set(s) less than Zhang (6 vs 7). Therefore, Sabalenka played 22 games less than Zhang. Sabalenka scored 71 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Chinese blasted 104 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 3.3 |
| 1st in | 90/150 | 160/215 |
| %1st in | 60% | 74% |
| 1st pts | 71/90 | 104/160 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 65% |
| 2nd pts | 27/60 | 31/55 |
| %2nd pts | 45% | 56% |
Sabalenka bagged 12 aces (6 per match). Zhang struck 10 aces (3.3 per match). Sabalenka won 79% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Zhang won 65% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 11 |
| Converted | 8/17 | 11/17 |
| % Converted | 47% | 65% |
| Conceded | 13 | 14 |
| Saved | 10 | 7 |
| % Saved | 77% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 7 |
Sabalenka broke her opponents 8 times with a 47% conversion rate. Sabalenka lost her serve 3 times and she saved 77% of the break points that she conceded. The Chinese broke her opponents 11 times with a 65% conversion rate. Shuai conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | ||||
| R2 Kalinskaya |
R3 Rogers |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 4-1 ret. | 6-4 6-72 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 33 | 47 | |
| pts | 57-39 | 109-104 | 166-143 | |
| Total points | 96 | 213 | 309 | |
| Winners | 25 | 46 | 71 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 42% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 10 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 27/43 | 63/107 | 90/150 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 59% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 25/27 | 46/63 | 71/90 | |
| % 1st pts | 93% | 73% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/16 | 20/44 | 27/60 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 45% | 45% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 5/9 | 8/17 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 56% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 10 | 13 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 7/10 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 70% | 85% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| Zhang | |||||
| R1 Osaka |
R2 Alexandrova |
R3 Kontaveit |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-5 | 6-3 6-4 | 2-6 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 19 | 28 | 69 | |
| pts | 78-59 | 61-54 | 94-94 | 233-207 | |
| Total points | 137 | 115 | 188 | 440 | |
| Winners | 39 | 29 | 36 | 104 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 48% | 38% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 53/62 | 45/66 | 62/87 | 160/215 | |
| % 1st in | 85% | 68% | 71% | 74% | |
| 1st pts | 39/53 | 29/45 | 36/62 | 104/160 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 64% | 58% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/9 | 13/21 | 11/25 | 31/55 | |
| % 2nd pts | 78% | 62% | 44% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 3/4 | 5/9 | 11/17 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 75% | 56% | 65% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 2/3 | 2/7 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 67% | 29% | 86% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
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LLLLL Tennis Scores in Cincinnati
- Calvin HemeryHemery – Kaichi UchidaUchida (2-6 7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Felipe MantillaMantilla – Santiago Fa Rodriguez TavernaFa Rodriguez Taverna (6-2 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Evan KingKing – Genaro Alberto OlivieriAlberto Olivieri (7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Madison KeysKeys – Elena RybakinaRybakina (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic – Petra KvitovaKvitova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Caroline GarciaGarcia (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Shuai ZhangZhang (3-1) – H2H and prediction
